Extroverted-Pianist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$275

Unrealized P&L

+$128

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

320

11,702 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$61.1K

$2.67M lifetime

Avg / trade

$228

Open exposure

$2.96K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-01 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

83% 74% +$2,609

Crypto

9% 80% +$236

Politics

6% 60% -$55

Sports

1% 67% +$63

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+1,494	$1,138	84¢	$1.2K	+$109	10-31 15:16
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	+656	$639	97¢	$637	-$2	10-26 15:49
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+500	$492	98¢	$491	-$1	10-31 20:17
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+500	$491	97¢	$487	-$4	10-30 08:46
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+150	$28	35¢	$52	+$25	10-27 11:10
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$22	96¢	$21	$0	10-13 15:45
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+8	$3	99¢	$8	+$5	10-23 14:17
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	-$1	10-20 00:25
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+300	$6	2¢	$5	-$1	10-03 17:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10	-$2	18¢	$-2	+$1	08-27 12:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+50	$10	3¢	$2	-$9	06-18 16:34
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$1	100¢	$1	+$2	10-12 03:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+0	-$3	97¢	$0	+$3	10-31 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	325	$152.0K	78,255	76,255	+2,000	No	+$359	09-30 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	357	$129.5K	67,937	63,416	+4,521	No	+$197	04-30 06:35
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	468	$100.0K	51,658	50,288	+1,370	No	+$153	03-30 20:01
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	411	$93.2K	47,167	47,387	-220	No	+$95	03-31 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	219	$80.3K	38,359	43,238	-4,879	No	-$62	05-29 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	297	$78.8K	39,716	40,547	-831	No	+$53	03-25 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	315	$69.7K	35,049	35,142	-93	No	+$16	05-24 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?	150	$65.8K	34,090	32,090	+2,000	No	+$73	07-30 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	113	$63.3K	34,386	29,386	+5,000	No	+$78	07-31 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	220	$60.8K	30,408	31,073	-666	No	+$41	04-30 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	209	$55.5K	28,585	27,571	+1,014	No	+$50	04-30 21:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	135	$54.2K	27,658	27,799	-141	No	+$266	06-26 08:26
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	132	$50.1K	25,187	25,187	+0	No	+$69	06-26 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	282	$47.2K	23,842	23,778	+64	No	+$93	10-29 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	82	$45.8K	23,107	23,101	+6	No	+$56	08-24 01:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	212	$42.6K	21,518	21,517	+1	No	+$69	09-26 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	125	$38.8K	20,490	18,490	+2,000	No	+$57	08-29 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	131	$38.1K	17,836	21,037	-3,202	No	-$1	05-28 21:54
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	118	$36.6K	18,397	18,728	-330	No	+$31	04-30 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	76	$34.9K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	+$47	09-28 13:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	92	$34.8K	16,861	18,322	-1,461	No	+$42	03-31 07:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	168	$34.3K	17,465	17,057	+408	Yes	+$36	05-09 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	132	$31.9K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$53	10-23 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	110	$29.7K	15,013	15,192	-178	No	+$50	04-29 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$28.7K	16,145	12,621	+3,524	Yes	+$19	02-03 14:30
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	44	$27.8K	14,103	14,103	+0	No	+$85	07-30 10:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	119	$27.1K	16,123	14,630	+1,494	open	—	10-31 15:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	76	$26.8K	13,823	13,561	+262	No	+$49	05-29 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	101	$25.7K	12,999	12,755	+244	No	+$22	08-30 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	49	$24.8K	13,036	12,105	+931	No	+$47	04-30 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:55:24	Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xe1e0c2…
11-01 02:54:28	Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	28	84¢	$24	0x3ef382…
10-31 20:17:25	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xf80be4…
10-31 20:17:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xc5b52a…
10-31 16:40:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	865	98¢	$849	0x7e678d…
10-31 16:28:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa631dc…
10-31 16:16:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9bdf97…
10-31 15:16:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	190	84¢	$160	0x864336…
10-31 13:15:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x27e9b5…
10-31 13:14:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x9ab435…
10-31 06:44:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	248	97¢	$241	0x33c1ef…
10-31 06:37:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x03fff6…
10-31 06:27:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe02c28…
10-31 06:19:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8e0a50…
10-31 06:15:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1671ac…
10-31 06:12:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x291e55…
10-31 06:10:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf6fe73…
10-31 06:05:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9fd92f…
10-31 06:01:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb48733…
10-31 05:59:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	206	97¢	$200	0xfae4f7…
10-31 05:57:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x981a3f…
10-31 05:53:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x0713e5…
10-31 02:50:51	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x249695…
10-30 23:46:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x51bd79…
10-30 23:45:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x6b33e3…
10-30 23:45:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x9fc51c…
10-30 23:45:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x482d95…
10-30 21:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x8fd9cd…
10-30 21:14:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	299	98¢	$293	0x2f3c47…
10-30 21:04:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x818e64…
10-30 20:52:27	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x4684a2…
10-30 20:50:48	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdc0a33…
10-30 20:50:48	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xca1130…
10-30 20:50:48	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x3a85be…
10-30 19:59:33	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5e9c0f…
10-30 19:54:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	182	95¢	$172	0x34a7c9…
10-30 19:50:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0xab4783…
10-30 19:49:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	265	95¢	$251	0xcd90ab…
10-30 19:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	421	95¢	$397	0x679518…
10-30 19:42:58	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc0d926…
10-30 19:42:54	Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xb10a3d…
10-30 19:42:21	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x68a185…
10-30 19:19:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x1e5f60…
10-30 18:34:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x16d7d7…
10-30 18:25:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	345	97¢	$335	0xacc5e8…
10-30 18:24:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x2b67b6…
10-30 16:34:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa4c1d4…
10-30 16:33:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xed935e…
10-30 16:28:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x6d795a…
10-30 16:25:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x9c013a…
10-30 16:24:54	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xb5490b…
10-30 16:21:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xb1b5f2…
10-30 16:04:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xaede50…
10-30 15:49:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x52345d…
10-30 14:07:10	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xe94c63…
10-30 14:07:10	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x77fd39…
10-30 11:42:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xf86ce1…
10-30 11:42:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x485a4d…
10-30 11:42:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4796b5…
10-30 10:29:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x4973e3…
10-30 10:16:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$489	0xc495e9…
10-30 09:05:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xa6c81a…
10-30 08:46:58	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x15334b…
10-30 08:46:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x8efcf2…
10-30 08:46:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x1dd133…
10-30 08:46:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xdc39ba…
10-30 08:39:51	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb9f484…
10-30 08:34:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	73	84¢	$61	0xd5de27…
10-30 08:34:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$5	0xbd5198…
10-30 08:34:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0x31ed0f…
10-30 08:11:25	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0x6dd3c1…
10-30 07:30:51	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa64624…
10-30 07:29:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$487	0xde4dd0…
10-30 05:29:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	695	100¢	$694	0xcdc3cd…
10-30 01:55:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x7f0b05…
10-30 01:52:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xcc0ba2…
10-30 01:07:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x542939…
10-30 00:50:34	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb10477…
10-30 00:50:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd939db…
10-30 00:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x70121d…
10-29 23:18:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x0dd3f6…
10-29 23:04:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0xce2e4b…
10-29 23:02:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	BUY	496	99¢	$493	0x9a3682…
10-29 22:55:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xffd36a…
10-29 20:44:10	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3fea74…
10-29 19:56:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	201	98¢	$197	0x6957fb…
10-29 16:05:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	259	98¢	$253	0x2cc792…
10-29 15:42:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7ff829…
10-29 15:37:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x13d5ec…
10-29 15:34:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x2d4f9f…
10-29 15:15:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x002b03…
10-29 15:14:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa5f78…
10-29 15:01:11	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x5bd9b1…
10-29 14:51:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x6c34d9…
10-29 14:50:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc2caaa…
10-29 14:50:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	408	98¢	$399	0x3ddfe9…
10-29 14:35:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xe86590…
10-29 14:34:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x18f108…
10-29 14:30:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0xe71622…
10-29 13:48:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	467	85¢	$397	0x5a16e5…