Extroverted-Pianist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.87K

Unrealized P&L

+$231

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

1,065

Trades

12,284

lifetime

Volume

$2.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$11.6K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-10 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

83% 74% +$2,611

Crypto

9% 80% +$253

Politics

6% 60% -$57

Sports

1% 67% +$63

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No		+3,000	$2,846	99¢	$3.0K	+$125	11-09 20:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No		+1,477	$1,345	99¢	$1.5K	+$121	11-09 13:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No		+1,000	$979	99¢	$988	+$9	11-09 19:13
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No		+952	$935	99¢	$941	+$6	11-10 10:55
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No		+962	$934	97¢	$932	-$2	11-02 00:49
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No		+926	$774	82¢	$764	-$10	11-10 09:25
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes		+636	$527	82¢	$525	-$2	11-10 09:25
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+500	$491	99¢	$495	+$4	10-30 08:46
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+500	$488	99¢	$494	+$6	11-02 20:07
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+500	$490	97¢	$487	-$3	11-06 11:30
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+499	$479	97¢	$482	+$3	11-08 09:45
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No		+429	$422	98¢	$422	+$0	11-09 15:10
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No		+234	$206	93¢	$217	+$11	11-10 12:52
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+150	$112	72¢	$107	-$4	11-03 04:19
Will Real Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes		+80	$77	94¢	$75	-$2	11-10 09:29
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No		+51	$48	95¢	$48	+$0	11-06 10:48
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No		+35	$34	99¢	$35	+$1	11-05 14:24
Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	—	+200	$25	12¢	$24	-$1	11-07 08:52
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+100	$15	24¢	$24	+$8	11-10 03:04
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No		+22	$22	98¢	$22	+$0	10-13 15:45
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No		+20	$20	98¢	$20	+$0	11-10 14:53
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+200	$29	10¢	$19	-$10	11-03 17:07
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+110	$15	11¢	$12	-$3	10-25 11:16
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+372	$22	3¢	$10	-$12	10-30 20:52
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No		+26	$16	26¢	$7	-$9	10-26 17:07
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+200	-$5	3¢	$6	+$11	11-02 12:15
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+300	$6	2¢	$5	-$2	11-03 07:09
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+300	$6	1¢	$4	-$2	10-03 17:16
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+250	$11	1¢	$3	-$7	10-29 03:41
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+1,544	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	11-02 06:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	325	$152.0K	78,255	76,255	+2,000	No	+$359	09-30 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	357	$129.5K	67,937	63,416	+4,521	No	+$197	04-30 06:35
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	468	$100.0K	51,658	50,288	+1,370	No	+$153	03-30 20:01
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	411	$93.2K	47,167	47,387	-220	No	+$95	03-31 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	219	$80.3K	38,359	43,238	-4,879	No	-$62	05-29 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	297	$78.8K	39,716	40,547	-831	No	+$53	03-25 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	315	$69.7K	35,049	35,142	-93	No	+$16	05-24 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?	150	$65.8K	34,090	32,090	+2,000	No	+$73	07-30 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	113	$63.3K	34,386	29,386	+5,000	No	+$78	07-31 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	220	$60.8K	30,408	31,073	-666	No	+$41	04-30 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	209	$55.5K	28,585	27,571	+1,014	No	+$50	04-30 21:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	135	$54.2K	27,658	27,799	-141	No	+$266	06-26 08:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?	132	$50.1K	25,187	25,187	+0	No	+$69	06-26 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	282	$47.2K	23,842	23,778	+64	No	+$93	10-29 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	82	$45.8K	23,107	23,101	+6	No	+$56	08-24 01:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	212	$42.6K	21,518	21,517	+1	No	+$69	09-26 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	125	$38.8K	20,490	18,490	+2,000	No	+$57	08-29 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	131	$38.1K	17,836	21,037	-3,202	No	-$1	05-28 21:54
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	118	$36.6K	18,397	18,728	-330	No	+$31	04-30 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	61	$35.6K	19,692	16,692	+3,000	open	—	11-09 20:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	76	$34.9K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	+$47	09-28 13:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	92	$34.8K	16,861	18,322	-1,461	No	+$42	03-31 07:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	287	$34.8K	18,390	16,913	+1,477	open	—	11-09 13:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	168	$34.3K	17,465	17,057	+408	Yes	+$36	05-09 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	132	$31.9K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$53	10-23 10:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	128	$30.1K	17,123	17,123	+0	open	—	11-03 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	110	$29.7K	15,013	15,192	-178	No	+$50	04-29 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$28.7K	16,145	12,621	+3,524	Yes	+$19	02-03 14:30
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	44	$27.8K	14,103	14,103	+0	No	+$85	07-30 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	76	$26.8K	13,823	13,561	+262	No	+$49	05-29 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 14:53:00	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9fa161…
11-10 12:52:45	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	267	93¢	$248	0x13c40d…
11-10 10:55:36	Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xfd38d4…
11-10 09:29:22	Will Real Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x33c7db…
11-10 09:25:43	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x184944…
11-10 09:25:25	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x170fc2…
11-10 09:22:03	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	166	84¢	$139	0x3eb556…
11-10 09:20:51	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x1a2fb8…
11-10 09:12:54	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x833e4d…
11-10 09:12:43	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x3705ed…
11-10 03:51:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7f2113…
11-10 03:51:22	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x97be76…
11-10 03:51:16	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x82cae3…
11-10 03:51:16	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x827666…
11-10 03:50:48	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x90ddac…
11-10 03:04:45	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0xf98be1…
11-10 03:04:43	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xfc7fbd…
11-10 03:04:40	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xb366f3…
11-10 03:04:40	Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x30e84b…
11-10 00:38:42	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x58e481…
11-10 00:20:55	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	292	84¢	$245	0x9f0424…
11-09 23:00:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x22eabf…
11-09 22:53:28	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x690897…
11-09 22:27:34	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$463	0xef4637…
11-09 22:09:48	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	73	93¢	$68	0x27ed99…
11-09 22:09:46	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x04e636…
11-09 22:06:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xd7b4bc…
11-09 21:39:31	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x94d9dd…
11-09 21:39:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xe89db5…
11-09 21:39:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xc37953…
11-09 21:39:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x9917cf…
11-09 21:39:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x4e9f06…
11-09 21:39:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x21c7f5…
11-09 21:10:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x85da68…
11-09 21:10:30	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x444da0…
11-09 21:10:28	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xcdd691…
11-09 21:10:28	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	124	85¢	$106	0x8f0e32…
11-09 21:10:28	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x86c81d…
11-09 21:10:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xd6981b…
11-09 21:10:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xaa4ea9…
11-09 21:10:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x9cc46d…
11-09 21:10:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	105	85¢	$89	0x6839d9…
11-09 21:00:27	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x5d011d…
11-09 20:11:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x98dc5f…
11-09 19:33:43	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	311	84¢	$261	0xecab99…
11-09 19:13:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	974	99¢	$962	0x49d2ef…
11-09 18:35:00	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	233	86¢	$200	0x62a44d…
11-09 17:57:42	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x6b9f75…
11-09 17:53:19	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$92	0x42bd4c…
11-09 17:45:45	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x9e24c9…
11-09 17:42:21	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xf115bd…
11-09 17:41:21	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	135	93¢	$125	0x70197c…
11-09 17:38:48	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	252	93¢	$233	0xb7a755…
11-09 17:03:33	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x595a33…
11-09 15:10:45	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x2388e0…
11-09 15:07:36	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x6e6970…
11-09 15:07:36	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	359	93¢	$334	0x2b24e2…
11-09 15:02:01	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0x2e701b…
11-09 14:57:28	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	63	86¢	$54	0xd650df…
11-09 14:57:27	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	471	85¢	$400	0xd4f7c2…
11-09 14:57:25	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0xf8b65c…
11-09 13:37:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	389	99¢	$386	0xaf2911…
11-09 12:27:36	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0xd4aead…
11-09 12:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0x2359f2…
11-09 11:07:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x848cf8…
11-09 10:52:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x2187d7…
11-09 10:43:42	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	371	84¢	$312	0xcc5379…
11-09 10:07:06	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x7967a3…
11-09 10:07:03	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	26	84¢	$21	0xbd37a8…
11-09 10:07:03	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x29afc7…
11-09 10:07:01	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x33a78b…
11-09 07:49:19	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcc0cbd…
11-09 05:44:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	598	99¢	$592	0xc7af48…
11-09 04:58:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x5504d0…
11-09 04:03:37	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	37	85¢	$32	0x99c59b…
11-09 04:03:37	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	97	85¢	$82	0x996114…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xd7f481…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	16	85¢	$14	0xcc6848…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0xc93bf7…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xaa5805…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xa80d37…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xa1e906…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x881bc5…
11-09 04:03:31	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	167	85¢	$142	0x12faf1…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe07020…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xacc249…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x97b7ee…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x661f14…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x5099b3…
11-09 04:03:30	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x10e5fb…
11-09 03:37:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe18d41…
11-09 02:57:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x643ba0…
11-09 02:11:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4f98fe…
11-09 02:03:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb02eba…
11-09 02:01:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x75ba44…
11-08 22:52:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xb37acd…
11-08 22:42:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0xc6418e…
11-08 22:26:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	647	99¢	$641	0x6c82af…
11-08 22:24:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	369	99¢	$366	0x9b3d7a…
11-08 21:06:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	482	98¢	$474	0xac6389…