Extroverted-Pianist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.87K

Unrealized P&L

+$94

Hit rate

90.7%

Resolved

1,065

Trades

12,378

lifetime

Volume

$2.80M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

$9.14K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-13 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

83% 74% +$2,611

Crypto

9% 80% +$253

Politics

6% 60% -$57

Sports

1% 67% +$63

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	+1,000	$870	99¢	$992	+$122	11-13 10:34
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+1,000	$976	98¢	$975	-$1	11-12 03:21
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No	+962	$934	97¢	$931	-$3	11-02 00:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	+1,000	$892	88¢	$877	-$15	11-12 11:10
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	+693	$681	98¢	$680	-$1	11-11 12:51
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	+826	$671	82¢	$673	+$2	11-13 18:05
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+546	$534	99¢	$540	+$6	11-13 17:04
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	+636	$527	82¢	$518	-$9	11-10 09:25
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+500	$491	99¢	$496	+$4	10-30 08:46
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+500	$491	98¢	$490	-$2	11-11 21:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+498	$486	98¢	$487	+$1	11-11 15:33
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+500	$484	97¢	$486	+$2	11-12 03:10
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	+499	$479	97¢	$484	+$5	11-08 09:45
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+250	$176	69¢	$172	-$3	11-11 16:59
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$94	96¢	$96	+$2	11-12 03:45
Will Real Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	+80	$77	94¢	$75	-$2	11-10 09:29
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+35	$34	98¢	$35	+$1	11-05 14:24
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+100	$15	24¢	$25	+$9	11-10 03:04
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+372	$22	6¢	$23	+$1	10-30 20:52
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$22	98¢	$22	+$0	10-13 15:45
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+200	$29	9¢	$18	-$11	11-03 17:07
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+160	$20	9¢	$14	-$6	11-12 03:59
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No	+26	$16	26¢	$7	-$9	10-26 17:07
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+200	-$5	3¢	$6	+$11	11-02 12:15
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+300	$6	2¢	$5	-$1	11-03 07:09
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	+250	$11	2¢	$4	-$7	10-29 03:41
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+300	$6	1¢	$4	-$2	10-03 17:16
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+1,544	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	11-02 06:37
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	-$1	100¢	$1	+$3	10-12 03:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10	-$2	13¢	$-1	+$1	08-27 12:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	325	$152.0K	78,255	76,255	+2,000	No	+$359	09-30 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	357	$129.5K	67,937	63,416	+4,521	No	+$197	04-30 06:35
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	468	$100.0K	51,658	50,288	+1,370	No	+$153	03-30 20:01
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	411	$93.2K	47,167	47,387	-220	No	+$95	03-31 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	219	$80.3K	38,359	43,238	-4,879	No	-$62	05-29 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	297	$78.8K	39,716	40,547	-831	No	+$53	03-25 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	315	$69.7K	35,049	35,142	-93	No	+$16	05-24 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?	150	$65.8K	34,090	32,090	+2,000	No	+$73	07-30 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	113	$63.3K	34,386	29,386	+5,000	No	+$78	07-31 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	220	$60.8K	30,408	31,073	-666	No	+$41	04-30 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	209	$55.5K	28,585	27,571	+1,014	No	+$50	04-30 21:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	135	$54.2K	27,658	27,799	-141	No	+$266	06-26 08:26
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	132	$50.1K	25,187	25,187	+0	No	+$69	06-26 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	282	$47.2K	23,842	23,778	+64	No	+$93	10-29 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	82	$45.8K	23,107	23,101	+6	No	+$56	08-24 01:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	79	$43.0K	21,951	21,950	+0	open	—	11-13 18:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	212	$42.6K	21,518	21,517	+1	No	+$69	09-26 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	125	$38.8K	20,490	18,490	+2,000	No	+$57	08-29 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	131	$38.1K	17,836	21,037	-3,202	No	-$1	05-28 21:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	307	$37.2K	19,390	18,390	+1,000	open	—	11-13 10:34
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	118	$36.6K	18,397	18,728	-330	No	+$31	04-30 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	76	$34.9K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	+$47	09-28 13:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	92	$34.8K	16,861	18,322	-1,461	No	+$42	03-31 07:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	168	$34.3K	17,465	17,057	+408	Yes	+$36	05-09 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	132	$31.9K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$53	10-23 10:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	128	$30.1K	17,123	17,123	+0	open	—	11-03 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	110	$29.7K	15,013	15,192	-178	No	+$50	04-29 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$28.7K	16,145	12,621	+3,524	Yes	+$19	02-03 14:30
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	44	$27.8K	14,103	14,103	+0	No	+$85	07-30 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	76	$26.8K	13,823	13,561	+262	No	+$49	05-29 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 18:12:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$305	0xcafe9c…
11-13 18:05:25	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	88	80¢	$71	0x596867…
11-13 17:04:33	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1ef1a2…
11-13 12:38:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x80ac62…
11-13 12:38:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x51cb56…
11-13 10:34:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	476	99¢	$473	0x12c86e…
11-13 09:35:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$493	0x596308…
11-13 09:00:55	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x0bc180…
11-13 09:00:37	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc1b2b3…
11-13 09:00:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0xabb343…
11-13 09:00:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x1693a6…
11-13 08:58:37	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x79e1e5…
11-13 08:58:31	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3c7e1e…
11-13 08:58:28	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xb232e2…
11-13 08:58:19	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x09546c…
11-13 08:58:04	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xadab09…
11-13 08:52:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	SELL	321	98¢	$316	0x2041ab…
11-13 04:32:57	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xa16fd8…
11-13 04:25:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	321	97¢	$312	0x787ad0…
11-12 18:42:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	564	99¢	$560	0x346476…
11-12 18:42:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	769	99¢	$759	0x2a99bc…
11-12 17:26:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	436	99¢	$433	0x69f399…
11-12 17:26:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	308	99¢	$304	0x66e519…
11-12 14:47:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	223	99¢	$222	0x0550d7…
11-12 13:23:04	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x8a10ef…
11-12 12:57:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d2358…
11-12 12:22:13	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	79	84¢	$66	0xfb63be…
11-12 12:20:15	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	297	84¢	$250	0x6fc8b4…
11-12 12:20:13	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x977786…
11-12 11:10:22	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x8df48b…
11-12 09:41:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0x1e2d26…
11-12 09:41:34	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xd2e0a4…
11-12 09:12:12	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x1c8e31…
11-12 08:19:25	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6701d9…
11-12 07:53:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x9ee13e…
11-12 07:44:33	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9e46b3…
11-12 07:15:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xd9e8a7…
11-12 07:10:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0xfc3f5e…
11-12 07:04:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0x48b6d7…
11-12 03:59:01	Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xa67a22…
11-12 03:57:52	Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x77f2a0…
11-12 03:45:52	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xd5b0b7…
11-12 03:21:39	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x1ec1a0…
11-12 03:10:04	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x90805b…
11-12 00:25:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xfbfc90…
11-12 00:03:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xea11a9…
11-11 23:50:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa3a0b6…
11-11 23:48:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe811f1…
11-11 23:45:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xb672a6…
11-11 23:33:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x19f99c…
11-11 23:31:45	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	405	84¢	$340	0x9ac8d2…
11-11 23:24:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0da1f2…
11-11 23:21:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe2b571…
11-11 23:20:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc6d83c…
11-11 23:18:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf7a5a7…
11-11 23:12:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf045a0…
11-11 22:57:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3260c1…
11-11 22:42:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa49e3c…
11-11 22:38:33	Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	952	99¢	$945	0x4d4841…
11-11 22:36:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x138d91…
11-11 22:10:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfca086…
11-11 21:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb08bf9…
11-11 21:02:34	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	421	98¢	$414	0x3bf430…
11-11 20:38:19	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x86f2de…
11-11 17:36:39	Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x119935…
11-11 17:05:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x95a792…
11-11 16:59:25	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1e5e7f…
11-11 15:33:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x41542e…
11-11 14:06:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	863	99¢	$856	0x245064…
11-11 12:51:24	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfdeae7…
11-11 10:53:30	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x856308…
11-11 10:44:13	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	113	85¢	$96	0xf5541a…
11-11 09:56:16	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	499	93¢	$464	0x802c8c…
11-11 05:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	SELL	420	99¢	$415	0x7eb979…
11-10 22:22:16	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	311	93¢	$289	0xe514fb…
11-10 20:45:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xfa5406…
11-10 20:34:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0x0693e4…
11-10 20:03:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x7a499b…
11-10 18:04:48	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	311	92¢	$288	0xdbdd10…
11-10 17:54:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe068db…
11-10 17:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	1,364	99¢	$1,352	0x1e4b69…
11-10 16:50:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	961	99¢	$953	0x2fd2cc…
11-10 16:25:31	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0xd495ae…
11-10 15:36:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	420	97¢	$409	0x792ddc…
11-10 15:17:15	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	186	99¢	$183	0xac3e92…
11-10 14:53:00	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9fa161…
11-10 12:52:45	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	267	93¢	$248	0x13c40d…
11-10 10:55:36	Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xfd38d4…
11-10 09:29:22	Will Real Madrid qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x33c7db…
11-10 09:25:43	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x184944…
11-10 09:25:25	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x170fc2…
11-10 09:22:03	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	166	84¢	$139	0x3eb556…
11-10 09:20:51	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0x1a2fb8…
11-10 09:12:54	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x833e4d…
11-10 09:12:43	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x3705ed…
11-10 03:51:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7f2113…
11-10 03:51:22	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x97be76…
11-10 03:51:16	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x82cae3…
11-10 03:51:16	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x827666…
11-10 03:50:48	Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x90ddac…