Extroverted-Pianist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$388

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,395

12,176 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$264.9K

$2.76M lifetime

Avg / trade

$227

Open exposure

$5.55K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-07 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

83% 74% +$2,611

Crypto

9% 80% +$310

Politics

6% 60% -$57

Sports

1% 67% +$63

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No		+1,002	$985	98¢	$986	+$1	10-23 17:01
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	No		+962	$934	97¢	$931	-$3	11-02 00:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 2-8?	No		+500	$498	100¢	$499	+$1	11-05 15:22
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+500	$488	99¢	$493	+$5	11-02 20:07
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No		+500	$491	98¢	$492	+$1	10-30 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+500	$484	97¢	$487	+$3	11-07 11:40
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	No		+500	$492	97¢	$486	-$6	11-05 20:09
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+500	$490	97¢	$486	-$5	11-06 11:30
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No		+175	$155	90¢	$156	+$2	11-06 15:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No		+112	-$6	99¢	$111	+$118	11-07 12:31
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+150	$112	70¢	$106	-$6	11-03 04:19
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+108	$104	96¢	$104	+$0	11-06 16:35
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No		+51	$48	95¢	$48	+$0	11-06 10:48
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No		+35	$34	99¢	$35	+$1	11-05 14:24
Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	—	+200	$25	12¢	$24	-$1	11-07 08:52
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+200	$29	12¢	$23	-$6	11-03 17:07
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No		+22	$22	97¢	$21	$0	10-13 15:45
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+110	$15	13¢	$14	-$1	10-25 11:16
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+372	$22	3¢	$10	-$12	10-30 20:52
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+200	-$5	3¢	$7	+$12	11-02 12:15
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	No		+26	$16	26¢	$7	-$9	10-26 17:07
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+300	$6	2¢	$6	-$1	11-03 07:09
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes		+250	$11	2¢	$4	-$6	10-29 03:41
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+300	$6	1¢	$4	-$2	10-03 17:16
Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+1,544	$6	0¢	$4	-$2	11-02 06:37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-10	-$2	19¢	$-2	+$1	08-27 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+1	-$1	100¢	$1	+$2	10-12 03:37
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+50	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	06-18 16:34
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 November 2-8?	Yes		+100	$59	1¢	$1	-$58	11-05 07:31
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes		+0	-$8	32¢	$0	+$8	10-30 19:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	325	$152.0K	78,255	76,255	+2,000	No	+$359	09-30 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	357	$129.5K	67,937	63,416	+4,521	No	+$197	04-30 06:35
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	468	$100.0K	51,658	50,288	+1,370	No	+$153	03-30 20:01
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	411	$93.2K	47,167	47,387	-220	No	+$95	03-31 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	219	$80.3K	38,359	43,238	-4,879	No	-$62	05-29 20:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	297	$78.8K	39,716	40,547	-831	No	+$53	03-25 15:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	315	$69.7K	35,049	35,142	-93	No	+$16	05-24 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?	150	$65.8K	34,090	32,090	+2,000	No	+$73	07-30 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?	113	$63.3K	34,386	29,386	+5,000	No	+$78	07-31 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	220	$60.8K	30,408	31,073	-666	No	+$41	04-30 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	209	$55.5K	28,585	27,571	+1,014	No	+$50	04-30 21:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	135	$54.2K	27,658	27,799	-141	No	+$266	06-26 08:26
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	132	$50.1K	25,187	25,187	+0	No	+$69	06-26 15:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	282	$47.2K	23,842	23,778	+64	No	+$93	10-29 00:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?	82	$45.8K	23,107	23,101	+6	No	+$56	08-24 01:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	212	$42.6K	21,518	21,517	+1	No	+$69	09-26 04:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	125	$38.8K	20,490	18,490	+2,000	No	+$57	08-29 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	131	$38.1K	17,836	21,037	-3,202	No	-$1	05-28 21:54
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	118	$36.6K	18,397	18,728	-330	No	+$31	04-30 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	76	$34.9K	17,654	17,654	+0	No	+$47	09-28 13:09
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	92	$34.8K	16,861	18,322	-1,461	No	+$42	03-31 07:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	168	$34.3K	17,465	17,057	+408	Yes	+$36	05-09 01:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	57	$32.7K	16,692	16,692	+0	open	—	11-07 10:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	132	$31.9K	16,000	16,000	+0	No	+$53	10-23 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	273	$30.4K	15,501	15,389	+112	open	—	11-07 12:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	128	$30.1K	17,123	17,123	+0	open	—	11-03 15:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	110	$29.7K	15,013	15,192	-178	No	+$50	04-29 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$28.7K	16,145	12,621	+3,524	Yes	+$19	02-03 14:30
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	44	$27.8K	14,103	14,103	+0	No	+$85	07-30 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	76	$26.8K	13,823	13,561	+262	No	+$49	05-29 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 12:31:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x7f1b46…
11-07 11:40:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x2c8a69…
11-07 10:46:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	1,740	99¢	$1,721	0x48a404…
11-07 08:52:40	Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xe7db2e…
11-07 08:52:40	Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xe34124…
11-07 08:52:40	Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x7cdd95…
11-07 08:52:40	Will the Brooklyn Nets finish with the worst record in the NBA in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1bdef9…
11-07 06:49:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x63375b…
11-07 06:49:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$987	0x45b376…
11-07 06:49:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$491	0xbce3f6…
11-07 01:37:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$256	0x7438d5…
11-06 23:56:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	740	98¢	$727	0x0fa199…
11-06 22:43:57	Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$495	0xb34285…
11-06 21:12:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	260	98¢	$255	0x8cc821…
11-06 19:49:45	Will Anfernee Simons win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa95de5…
11-06 19:47:36	Will Anfernee Simons win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb1d522…
11-06 19:26:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	283	98¢	$276	0x6cc561…
11-06 19:26:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	217	98¢	$212	0x5e9ed8…
11-06 18:49:01	Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x12094e…
11-06 18:33:25	Will Anfernee Simons win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6e4592…
11-06 18:33:16	Will Anfernee Simons win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xa1c900…
11-06 16:56:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xb51a07…
11-06 16:35:51	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	108	96¢	$104	0x8a7279…
11-06 15:42:33	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	175	90¢	$157	0xf3281e…
11-06 11:30:24	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x7c5e5f…
11-06 10:50:03	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x1fbb61…
11-06 10:48:37	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec75aa…
11-06 08:47:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	SELL	573	98¢	$561	0xcf6871…
11-06 07:42:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x3e54f5…
11-06 01:39:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$981	0x52b6df…
11-06 00:08:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0x876615…
11-05 23:20:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x7eeca4…
11-05 23:04:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$23	0xfa7cf5…
11-05 22:13:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc439cb…
11-05 22:12:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x698de4…
11-05 22:12:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x942c9a…
11-05 22:11:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9b9f04…
11-05 22:11:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5cd200…
11-05 22:10:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf49d31…
11-05 22:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3432a6…
11-05 22:09:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x232b68…
11-05 22:08:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x380747…
11-05 22:06:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x16f229…
11-05 22:06:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeea47f…
11-05 22:05:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98b635…
11-05 22:04:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xebcc8b…
11-05 22:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x9e2ebb…
11-05 22:03:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0ca7e7…
11-05 22:02:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2bdcc5…
11-05 22:02:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6da7e0…
11-05 22:01:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x14244c…
11-05 22:01:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8ac65d…
11-05 22:00:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x808a13…
11-05 21:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x97fa51…
11-05 21:58:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xac367c…
11-05 21:58:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	615	99¢	$607	0xfbb953…
11-05 21:58:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xbc5cd0…
11-05 21:57:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xce6dfd…
11-05 21:56:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xda8479…
11-05 21:56:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4ffb09…
11-05 21:55:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9917cf…
11-05 21:54:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xecd84e…
11-05 21:54:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xacef83…
11-05 21:53:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9363b0…
11-05 21:53:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8f25fd…
11-05 21:52:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xae4389…
11-05 21:51:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe942cf…
11-05 21:50:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x5c2c64…
11-05 21:49:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xeebc71…
11-05 21:49:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa8014b…
11-05 21:48:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x81424e…
11-05 21:48:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5bc744…
11-05 21:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x20089e…
11-05 21:46:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5db2a6…
11-05 21:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x756b62…
11-05 21:26:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe4a0b0…
11-05 21:25:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc4bcd9…
11-05 21:24:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1b18bf…
11-05 21:24:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x005adc…
11-05 21:23:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x0cd9e3…
11-05 21:23:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8c82a9…
11-05 21:22:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2f0160…
11-05 21:21:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x025cdd…
11-05 21:20:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x18790e…
11-05 21:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe1278…
11-05 21:19:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2e1317…
11-05 21:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xaf5fc5…
11-05 21:18:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb12db…
11-05 21:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x358fbc…
11-05 21:15:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x507193…
11-05 21:14:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x23ba98…
11-05 21:14:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x54b925…
11-05 21:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x229344…
11-05 21:12:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe4ae64…
11-05 21:09:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	BUY	308	99¢	$304	0x20166c…
11-05 20:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa437b…
11-05 20:48:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x706350…
11-05 20:48:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfeb2e8…
11-05 20:47:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf7705d…
11-05 20:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7e0f1c…