Expert-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$356

Open exposure

$74

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-16 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$1,017

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes		-381	$-69	20¢	$-74	$-6	05-16 10:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-15?	1	$1000	2,174	0	+2,174	open	—	05-15 18:21
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	1	$500	1,250	0	+1,250	Under	+$750	05-06 18:58
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$300	987	0	+987	open	—	05-12 08:47
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	1	$150	417	0	+417	Yes	+$267	05-11 20:32
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$120	4,340	0	+4,340	open	—	05-16 20:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$69	0	381	-381	open	—	05-16 10:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:32:21	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,340	3¢	$120	0xdc4b2c…
05-16 10:05:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	381	18¢	$69	0x913596…
05-15 18:21:54	Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-15?	No	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x9a0500…
05-12 08:47:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	987	30¢	$300	0x4b2e0e…
05-11 20:32:45	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	417	36¢	$150	0x760451…
05-06 18:58:46	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1,250	40¢	$500	0x897290…