Distorted-Handmaiden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 09-27 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

58% 71% -$6

Crypto

22% 36% -$5

Tech

20% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	09-10 03:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?	4	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	09-06 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	3	$11	13	13	+0	No	+$1	09-10 02:08
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 02:20
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-06 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?	3	$9	10	5	+5	No	-$5	09-27 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	4	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	-$3	09-11 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	-$1	09-06 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11?	3	$2	6	6	+0	No	-$2	09-11 05:23
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 3?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	09-05 16:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 18:47
xauusd up or down on september 3 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	09-03 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 06:49
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	4	$2	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-11 05:31
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	09-04 05:45
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	2	$2	16	16	+0	No	$0	05-28 08:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 6?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	09-06 13:49
ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	09-04 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 12?	4	$1	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-12 00:11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$1	1	1	+0	Up	-$1	05-28 16:56
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$1	1	1	+0	No	-$1	05-28 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	09-06 14:18
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-11 07:47
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	-$1	05-07 08:41
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 04:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x456338…
09-27 04:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x1a5790…
09-26 23:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7681b5…
09-20 10:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa9dc5…
09-20 05:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x6114f0…
09-19 11:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf49f62…
09-19 06:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4ebde6…
09-12 00:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8e2c25…
09-11 05:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x68e041…
09-11 05:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x75526e…
09-11 05:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x19822a…
09-11 05:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x5e13ed…
09-11 05:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x2771c7…
09-11 05:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe2dc11…
09-11 05:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xed331b…
09-10 14:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x59468b…
09-10 14:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x45a031…
09-10 14:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb10392…
09-10 09:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x0582ef…
09-10 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x7c4cfb…
09-10 09:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5a8ee0…
09-10 06:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x894485…
09-10 03:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x914c44…
09-10 03:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc54555…
09-10 02:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x630182…
09-10 02:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfdc64f…
09-09 14:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x446cf9…
09-09 02:20:51	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78a3b2…
09-07 16:15:28	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x907d42…
09-06 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xa30f68…
09-06 15:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa29af1…
09-06 14:45:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xfc98d5…
09-06 14:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8d287d…
09-06 14:28:09	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xd5fce9…
09-06 14:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2df170…
09-06 14:08:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x83a5c9…
09-06 13:49:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 6?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x755952…
09-05 16:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7fb34f…
09-05 16:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbc7ae2…
09-05 16:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b6697…
09-05 16:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x74f486…
09-05 14:20:28	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6d611e…
09-04 13:31:27	ethereum above 2500 on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x245323…
09-04 05:56:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4ff11a…
09-04 05:45:36	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1c2761…
09-04 01:58:36	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x43cb10…
09-03 14:30:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 3?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb56196…
09-03 12:31:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb4e0c6…
09-03 12:25:40	xauusd up or down on september 3 2026	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe2df1a…
09-03 06:52:15	xauusd up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf1edae…
09-03 06:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xb17ec2…
09-03 04:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x56c746…
05-28 16:56:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x647a8b…
05-28 16:55:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd3dd5a…
05-28 08:27:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8d73a5…
05-28 08:25:49	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x358fd1…
05-28 03:55:44	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa41a9e…
05-28 03:53:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x32f6e7…
05-28 03:48:19	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x02c690…
05-16 16:35:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xd16868…
05-16 14:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x11c6cd…
05-16 14:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x7e58c7…
05-16 14:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x0b209f…
05-16 14:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xfc3d46…
05-16 03:55:41	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xe198b1…
05-16 03:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x219c2c…
05-16 03:27:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x50ce4a…
05-15 16:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xc564b2…
05-15 16:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xbcf8af…
05-15 16:19:31	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x142a77…
05-15 16:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x532025…
05-14 17:01:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xef1b2b…
05-14 15:13:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x1bdd28…
05-13 18:07:29	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x6edca0…
05-11 07:47:34	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9d0813…
05-11 07:42:35	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x927a3a…
05-11 07:32:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x93f79f…
05-10 18:47:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8acd8b…
05-10 12:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x1cc236…
05-10 12:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x7ab785…
05-10 07:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefd6db…
05-07 08:41:55	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe6db85…
05-05 09:01:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d3a41…
05-05 09:00:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8bf04b…
05-05 08:54:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7640cc…