Bossy-Concern — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$419

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$465

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-14 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 89% -$292

Other

36% 35% +$262

Politics

17% 11% -$73

Sports

2% 0% -$316

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No		+300	$267	90¢	$272	+$4	07-30 06:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		-200	-$180	97¢	$-193	-$14	06-13 08:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$992	800	800	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:35
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	8	$831	449	449	+0	No	+$1	02-28 12:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$820	500	500	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$805	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	02-18 09:40
lol tes we 2026 02 28	2	$692	400	400	+0	Top Esports	+$108	02-28 12:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$664	400	400	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:41
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$547	280	280	+0	open	—	07-30 06:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$444	600	600	+0	No	-$48	04-28 13:39
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-27 07:16
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$1	02-27 07:16
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-17 07:04
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	07-30 06:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$384	500	500	+0	No	-$36	04-28 13:41
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	2	$354	180	180	+0	No	+$2	01-12 16:22
will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	2	$319	160	160	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:14
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$305	500	0	+500	Yes	-$305	04-20 10:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$296	300	0	+300	No	+$4	07-30 06:48
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$267	300	0	+300	open	—	07-30 06:49
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	03-05 14:09
will ethereum reach 3600 in october 2026	1	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	10-14 16:05
will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	1	$247	250	0	+250	No	+$3	10-14 16:05
nba nyk det 2026 01 05	1	$230	500	0	+500	Pistons	-$230	01-03 16:14
dota2 navij strong 2026 02 09	1	$222	250	0	+250	strongboys	+$28	02-09 06:56
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	03-11 07:02
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	04-10 05:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	1	$199	200	0	+200	Yes	+$1	07-30 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	04-03 16:15
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	1	$199	200	0	+200	No	+$1	04-03 16:15
will paradex launch a token on march 5	1	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	03-05 14:09
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	6	$191	300	300	+0	Up	-$13	03-11 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 16:05:48	will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No	BUY	250	99¢	$247	0x445e72…
10-14 16:05:43	will ethereum reach 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xcbb794…
07-30 06:49:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x2814d3…
07-30 06:49:12	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x4885df…
07-30 06:48:57	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x600be7…
07-30 06:48:17	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xf83474…
07-30 06:48:08	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	280	98¢	$275	0x7bff60…
06-13 08:43:36	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x2be3a8…
06-01 09:03:46	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	97¢	$272	0x4e84a3…
06-01 09:03:34	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x242959…
06-01 09:02:11	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x1ed02a…
06-01 09:01:49	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0xf10559…
06-01 08:58:36	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf7e5df…
06-01 08:58:36	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xcd67c0…
06-01 08:58:36	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x4994db…
06-01 08:58:34	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf8f6ee…
06-01 08:54:15	Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x14a4cb…
06-01 08:53:47	Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x434f5c…
06-01 08:49:11	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xf35649…
06-01 08:46:51	Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xbcd009…
06-01 08:46:46	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xafb8eb…
06-01 08:46:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	56	8¢	$5	0xfa0a1d…
06-01 08:46:02	Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x656789…
06-01 08:46:00	Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd97616…
06-01 08:42:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe7c852…
05-04 08:36:50	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6117d9…
05-04 08:36:42	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf9eef4…
05-04 08:30:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x72cdaf…
04-28 13:41:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	400	83¢	$332	0x182d1a…
04-28 13:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	500	35¢	$174	0x93aab0…
04-28 13:39:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0xbdc117…
04-28 13:39:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	600	33¢	$198	0x5969f0…
04-28 13:38:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x7ae378…
04-28 13:35:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	800	62¢	$496	0x2e2c05…
04-28 13:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	800	62¢	$496	0x34fd39…
04-28 13:34:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	41¢	$246	0xdba4b2…
04-28 13:33:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$14	0x4363ec…
04-28 13:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x423197…
04-28 13:32:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x383db2…
04-28 13:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	439	82¢	$360	0xe6e628…
04-28 13:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	500	82¢	$410	0x1102aa…
04-20 10:24:04	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x05e3f5…
04-10 05:58:07	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x2a1e28…
04-10 05:33:53	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x1f69db…
04-10 05:31:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x6431cd…
04-10 04:40:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xe4f757…
04-10 04:38:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xb6ea37…
04-03 16:15:09	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x21934c…
04-03 16:15:03	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5c16da…
04-03 16:09:25	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	350	12¢	$40	0xcb8253…
04-03 15:49:09	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7a07c5…
04-03 15:47:31	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x82a4c6…
04-03 15:41:43	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x95409b…
04-03 15:30:39	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x221b2a…
04-03 15:30:23	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf2bfd9…
03-17 07:04:31	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x84b7df…
03-11 07:04:03	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	189	27¢	$51	0x9ad300…
03-11 07:02:47	will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc13663…
03-11 07:02:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9eaa22…
03-11 06:54:23	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0x781d8c…
03-11 06:49:37	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x0c9a5c…
03-11 06:49:21	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0x2c696c…
03-11 06:47:41	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x358a0d…
03-11 06:43:07	spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	Down	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xb1fc15…
03-05 14:09:21	Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x4593b4…
03-05 14:09:05	will paradex launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb8116d…
03-05 14:07:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9c4ae5…
02-28 12:34:21	lol nsea ktc 2026 03 02	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0xd8bb1a…
02-28 12:29:07	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	262	93¢	$243	0x51c95d…
02-28 12:22:37	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xa05e11…
02-28 12:22:29	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	72	92¢	$67	0x5a554c…
02-28 12:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	165	92¢	$153	0x5fe1d7…
02-28 12:21:31	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa65a50…
02-28 12:21:23	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xe769ea…
02-28 12:16:21	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xfe7136…
02-28 12:16:17	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0x6f8fda…
02-28 12:15:19	lol tes we 2026 02 28	Top Esports	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xe8d131…
02-28 12:14:27	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x623339…
02-27 08:05:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x337489…
02-27 07:16:53	lol tes we 2026 02 28	Top Esports	BUY	400	73¢	$292	0xcf8cda…
02-27 07:16:19	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4376a6…
02-27 07:16:07	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xc63b4a…
02-19 08:28:26	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x91def0…
02-19 08:28:14	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4b5a73…
02-19 08:28:08	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xad4956…
02-19 08:25:10	lol gen fox1 2026 02 21	BNK FEARX	BUY	280	15¢	$42	0xd0b91e…
02-18 09:40:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0x7f25d1…
02-18 09:39:16	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xd6ac67…
02-18 09:37:00	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Down	SELL	499	6¢	$30	0x8e0b66…
02-18 09:34:30	spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	Down	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x4645cc…
02-09 06:56:15	dota2 navij strong 2026 02 09	strongboys	BUY	250	89¢	$222	0xa13640…
01-12 16:24:29	nba phi tor 2026 01 12	Raptors	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x6cf271…
01-12 16:22:13	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	No	SELL	180	99¢	$178	0x8c1c4b…
01-03 16:16:19	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x902fa7…
01-03 16:16:07	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xf3a4b6…
01-03 16:14:31	nba nyk det 2026 01 05	Knicks	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x86423b…
01-03 16:10:01	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	266	5¢	$13	0x8e9f14…