Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
42.0%
Resolved
80
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$269
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$8
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 20:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Other
67% 37% -$16
Politics
15% 31% -$4
Crypto
10% 50% -$1
Sports
6% 12% -$2
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 05-26 07:19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +65 $2 2¢ $2 $0 10-26 20:53
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -2 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 06-23 13:31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4 $1 23¢ $1 $0 09-23 10:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $0 09-23 10:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +6 $1 6¢ $0 $0 10-26 20:55
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-17 18:52
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -4 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 06-22 17:23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-26 07:19