Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$61
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 06-15 13:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84%
Crypto
16%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 06-15 13:23
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-14 18:07
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +2 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 06-14 16:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-14 23:58
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-15 02:55
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 18:06
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 00:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-15 04:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-14 16:18
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-14 16:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-14 16:14
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 16:12