Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76dbc0…7f6987
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.42K
Unrealized P&L
+$11.7K
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved (7d)
60
Trades (7d)
1,099
11,283 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$193.3K
$1.31M lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$114.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-01 11:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Politics
48% 58% +$1,929
Other
45% 57% +$6,581
Tech
7% 58% +$1,241
Crypto
0% 75% +$95
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +24,022 $19,124 72¢ $17.4K -$1,708 10-28 02:42
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +17,239 $13,519 72¢ $12.5K -$1,021 10-22 17:23
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +10,628 $3,162 99¢ $10.5K +$7,375 10-28 10:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +7,973 $5,934 74¢ $5.9K -$74 10-19 14:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +7,015 $4,377 82¢ $5.8K +$1,411 10-31 00:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +6,760 $4,383 81¢ $5.5K +$1,072 10-29 23:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +17,434 $3,576 28¢ $4.8K +$1,218 10-22 17:23
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +17,239 $2,575 28¢ $4.7K +$2,165 10-25 23:37
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +5,992 $4,509 76¢ $4.6K +$74 10-30 23:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,585 $3,927 92¢ $4.2K +$291 09-18 21:21
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +5,895 $4,708 70¢ $4.1K -$576 10-30 15:13
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4,280 $2,705 92¢ $4.0K +$1,254 10-04 01:17
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +3,732 $3,646 96¢ $3.6K -$52 10-26 18:05
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,519 $1,165 58¢ $2.6K +$1,479 10-12 17:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3,968 $1,353 60¢ $2.4K +$1,008 10-31 07:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +2,236 $1,743 99¢ $2.2K +$461 06-18 19:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,415 $1,739 30¢ $2.2K +$449 11-01 00:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,236 $788 97¢ $2.2K +$1,373 09-03 13:37
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +8,041 $1,926 24¢ $1.9K -$36 10-17 06:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,615 $3,392 40¢ $1.9K -$1,522 10-12 17:41
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +4,045 $2,654 42¢ $1.7K -$975 10-31 07:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,927 $1,378 26¢ $1.6K +$192 10-30 12:45
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +7,673 $2,706 18¢ $1.3K -$1,363 10-29 23:41
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +4,825 $882 28¢ $1.3K +$445 10-25 17:27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +6,509 $2,371 19¢ $1.3K -$1,115 10-31 00:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,821 $1,149 64¢ $1.2K +$8 10-26 19:58
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $1,059 62¢ $1.1K +$22 10-28 20:16
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,823 $605 38¢ $684 +$79 10-26 19:58
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $659 36¢ $632 -$27 10-28 20:16
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +4,577 $563 8¢ $343 -$219 09-18 21:21