Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76dbc0…7f6987 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$10.0K
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved (90d)
391
Trades (90d)
8,977
11,558 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.11M
$1.41M lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$103.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-12 03:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
52% 56% +$2,569
Other
42% 57% +$10,269
Tech
7% 58% +$1,241
Crypto
0% 75% +$95
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +17,434 $12,773 96¢ $16.8K +$4,025 11-10 14:52
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +17,239 $13,519 97¢ $16.7K +$3,168 10-22 17:23
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +9,772 $7,097 98¢ $9.5K +$2,431 11-10 11:26
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +7,973 $5,934 86¢ $6.8K +$883 10-19 14:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +7,015 $4,377 97¢ $6.8K +$2,410 10-31 00:40
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +6,834 $5,585 95¢ $6.5K +$906 11-10 17:39
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +5,992 $4,509 88¢ $5.3K +$794 10-30 23:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,585 $3,927 98¢ $4.5K +$577 09-18 21:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4,280 $2,705 96¢ $4.1K +$1,425 10-04 01:17
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,436 $1,657 59¢ $3.2K +$1,550 11-09 21:05
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +2,800 $2,660 98¢ $2.7K +$83 11-09 22:01
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +4,382 $1,598 60¢ $2.7K +$1,053 11-11 19:26
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +2,236 $1,743 99¢ $2.2K +$478 06-18 19:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,236 $788 98¢ $2.2K +$1,413 09-03 13:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,532 $3,808 40¢ $2.2K -$1,622 11-09 21:05
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +4,463 $2,822 41¢ $1.8K -$992 11-11 19:44
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,821 $1,149 66¢ $1.2K +$63 10-26 19:58
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $1,059 70¢ $1.2K +$143 10-28 20:16
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +8,041 $1,926 12¢ $925 -$1,001 10-17 06:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,927 $1,378 15¢ $859 -$519 10-30 12:45
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +725 $664 99¢ $716 +$53 11-04 04:24
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +17,434 $3,576 4¢ $636 -$2,940 10-22 17:23
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +18,177 $2,615 3¢ $582 -$2,034 11-10 17:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $659 34¢ $580 -$79 10-28 20:16
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,823 $605 30¢ $556 -$49 10-26 19:58
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? Yes +2,000 $480 22¢ $450 -$30 11-12 03:22
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +13,487 $3,044 3¢ $438 -$2,605 11-10 20:29
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027? Yes +383 $345 90¢ $347 +$2 11-12 00:03
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? Yes +326 $61 97¢ $316 +$255 09-23 22:18
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +309 $108 98¢ $303 +$195 10-25 19:41