Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings 0x76dbc0…7f6987 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.04K
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved (90d)
391
Trades (90d)
8,947
11,522 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.10M
$1.40M lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$108.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-10 11:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 87 days
Categories
Politics
52% 56% +$2,569
Other
41% 57% +$10,269
Tech
7% 58% +$1,241
Crypto
0% 75% +$95
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 632 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +24,022 $19,124 97¢ $23.4K +$4,249 10-28 02:42
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +17,239 $13,519 97¢ $16.8K +$3,246 10-22 17:23
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +9,772 $7,097 94¢ $9.2K +$2,133 11-10 11:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +7,015 $4,377 97¢ $6.8K +$2,432 10-31 00:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +7,973 $5,934 85¢ $6.8K +$843 10-19 14:20
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +5,895 $4,708 96¢ $5.6K +$930 10-30 15:13
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +5,992 $4,509 88¢ $5.3K +$764 10-30 23:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,585 $3,927 97¢ $4.4K +$509 09-18 21:21
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +4,280 $2,705 96¢ $4.1K +$1,389 10-04 01:17
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,436 $1,657 60¢ $3.2K +$1,577 11-09 21:05
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? No +2,800 $2,660 95¢ $2.7K $0 11-09 22:01
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +4,063 $1,410 60¢ $2.5K +$1,048 11-10 11:16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +2,236 $1,743 99¢ $2.2K +$469 06-18 19:12
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2,236 $788 98¢ $2.2K +$1,409 09-03 13:37
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,532 $3,808 40¢ $2.2K -$1,622 11-09 21:05
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +4,144 $2,693 40¢ $1.7K -$1,015 11-10 11:16
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,821 $1,149 68¢ $1.2K +$81 10-26 19:58
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $1,059 69¢ $1.2K +$135 10-28 20:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,415 $1,739 16¢ $1.1K -$589 11-01 00:11
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +8,041 $1,926 12¢ $965 -$961 10-17 06:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,927 $1,378 15¢ $889 -$489 10-30 12:45
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +725 $664 98¢ $713 +$50 11-04 04:24
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,823 $605 31¢ $565 -$40 10-26 19:58
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +1,731 $659 32¢ $562 -$96 10-28 20:16
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +17,239 $2,575 3¢ $474 -$2,101 10-25 23:37
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +17,434 $3,576 3¢ $471 -$3,105 10-22 17:23
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? No +6,509 $2,371 6¢ $361 -$2,010 10-31 00:40
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? Yes +326 $61 97¢ $316 +$255 09-23 22:18
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +10,687 $2,960 3¢ $315 -$2,644 11-10 11:26
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +309 $108 98¢ $303 +$195 10-25 19:41