Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.5%

Resolved

Trades

4,343

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-21 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

64% 50% $-21

Other

21% 0% $-0

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	56	$1.7K	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	01-31 19:36
will the us strike iran next 433	20	$1.4K	728	655	+72	open	—	01-23 22:15
will the us strike somalia next 656	35	$1.2K	763	756	+8	open	—	01-24 00:18
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	34	$890	3,590	458	+3,132	open	—	01-24 02:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	64	$890	1,545	1,527	+18	open	—	04-08 01:41
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	46	$672	1,307	1,302	+6	open	—	02-27 23:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	24	$671	487	1,124	-637	open	—	01-30 00:51
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	37	$644	1,301	1,301	+0	open	—	02-19 15:07
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?	21	$633	326	428	-102	open	—	01-16 23:56
internet access restored in iran by friday	161	$584	302	302	+0	open	—	01-17 01:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	24	$510	409	409	+0	open	—	02-07 22:37
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	5	$435	492	492	+0	open	—	02-06 15:02
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	15	$420	328	193	+135	open	—	02-06 21:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	28	$410	243	401	-158	open	—	03-04 16:26
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	9	$409	243	218	+25	open	—	02-07 17:48
btc updown 15m 1769888700	29	$405	955	565	+391	open	—	01-31 19:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	24	$338	111	325	-214	open	—	02-28 17:38
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	23	$327	223	223	+0	open	—	01-31 16:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	36	$309	759	759	+0	open	—	04-14 23:38
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	19	$304	306	306	+0	open	—	02-01 05:00
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	9	$294	98	199	-101	open	—	01-21 01:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$287	295	295	+0	open	—	03-07 00:49
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	5	$280	198	198	+0	open	—	01-30 00:16
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	34	$275	279	279	+0	open	—	04-16 19:47
btc updown 5m 1771466700	10	$258	472	266	+205	open	—	02-19 02:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	58	$250	851	851	+0	open	—	04-07 19:47
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	43	$248	2,793	2,793	+0	open	—	04-14 00:53
btc updown 15m 1768781700	7	$245	187	184	+3	open	—	01-19 00:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	48	$245	402	398	+4	open	—	04-08 01:13
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	31	$240	205	205	+0	open	—	04-05 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 16:04:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x1f98ca…
06-21 16:01:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xb3814b…
06-21 16:01:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x4b254b…
06-21 06:42:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xac0550…
06-21 03:43:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x1b397c…
06-19 22:28:29	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe4cb05…
06-19 21:06:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0x8ec279…
06-19 21:06:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xe203fd…
06-19 21:02:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeba1eb…
06-19 20:59:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x8ea8a5…
06-19 20:13:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xec8fa1…
06-19 20:13:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x40f716…
06-19 20:13:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0xca4ecd…
06-19 20:10:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xa487ec…
06-19 20:08:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xa6a6e5…
06-19 20:08:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x832c14…
06-19 20:08:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x4bc133…
06-19 19:59:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xb3f462…
06-19 19:58:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x8b33a3…
06-19 19:58:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xe4b520…
06-19 19:28:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xc79d6d…
06-19 16:26:14	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x5befb3…
06-19 16:12:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x8adabe…
06-19 16:12:59	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5405cc…
06-19 06:50:26	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7e1e92…
06-19 06:38:49	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe1d765…
06-19 06:15:35	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9475c0…
06-19 01:43:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0xdd6046…
06-19 01:42:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe286d4…
06-19 01:42:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc0ca1e…
06-19 01:01:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5fd2ce…
06-19 00:38:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xbd3fd5…
06-19 00:25:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x19ed89…
06-19 00:24:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xbe7666…
06-18 13:29:44	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc9afe0…
06-18 10:57:10	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcbb230…
06-17 21:56:22	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x57c9b7…
06-17 21:50:02	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6572de…
06-17 21:36:53	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd07f54…
06-17 21:36:38	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf3e002…
06-17 21:36:37	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4cca8f…
06-17 20:53:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x51c95d…
06-17 20:21:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x99b215…
06-17 20:21:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x212b35…
06-17 20:21:34	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x68be1c…
06-17 20:21:34	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x207bb5…
06-17 20:18:11	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x079224…
06-17 20:18:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x570050…
06-17 19:35:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x54f96f…
06-17 19:28:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x9d3820…
06-17 19:26:52	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x825a6a…
06-17 19:26:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa4ae26…
06-17 19:26:26	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x71c2fd…
06-17 19:22:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7c6e10…
06-17 19:04:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7abdea…
06-17 18:55:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0xe9379d…
06-17 18:55:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0xbfc9e2…
06-17 18:55:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x96c615…
06-17 18:54:46	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x1421fb…
06-17 18:54:44	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x7ae830…
06-17 18:54:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xb44526…
06-17 18:54:14	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x1d2305…
06-17 18:54:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xeb1a76…
06-17 18:54:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x13f85c…
06-17 18:30:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7db3ef…
06-17 18:30:19	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfab36a…
06-17 18:30:17	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x0208bd…
06-17 18:27:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xce7315…
06-17 18:26:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x286295…
06-17 18:22:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xc85965…
06-17 18:21:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x12242f…
06-17 18:21:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x993153…
06-17 18:20:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x1dfb79…
06-17 18:15:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc9dcf5…
06-17 13:12:26	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xa9b5cd…
06-16 18:05:11	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4a5ae0…
06-15 16:17:43	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb66463…
06-13 22:28:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x120256…
06-13 20:31:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x5914f8…
06-13 20:31:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xc1cef8…
06-13 20:26:07	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa9b24c…
06-13 16:47:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x802860…
06-13 16:47:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x7b215a…
06-12 21:38:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x80783f…
06-12 21:25:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x689eeb…
06-12 18:06:52	Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x92d489…
06-12 15:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x5e7881…
06-12 15:16:10	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xa9c648…
06-12 15:15:36	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xe4fc53…
06-12 15:02:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x4eff68…
06-12 15:02:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x0705da…
06-12 14:58:01	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,566	1¢	$17	0xa41395…
06-12 14:57:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	165	12¢	$19	0xe1ecbd…
06-12 14:26:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x8e3d83…
06-12 03:09:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe07365…
06-12 03:09:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdd8050…
06-12 03:09:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2a1808…
06-12 02:59:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb5c640…
06-12 02:59:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xafbfc4…
06-12 02:59:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb4990a…