Emotional-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

4,197

Trades

7,289

lifetime

Volume

$110.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 49% -$1,233

Other

14% 38% -$234

Politics

4% 40% -$69

Tech

1% 57% -$125

Sports

1% 33% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	—	+55	$19	1¢	$1	-$18	10-29 07:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	28	$954	765	765	+0	India	+$343	10-22 11:06
Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	7	$692	424	424	+0	Netherlands	+$102	10-25 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$647	600	600	+0	No	+$3	05-25 18:54
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	20	$601	701	701	+0	India	+$317	10-24 11:01
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex	3	$600	440	440	+0	Kent	+$280	05-25 17:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	29	$514	646	646	+0	Yes	-$3	05-25 11:52
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	33	$499	448	448	+0	No	+$1	07-06 07:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	9	$486	350	350	+0	No	+$2	05-24 03:13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	4	$450	1,451	0	+1,451	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$450	05-20 14:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$395	400	400	+0	No	-$1	05-25 14:09
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$392	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-06 09:22
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	8	$375	338	338	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$115	05-19 17:35
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	18	$370	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-01 03:31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$368	1,610	0	+1,610	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$368	05-26 16:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$328	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 18:03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$320	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 12:14
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	8	$319	394	394	+0	Pakistan	+$39	10-25 15:41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	17	$318	300	300	+0	No	-$4	05-23 16:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$262	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 14:20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$260	300	300	+0	Yes	-$10	05-20 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:15 UTC	3	$257	153	152	+0	Up	-$14	03-03 05:18
Will South Africa win?	10	$228	1,136	538	+597	open	—	10-29 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$220	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$216	800	800	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:36
Will the match end in a draw?	12	$213	900	900	+0	open	—	10-28 13:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 13:00 UTC	2	$209	106	106	+0	Up	+$0	01-23 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$209	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 17:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	4	$197	500	500	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 13:55
criccpl jam bar 2026 08 11	6	$196	400	300	+100	Barbados Tridents	+$104	08-12 03:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	05-25 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:46:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xe0b234…
10-29 07:44:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x6b45c2…
10-29 07:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0xf52535…
10-29 07:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x308ab3…
10-29 07:27:31	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder	Sydney Thunder	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0d9933…
10-29 06:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6c8fa1…
10-29 06:13:23	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xad5174…
10-29 06:10:04	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x6c9943…
10-29 05:58:02	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xc4db5f…
10-29 05:21:08	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xd6ff4d…
10-29 05:07:41	Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Renegades vs Sydney Thunder	Sydney Thunder	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x326c78…
10-29 05:01:13	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x45cec8…
10-29 04:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0xc32fad…
10-29 04:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xce3a1e…
10-29 04:51:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xb5e144…
10-29 04:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x87a8e9…
10-29 04:48:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xc8faec…
10-29 04:47:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x79c3c2…
10-29 04:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xeaac56…
10-29 04:44:02	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x377cb6…
10-29 04:42:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xdb223b…
10-29 04:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x38170d…
10-29 04:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x43b690…
10-29 04:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x2ba1eb…
10-29 04:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0x8b4f76…
10-29 04:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x87ba72…
10-29 04:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8957de…
10-29 04:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd9be9c…
10-29 04:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xbad864…
10-29 04:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xb80d83…
10-29 04:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x6d6a10…
10-29 04:33:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x221b89…
10-29 04:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x22a93b…
10-29 04:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc13113…
10-29 04:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	71¢	$15	0x0bac1d…
10-29 04:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd894a0…
10-29 04:25:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x4d7a8e…
10-29 04:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xf3d11e…
10-29 04:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x31e261…
10-29 04:20:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xbfca85…
10-29 04:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x73526e…
10-29 04:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xd347c5…
10-29 04:17:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x1db987…
10-29 04:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xff8a27…
10-29 04:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x9c66f6…
10-29 04:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x57e5b4…
10-29 04:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xa57730…
10-29 04:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x5be80a…
10-29 04:00:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xc7454f…
10-29 04:00:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xb8e636…
10-29 03:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x0ca940…
10-29 03:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xbdcc28…
10-29 03:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x9d4d31…
10-29 03:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x4a6c31…
10-29 03:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xec5bf7…
10-29 03:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x78a056…
10-29 03:56:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0x3d2e62…
10-29 03:55:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x11d121…
10-29 03:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xbf35d0…
10-29 03:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x826054…
10-29 03:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x993b78…
10-29 03:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x38ea18…
10-29 03:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xed495f…
10-29 03:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x417265…
10-29 03:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xcff321…
10-29 03:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xfd6419…
10-29 03:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xc5d3da…
10-29 03:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x41707a…
10-29 03:40:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xe4ffa5…
10-29 03:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc6c178…
10-29 03:33:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x26af06…
10-29 03:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x793832…
10-29 03:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x75f5e9…
10-29 03:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xf5c424…
10-29 03:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0x63a4a4…
10-29 03:25:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x08b8b6…
10-29 03:22:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	16¢	$5	0x8f94b4…
10-29 03:18:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x25f056…
10-29 03:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0xac3224…
10-29 03:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x6aa9e1…
10-29 03:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x04558f…
10-29 02:58:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xe0d055…
10-29 02:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xf06d82…
10-29 02:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x347e19…
10-29 02:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x8de213…
10-29 02:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x5eb7a5…
10-29 02:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x990a74…
10-29 02:48:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd59f98…
10-29 02:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcca478…
10-29 02:48:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbdac45…
10-29 02:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x2d3281…
10-29 02:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x197569…
10-29 02:36:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x002be7…
10-29 02:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x9388fd…
10-29 02:34:02	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x8ba7f8…
10-29 02:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xfadc76…
10-29 02:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa843cc…
10-29 02:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x4392bf…
10-29 02:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfd1c00…
10-29 02:29:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xb0f765…