Emotional-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved (90d)

615

Trades (90d)

1,261

7,530 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$21.0K

$114.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-05 15:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 49% -$1,262

Other

15% 39% -$130

Politics

3% 38% -$69

Tech

1% 57% -$125

Sports

1% 29% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	28	$954	765	765	+0	India	+$343	10-22 11:06
Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	7	$692	424	424	+0	Netherlands	+$102	10-25 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$647	600	600	+0	No	+$3	05-25 18:54
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	20	$601	701	701	+0	India	+$317	10-24 11:01
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex	3	$600	440	440	+0	Kent	+$280	05-25 17:19
Will South Africa win?	19	$549	1,510	1,510	+0	Yes	+$111	10-29 14:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	29	$514	646	646	+0	Yes	-$3	05-25 11:52
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	33	$499	448	448	+0	No	+$1	07-06 07:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	9	$486	350	350	+0	No	+$2	05-24 03:13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	4	$450	1,451	0	+1,451	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$450	05-20 14:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$395	400	400	+0	No	-$1	05-25 14:09
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$392	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-06 09:22
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	8	$375	338	338	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$115	05-19 17:35
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	18	$370	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-01 03:31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$368	1,610	0	+1,610	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$368	05-26 16:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$328	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 18:03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$320	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 12:14
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	8	$319	394	394	+0	Pakistan	+$39	10-25 15:41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	17	$318	300	300	+0	No	-$4	05-23 16:41
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	4	$285	300	300	+0	New Zealand	+$75	11-01 07:51
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	6	$269	479	214	+265	Sydney Sixers	+$48	11-01 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$262	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 14:20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$260	300	300	+0	Yes	-$10	05-20 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:15 UTC	3	$257	153	152	+0	Up	-$14	03-03 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$220	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$216	800	800	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:36
Will the match end in a draw?	13	$215	919	900	+19	No	+$1	10-31 08:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 13:00 UTC	2	$209	106	106	+0	Up	+$0	01-23 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$209	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 17:57
Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	7	$199	200	200	+0	South Africa	+$119	10-31 04:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:23:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x415247…
11-05 15:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5719e1…
11-05 15:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xb14bf6…
11-05 15:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xef67a8…
11-05 15:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x98e63e…
11-05 15:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x11eeb4…
11-05 15:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x217c55…
11-05 15:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x089dd4…
11-05 15:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x3870dc…
11-05 14:49:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa2c935…
11-05 14:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0x63843a…
11-05 14:44:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5f6237…
11-05 14:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	74¢	$27	0xbf4084…
11-05 14:40:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x98ca38…
11-05 14:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x16d139…
11-05 14:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x3e4c7e…
11-05 14:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xf7322b…
11-05 11:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	33¢	$9	0x9efbc6…
11-05 11:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x51d0b4…
11-05 11:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6795d6…
11-05 11:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xc76ca5…
11-05 11:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	93¢	$18	0xed7d80…
11-05 11:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x686a9f…
11-05 11:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x98127c…
11-05 11:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x4ac53b…
11-05 11:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0xaf43c0…
11-05 11:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x2f20ba…
11-05 11:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x314a9c…
11-05 11:18:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xe7aabc…
11-05 11:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xe988a7…
11-05 11:16:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x548c63…
11-05 11:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xb74271…
11-05 11:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0xbbf1c5…
11-05 11:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xca6875…
11-05 11:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0xb3749e…
11-05 11:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x432845…
11-05 11:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1c132a…
11-05 11:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2d1bbf…
11-05 11:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x024540…
11-05 11:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf5d3a9…
11-05 11:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x8345e6…
11-05 11:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x7f29c4…
11-05 11:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x43ec5c…
11-05 11:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xfe70f3…
11-05 11:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x48d51e…
11-05 10:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x8129ac…
11-05 10:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0x23b93e…
11-05 10:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x51aa58…
11-05 10:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x28748e…
11-05 10:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x120e13…
11-05 10:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe343b4…
11-05 10:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x05fbe0…
11-05 10:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf72c22…
11-05 10:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xce397b…
11-05 10:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x663d05…
11-05 10:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x360ee2…
11-05 10:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x245288…
11-05 10:31:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x57458a…
11-05 10:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xd54a5f…
11-05 10:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x863d4a…
11-05 10:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xf1e2fc…
11-05 10:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x3d6d2f…
11-05 10:20:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xb48673…
11-05 10:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x0b4ce1…
11-05 10:17:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	38	91¢	$35	0xe6fd22…
11-05 10:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x9b4dd2…
11-04 12:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xc00efa…
11-04 12:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xcba6f0…
11-04 11:16:03	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	SELL	170	29¢	$49	0x2c5066…
11-04 10:20:22	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x63e538…
11-04 09:04:19	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x3f3b25…
11-04 09:01:40	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	73	29¢	$21	0xf8ab94…
11-04 09:01:31	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xfe8d26…
11-04 09:01:15	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x428abb…
11-02 00:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0x4cb246…
11-02 00:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x44f19e…
11-02 00:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x3b6486…
11-02 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xa323e8…
11-01 16:29:42	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x5626eb…
11-01 16:00:43	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6e7230…
11-01 13:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x1e3f77…
11-01 13:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xc62915…
11-01 13:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x9c5af3…
11-01 13:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbc5194…
11-01 12:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd8297f…
11-01 12:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xc19b8f…
11-01 12:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x287709…
11-01 12:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x25c110…
11-01 12:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x609997…
11-01 12:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x0b6017…
11-01 12:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb37b9d…
11-01 12:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9ce4ee…
11-01 12:27:58	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x83f3fb…
11-01 12:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x778099…
11-01 12:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf88734…
11-01 12:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x01052b…
11-01 12:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3a37b1…
11-01 12:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9a05ff…
11-01 11:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xff9076…
11-01 11:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa722c5…