Emotional-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved (7d)

150

Trades (7d)

355

7,471 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$6.00K

$114.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 49% -$1,240

Other

15% 39% -$130

Politics

3% 38% -$69

Tech

1% 57% -$125

Sports

1% 33% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 243 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	28	$954	765	765	+0	India	+$343	10-22 11:06
Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	7	$692	424	424	+0	Netherlands	+$102	10-25 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$647	600	600	+0	No	+$3	05-25 18:54
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	20	$601	701	701	+0	India	+$317	10-24 11:01
T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex	3	$600	440	440	+0	Kent	+$280	05-25 17:19
Will South Africa win?	19	$549	1,510	1,510	+0	Yes	+$111	10-29 14:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	29	$514	646	646	+0	Yes	-$3	05-25 11:52
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	33	$499	448	448	+0	No	+$1	07-06 07:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	9	$486	350	350	+0	No	+$2	05-24 03:13
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	4	$450	1,451	0	+1,451	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$450	05-20 14:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$395	400	400	+0	No	-$1	05-25 14:09
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$392	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	07-06 09:22
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	8	$375	338	338	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$115	05-19 17:35
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	18	$370	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-01 03:31
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	3	$368	1,610	0	+1,610	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	-$368	05-26 16:27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	3	$328	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-18 18:03
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	4	$320	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 12:14
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	8	$319	394	394	+0	Pakistan	+$39	10-25 15:41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	17	$318	300	300	+0	No	-$4	05-23 16:41
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	4	$285	300	300	+0	New Zealand	+$75	11-01 07:51
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	6	$269	479	214	+265	Sydney Sixers	+$48	11-01 09:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$262	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 14:20
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$260	300	300	+0	Yes	-$10	05-20 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 05:15 UTC	3	$257	153	152	+0	Up	-$14	03-03 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	2	$220	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	05-22 08:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	17	$216	800	800	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:36
Will the match end in a draw?	13	$215	919	900	+19	No	+$1	10-31 08:40
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 13:00 UTC	2	$209	106	106	+0	Up	+$0	01-23 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$209	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 17:57
Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	7	$199	200	200	+0	South Africa	+$119	10-31 04:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 12:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xc00efa…
11-04 12:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0xcba6f0…
11-04 11:16:03	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	SELL	170	29¢	$49	0x2c5066…
11-04 10:20:22	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x63e538…
11-04 09:04:19	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x3f3b25…
11-04 09:01:40	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	73	29¢	$21	0xf8ab94…
11-04 09:01:31	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xfe8d26…
11-04 09:01:15	Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x428abb…
11-02 00:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0x4cb246…
11-02 00:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x44f19e…
11-02 00:39:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x3b6486…
11-02 00:36:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xa323e8…
11-01 16:29:42	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x5626eb…
11-01 16:00:43	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6e7230…
11-01 13:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x1e3f77…
11-01 13:09:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0xc62915…
11-01 13:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x9c5af3…
11-01 13:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbc5194…
11-01 12:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd8297f…
11-01 12:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xc19b8f…
11-01 12:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x287709…
11-01 12:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x25c110…
11-01 12:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x609997…
11-01 12:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x0b6017…
11-01 12:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb37b9d…
11-01 12:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x9ce4ee…
11-01 12:27:58	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x83f3fb…
11-01 12:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x778099…
11-01 12:22:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf88734…
11-01 12:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x01052b…
11-01 12:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3a37b1…
11-01 12:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9a05ff…
11-01 11:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xff9076…
11-01 11:53:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa722c5…
11-01 11:20:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xb2acc2…
11-01 11:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe5f962…
11-01 11:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9cc628…
11-01 11:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xb98e52…
11-01 10:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xbdee95…
11-01 10:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x003139…
11-01 10:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x0709e2…
11-01 09:29:40	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x1e7b71…
11-01 09:26:34	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6358c8…
11-01 09:15:52	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb14aa2…
11-01 09:09:37	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Sydney Sixers	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x6aabe5…
11-01 09:09:03	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Hobart Hurricanes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0xaced75…
11-01 09:08:25	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Sydney Sixers	SELL	161	72¢	$116	0x3eb802…
11-01 08:54:04	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0xdcf09c…
11-01 08:54:03	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	188	30¢	$57	0x95dc4e…
11-01 08:27:30	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes	Sydney Sixers	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0xdaa152…
11-01 07:51:16	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0x93a37c…
11-01 07:51:16	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	213	60¢	$128	0x5da00d…
11-01 07:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xd5a383…
11-01 07:19:58	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x21fac4…
11-01 07:19:54	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	229	35¢	$80	0x6160d9…
11-01 07:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1c35c8…
11-01 04:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x3aa84d…
11-01 04:33:25	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xd52f9d…
11-01 04:28:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xf638cd…
11-01 04:28:00	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x17eb07…
11-01 04:24:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe7b04d…
11-01 04:21:24	Hong Kong Sixes: United Arab Emirates vs Scotland	United Arab Emirates	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xef9508…
11-01 04:21:03	Hong Kong Sixes: United Arab Emirates vs Scotland	United Arab Emirates	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x17674b…
11-01 04:20:37	Hong Kong Sixes: United Arab Emirates vs Scotland	United Arab Emirates	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x2ed7c0…
10-31 17:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x8ca9bc…
10-31 16:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xac49b4…
10-31 16:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x21bec2…
10-31 16:27:28	Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Biratnagar Kings	Sudurpaschim Royals	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5ca7b0…
10-31 16:10:16	Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Biratnagar Kings	Sudurpaschim Royals	BUY	170	14¢	$24	0x6c087c…
10-31 15:25:21	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	193	38¢	$73	0xebdac7…
10-31 14:56:27	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	193	20¢	$39	0x8d36aa…
10-31 09:39:15	Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xeca0ca…
10-31 08:40:31	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x4b5edd…
10-31 08:36:55	Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x908506…
10-31 08:31:04	Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	108	22¢	$24	0xca5e5f…
10-31 08:30:27	Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades	Melbourne Renegades	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0x249a2c…
10-31 05:55:54	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars	Melbourne Stars	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8ff05c…
10-31 05:17:15	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars	Melbourne Stars	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xda6cf6…
10-31 04:39:43	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x7afec2…
10-31 04:34:00	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x9820bd…
10-31 04:33:52	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	SELL	70	60¢	$42	0x443035…
10-31 04:25:39	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x4ddc09…
10-31 03:58:43	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xce7482…
10-31 03:58:18	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x00223f…
10-31 03:57:33	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa	South Africa	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x5ef5b8…
10-30 02:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x567d46…
10-30 02:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0x5b0976…
10-30 02:40:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xf7cffb…
10-30 02:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	79¢	$22	0x0994f0…
10-30 02:26:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x6b118d…
10-30 02:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcddbff…
10-30 02:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x5161f6…
10-30 02:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf92f46…
10-30 02:21:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x8488e7…
10-30 02:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdece78…
10-30 02:17:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x7c4885…
10-29 16:10:38	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x2e5126…
10-29 16:09:49	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc14af9…
10-29 15:53:25	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	97	7¢	$7	0xdfcbeb…
10-29 15:52:52	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xda8fd3…