Major-Merit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

310 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.76K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-30 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

60% 18% -$127

Crypto

19% 8% +$119

Sports

13% 10% -$126

Politics

8% 13% -$105

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes		-200	-$20	2¢	$-4	+$16	05-18 11:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	10	$447	1,044	748	+296	No	+$326	01-30 12:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	15	$445	2,299	2,299	+0	Yes	-$38	01-31 08:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 29	9	$444	571	571	+0	Yes	+$364	01-29 15:52
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	8	$237	1,025	870	+155	No	+$113	02-01 11:42
nba mem sac 2026 02 04	10	$208	412	212	+200	Grizzlies	+$47	02-05 05:35
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	9	$180	3,981	2,552	+1,429	No	-$160	01-30 12:13
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	3	$133	129	129	+0	Yes	+$57	01-30 16:28
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	17	$80	4,364	4,464	-100	No	-$51	01-30 07:58
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	8	$77	2,513	2,513	+0	No	-$55	01-30 07:57
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	9	$72	45,780	0	+45,780	No	-$72	01-28 16:33
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	3	$62	200	200	+0	No	+$56	02-08 19:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:45 UTC	1	$58	199	0	+199	Down	-$58	02-05 06:57
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	8	$55	1,075	1,075	+0	No	-$27	02-02 15:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:30 UTC	1	$51	219	0	+219	Up	-$51	02-11 00:43
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$49	6,164	0	+6,164	No	-$49	01-30 19:28
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$49	6,100	0	+6,100	No	-$49	05-31 12:59
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	5	$49	2,086	2,086	+0	No	-$36	02-03 23:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$45	771	438	+333	No	-$31	03-09 21:44
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$43	11,727	0	+11,727	No	-$43	01-28 13:00
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	8	$42	643	643	+0	No	-$8	02-03 23:20
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	3	$38	136	136	+0	No	-$16	02-05 12:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$38	499	499	+0	No	-$10	02-06 23:46
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$36	539	539	+0	No	-$3	06-30 22:16
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	4	$33	229	229	+0	No	-$15	02-05 18:25
will trump sue trevor noah by march 31	2	$32	115	115	+0	No	+$0	02-06 21:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$32	130	0	+130	No	-$32	06-30 22:18
si hit 150 high jan 2026	5	$31	2,905	2,905	+0	No	-$19	01-30 07:57
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$31	219	0	+219	No	-$31	03-09 21:57
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	5	$31	752	752	+0	No	+$1	02-03 20:08
will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the golden state warriors	2	$29	147	147	+0	No	+$9	02-05 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:18:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	31¢	$22	0xd8ca6a…
06-30 22:16:34	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	539	3¢	$16	0xac62f8…
06-30 22:16:20	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	11¢	$7	0x6507b9…
06-30 18:07:13	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 2pt5	Norway	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0xb2a7e8…
06-30 18:04:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x79376e…
06-26 19:19:02	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	192	5¢	$9	0x94f44b…
06-26 19:17:59	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$3	0x19293a…
06-20 20:53:23	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	539	4¢	$19	0xb735f4…
06-20 20:52:25	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	833	0¢	$2	0x1277ae…
06-20 20:52:16	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	556	2¢	$8	0x755c6e…
06-20 18:09:34	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,235	0¢	$10	0x727b29…
05-31 13:18:38	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,235	0¢	$6	0xc9205d…
05-31 13:17:54	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x27f9d2…
05-31 13:17:26	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x9ae3e7…
05-31 13:17:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x3e6434…
05-31 13:16:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xdfb170…
05-31 13:16:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x940773…
05-31 13:16:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x930977…
05-31 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbea7a4…
05-31 13:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc5564e…
05-31 13:01:50	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0xa662b3…
05-31 13:01:26	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xe7635c…
05-31 13:01:13	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x27ba54…
05-31 13:00:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf45b61…
05-31 13:00:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xa09811…
05-31 13:00:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4135fa…
05-31 12:59:37	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,100	1¢	$49	0x55f999…
05-18 11:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x0cc69e…
05-18 11:51:03	Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xfb96b0…
03-09 21:57:45	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	219	14¢	$31	0xca1738…
03-09 21:48:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0x5225ad…
03-09 21:44:21	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x67ad8b…
03-09 21:44:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0xa7079f…
03-03 13:58:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	598	1¢	$8	0x5f5e41…
03-03 13:58:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,250	0¢	$5	0x7f25df…
03-03 13:58:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	438	2¢	$7	0xc853e6…
02-11 00:43:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	219	23¢	$51	0x483968…
02-11 00:40:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0x67b25e…
02-10 14:06:09	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 460 479	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9b09a7…
02-09 10:53:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	152	10¢	$15	0xff831a…
02-09 10:52:17	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x2af0d0…
02-08 22:11:01	will mia be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$1	0xfb60e1…
02-08 22:10:53	will callaita be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x35c1d2…
02-08 22:10:45	will dkiti be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb7d7bc…
02-08 19:45:11	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$59	0x8e462c…
02-08 16:02:41	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	Yes	SELL	337	4¢	$14	0xcfc813…
02-08 10:27:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	Yes	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0x272393…
02-08 10:27:11	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x2dc11a…
02-08 01:59:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x0388ca…
02-08 01:56:39	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xb028d3…
02-06 23:53:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	193	11¢	$20	0x743b0a…
02-06 23:46:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	499	3¢	$14	0x0fd008…
02-06 23:46:23	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	62	11¢	$7	0xe3f7bf…
02-06 23:39:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	185	10¢	$18	0xf6f95e…
02-06 21:42:53	will trump sue trevor noah by march 31	Yes	SELL	115	14¢	$16	0xb66be7…
02-06 21:40:25	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 460 479	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x9000cf…
02-06 14:30:17	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xeb025a…
02-06 03:24:39	nba sas dal 2026 02 05	Mavericks	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x89ecd1…
02-05 18:26:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x41e41d…
02-05 18:25:27	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x320e09…
02-05 15:41:23	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the san antonio spurs	Yes	SELL	3,250	0¢	$3	0x638362…
02-05 15:41:13	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	Yes	SELL	232	0¢	$1	0xfde5fc…
02-05 15:40:59	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to cleveland cavaliers	Yes	SELL	223	0¢	$0	0xe50402…
02-05 15:40:43	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x066369…
02-05 14:37:31	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the new york knicks	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x122f64…
02-05 12:03:39	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x54fa4e…
02-05 11:47:41	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to the miami heat	Yes	SELL	128	7¢	$9	0x487936…
02-05 11:44:59	will giannis antetokounmpo be traded to minnesota timberwolves	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x41b37d…
02-05 06:57:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	199	29¢	$58	0x640635…
02-05 06:44:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,924	0¢	$2	0xc60823…
02-05 06:43:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd601d8…
02-05 06:43:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x845b37…
02-05 06:28:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x1f7f26…
02-05 06:28:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xdf3788…
02-05 06:27:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xde1c2c…
02-05 06:26:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xe01589…
02-05 06:26:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8c7e01…
02-05 06:26:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x30595a…
02-05 06:26:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0b0fc0…
02-05 06:26:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbb6322…
02-05 06:26:41	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x08c862…
02-05 06:26:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbbb124…
02-05 06:26:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa968f0…
02-05 06:26:35	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x880e73…
02-05 06:26:33	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	113	2¢	$2	0xa4350a…
02-05 06:14:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x845e2b…
02-05 06:13:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1f94ef…
02-05 05:58:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0xd2c7b2…
02-05 05:57:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9dc5d5…
02-05 05:55:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x02cce8…
02-05 05:53:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0x8f384e…
02-05 05:52:05	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x87fe66…
02-05 05:50:01	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x692196…
02-05 05:49:47	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	180	2¢	$3	0x3f9b5a…
02-05 05:49:35	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0x81cfac…
02-05 05:48:57	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 460 479	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x132676…
02-05 05:48:39	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 480 499	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x54106c…
02-05 05:48:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 500 519	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfaf03b…
02-05 05:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x413e5f…
02-05 05:41:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfbcf15…