Realized P&L
-$250
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved
1,687
Trades
6,219
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$440
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-09 02:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Crypto
77% 46% -$260
Other
15% 42% +$15
Politics
4% 44% -$14
Sports
3% 48% +$9
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +60 $52 100¢ $60 +$8 11-09 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 9? No +60 $58 100¢ $60 +$2 11-08 23:31
Hornets vs. Suns Suns — +60 $40 68¢ $40 +$0 11-09 00:45
Dota 2: Froglings vs Team Synapse (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Team Synapse +97 $34 36¢ $36 +$1 11-09 02:21
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12? Yes +60 $31 50¢ $30 $0 11-09 01:11
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +60 $20 37¢ $22 +$2 11-09 01:32
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +20 $17 98¢ $20 +$3 11-04 02:11
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +19 $6 100¢ $19 +$13 11-07 13:33
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs struggletony (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Regular Season ECSTATIC +29 $19 64¢ $18 -$1 11-06 12:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -17 -$7 87¢ $-15 -$8 04-30 13:26
Will T1 Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? No +10 $6 100¢ $10 +$4 10-23 18:44
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 11-07 18:01
Heat vs. Jazz Heat +14 $10 73¢ $10 +$0 11-09 02:19
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 87¢ $9 +$1 10-25 06:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$1 10-22 17:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? No +10 $8 76¢ $8 $0 11-08 21:55
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +20 $7 34¢ $7 $0 10-23 05:42
Will WaiterG win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final? No +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 11-09 01:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +10 $3 53¢ $5 +$3 10-22 20:25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +10 $6 52¢ $5 -$1 10-23 11:19
Heat vs. Kings Kings +43 $10 12¢ $5 -$5 11-08 10:35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 -$1 04-29 19:56
Magic vs. Kings Magic +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 11-07 19:29
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 05-06 20:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$2 87¢ $-4 -$2 04-30 08:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +9 $4 46¢ $4 +$0 10-30 21:25
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 10-23 09:29
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 10-25 06:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 +$0 11-05 01:03
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Alliance (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #11 Playoffs FOKUS — +5 $3 56¢ $3 $0 11-09 02:43