Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 8PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$2,665
$695 in 24h
Trades
373
Unique wallets
77
Liquidity
$2,346
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-11-09
First seen
2026-11-08
last 11-09 02:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.8¢
(top1%: 43% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 27% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $519 | $639 | $120 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $101 | $986 | $885 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $26 | $79 | $54 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $20 | $53 | $34 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 25 | $517 | $679 | $162 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $71 | $60 | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 5 | $11 | $43 | $31 |
| Below median | 17 | $21 | $52 | $31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $7 | $24 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $812 | $812 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $37 | $85 | $48 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x17db…c1e8 | Down | +965 | $669 | $669 | 4 | 11-09 01:44 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +616 | $141 | $141 | 32 | 11-09 01:43 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +328 | $185 | $185 | 17 | 11-09 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e | Up | +282 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 11-09 01:43 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +176 | $45 | $45 | 37 | 11-09 01:44 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | +172 | $69 | $76 | 16 | 11-09 01:56 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +136 | $91 | $91 | 28 | 11-09 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Down | +120 | $92 | $92 | 4 | 11-09 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +120 | $85 | $85 | 9 | 11-09 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | +115 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 11-09 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +100 | $25 | $25 | 8 | 11-09 01:59 |
| Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | +80 | $85 | $196 | 11 | 11-09 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8acf…9b65 | Up | +75 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-09 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +67 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 11-09 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | +61 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-09 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Up | +60 | $17 | $17 | 12 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | +46 | $22 | $33 | 5 | 11-09 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a85…3f44 | Up | +43 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-09 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | +42 | $27 | $27 | 12 | 11-09 01:59 |
| Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57 | Up | +35 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 11-09 01:57 |
| Adolescent-Pantology 0x4699…d412 | Up | +31 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-09 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | +30 | $15 | $70 | 12 | 11-09 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3062…5942 | Down | +30 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 11-09 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | +28 | $13 | $25 | 5 | 11-09 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x742e…7fe6 | Down | +24 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 11-09 01:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Down | +22 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 11-09 01:44 |
| Unlucky-Oregano 0xef10…0b43 | Up | +22 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-09 01:50 |
| Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-09 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-09 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a37…3b1d | Up | +18 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xb764…a172 | Up | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x727b…93f5 | Up | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf318…68f0 | Up | +18 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd59d…65b3 | Up | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xd59d…65b3 | Down | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-09 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51d…9329 | Down | +15 | $17 | $46 | 15 | 11-09 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51d…9329 | Up | +15 | $2 | $15 | 10 | 11-09 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xf81c…9348 | Down | +14 | $13 | $14 | 4 | 11-09 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb24…5255 | Up | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb24…5255 | Down | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-09 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d64…9c39 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-09 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d64…9c39 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-09 01:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a37…3b1d | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-09 01:12 |
| Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| Past-List 0xafbc…a8b5 | Up | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-09 01:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd892…f028 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x06ad…6b2f | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:43 |
| Spiffy-Sailboat 0xd91e…bf1d | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-09 01:59 |
| Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:50 |
| Pink-Boulevard 0x7839…c351 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xabef…3f5a | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xf61b…b637 | Down | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-09 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x26a4…38fb | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8c7…d844 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x126f…b780 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-09 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe434…580a | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 01:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 02:08:39 | Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4f4b33… |
| 11-09 02:08:39 | (anonymous) 0xd84f…4b5b | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4f4b33… |
| 11-09 02:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x78bf…f861 | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xcf5cc0… |
| 11-09 02:00:48 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0xcf5cc0… |
| 11-09 01:59:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69c537… |
| 11-09 01:59:51 | Hideous-Sleepiness 0x6f19…57f4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x69c537… |
| 11-09 01:59:51 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69c537… |
| 11-09 01:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x4940fd… |
| 11-09 01:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Up | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4940fd… |
| 11-09 01:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x4940fd… |
| 11-09 01:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4940fd… |
| 11-09 01:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x26a4…38fb | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xef67a2… |
| 11-09 01:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb18014… |
| 11-09 01:59:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef67a2… |
| 11-09 01:59:27 | Spiffy-Sailboat 0xd91e…bf1d | Down | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xb18014… |
| 11-09 01:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb2ac05… |
| 11-09 01:59:07 | Flimsy-Warmup 0xc115…8a10 | Down | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xb2ac05… |
| 11-09 01:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xbc439e… |
| 11-09 01:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x1cd7…1807 | Down | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xbc439e… |
| 11-09 01:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc6e159… |
| 11-09 01:57:34 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xc6e159… |
| 11-09 01:57:16 | Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57 | Up | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xe32761… |
| 11-09 01:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 1 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xe32761… |
| 11-09 01:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0x1bafe3… |
| 11-09 01:57:10 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x1bafe3… |
| 11-09 01:57:10 | Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57 | Up | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x1bafe3… |
| 11-09 01:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x1fcee1… |
| 11-09 01:57:07 | Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57 | Up | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x1fcee1… |
| 11-09 01:57:06 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 13 | 64¢ | $8 | 0xab2d6a… |
| 11-09 01:57:06 | Infinite-Exhibit 0x438d…ce57 | Up | BUY | 13 | 64¢ | $8 | 0xab2d6a… |
| 11-09 01:57:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x4f98b0… |
| 11-09 01:57:03 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x376cfd… |
| 11-09 01:57:03 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x4f98b0… |
| 11-09 01:57:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x376cfd… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3b844f… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3c5c14… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xc43a75… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3c5c14… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x3b844f… |
| 11-09 01:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xc43a75… |
| 11-09 01:56:43 | (anonymous) 0x78bf…f861 | Down | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0xf89c39… |
| 11-09 01:56:43 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0xf89c39… |
| 11-09 01:56:15 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x3f4646… |
| 11-09 01:56:15 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | SELL | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x3f4646… |
| 11-09 01:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x18d7ac… |
| 11-09 01:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x18d7ac… |
| 11-09 01:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x71f5…966e | Down | BUY | 0 | 58¢ | $0 | 0x18d7ac… |
| 11-09 01:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xd9c5ad… |
| 11-09 01:55:52 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xd9c5ad… |
| 11-09 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | SELL | 13 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xc432d6… |
| 11-09 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xc432d6… |
| 11-09 01:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…3f44 | Up | BUY | 23 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xc432d6… |
| 11-09 01:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x410b25… |
| 11-09 01:52:09 | (anonymous) 0xba76…4020 | Up | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x410b25… |
| 11-09 01:51:36 | (anonymous) 0xf51d…9329 | Down | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x9aff89… |
| 11-09 01:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Down | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x9aff89… |
| 11-09 01:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xb762…3236 | Up | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xce41c3… |
| 11-09 01:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xce41c3… |
| 11-09 01:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xf51d…9329 | Down | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc18ae8… |
| 11-09 01:51:07 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc18ae8… |
| 11-09 01:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x36e141… |
| 11-09 01:51:03 | Adolescent-Pantology 0x4699…d412 | Up | BUY | 31 | 68¢ | $21 | 0x36e141… |
| 11-09 01:51:03 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 32¢ | $4 | 0x36e141… |
| 11-09 01:50:30 | Unlucky-Oregano 0xef10…0b43 | Up | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x3bc4bb… |
| 11-09 01:50:30 | Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Down | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x3bc4bb… |
| 11-09 01:49:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xbe7782… |
| 11-09 01:49:25 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Down | SELL | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xbe7782… |
| 11-09 01:48:01 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xf93701… |
| 11-09 01:48:01 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | SELL | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xf93701… |
| 11-09 01:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0xa628bf… |
| 11-09 01:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xd84f…4b5b | Down | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0xa628bf… |
| 11-09 01:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | SELL | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x0dc1dd… |
| 11-09 01:46:09 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x0dc1dd… |
| 11-09 01:46:09 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | SELL | 11 | 64¢ | $7 | 0x0dc1dd… |
| 11-09 01:46:03 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x00307d… |
| 11-09 01:46:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x00307d… |
| 11-09 01:45:45 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xe9125e… |
| 11-09 01:45:45 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0xe9125e… |
| 11-09 01:45:40 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x6cc2d9… |
| 11-09 01:45:40 | Pink-Boulevard 0x7839…c351 | Down | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x6cc2d9… |
| 11-09 01:45:21 | (anonymous) 0xb762…3236 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x46040c… |
| 11-09 01:45:21 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x46040c… |
| 11-09 01:45:18 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Up | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x70c8c3… |
| 11-09 01:45:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x70c8c3… |
| 11-09 01:45:15 | (anonymous) 0xf51d…9329 | Up | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x1df320… |
| 11-09 01:45:15 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 16 | 50¢ | $8 | 0x1df320… |
| 11-09 01:45:15 | (anonymous) 0xcb24…5255 | Down | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x1df320… |
| 11-09 01:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 35 | 54¢ | $19 | 0x119bf8… |
| 11-09 01:45:13 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 35 | 46¢ | $16 | 0x119bf8… |
| 11-09 01:45:12 | (anonymous) 0xd8de…70f1 | Down | SELL | 110 | 56¢ | $61 | 0x167a08… |
| 11-09 01:45:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 110 | 56¢ | $61 | 0x167a08… |
| 11-09 01:45:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 40 | 56¢ | $23 | 0xfb8718… |
| 11-09 01:45:12 | (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | BUY | 40 | 44¢ | $18 | 0xfb8718… |
| 11-09 01:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x58c00b… |
| 11-09 01:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9 | Down | BUY | 0 | 55¢ | $0 | 0xe9af8f… |
| 11-09 01:45:07 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Down | SELL | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xe9af8f… |
| 11-09 01:45:07 | Any-Eyeball 0x6006…c7e4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x58c00b… |
| 11-09 01:45:07 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Down | BUY | 15 | 55¢ | $8 | 0xe9af8f… |
| 11-09 01:45:06 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 35 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x981533… |
| 11-09 01:45:06 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 35 | 55¢ | $19 | 0x981533… |