Square-Itinerary 0x787585…0d0dfb Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$182
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
295
Trades
1,432
lifetime
Volume
$5.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$225
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-19 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
52% 55% +$201
Politics
21% 51% -$16
Tech
13% 57% -$66
Crypto
7% 75% +$9
Sports
6% 45% +$63
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +31 $22 94¢ $29 +$7 08-31 04:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +37 $17 76¢ $28 +$11 10-02 23:06
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +23 $10 79¢ $19 +$8 09-25 13:50
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +61 $21 30¢ $18 -$2 07-24 19:12
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +17 $10 84¢ $14 +$5 10-06 12:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -14 -$13 97¢ $-14 -$1 09-26 16:18
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$1 10-19 22:33
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +14 $6 86¢ $12 +$6 09-08 20:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -11 -$4 98¢ $-11 -$6 05-02 14:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $6 100¢ $9 +$3 09-01 11:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +14 $6 56¢ $8 +$2 06-13 10:01
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +8 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 07-10 15:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $18 11¢ $7 -$11 08-28 22:15
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 $0 06-16 10:44
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +37 $9 16¢ $6 -$3 09-24 09:49
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +26 $6 22¢ $6 -$1 10-02 15:11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +72 $13 6¢ $4 -$9 10-08 17:54
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +55 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 09-26 18:03
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $6 8¢ $2 -$4 10-07 18:51
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +11 -$7 21¢ $2 +$9 09-08 06:31
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? Yes +7 $4 22¢ $2 -$2 07-22 19:05
tyler robinson convicted of homicide Yes +18 $8 6¢ $1 -$6 07-03 11:22
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 Yes +37 $4 3¢ $1 -$3 09-07 23:01
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1 -$4 97¢ $1 +$5 06-21 09:23
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $2 10¢ $0 -$1 09-08 17:47
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026 Yes +12 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-31 21:32
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +6 $3 6¢ $0 -$2 07-02 20:54
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 06-05 21:47
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? Yes +16 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 09-01 12:12
trump putin and xi seen together before 2027 No +5 $2 5¢ $0 -$1 09-26 09:44