Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$2.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$76
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-21 18:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
37%
Tech
24%
Politics
21%
Sports
16% 100% +$8
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +55 $20 22¢ $12 $-7 06-22 04:28
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +16 $6 74¢ $12 +$5 06-04 16:17
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -13 $-12 91¢ $-12 +$0 06-21 09:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +31 $9 34¢ $10 +$2 07-07 23:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -21 $-5 35¢ $-7 $-2 06-15 16:35
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +22 $7 31¢ $7 +$0 07-18 23:59
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? No +7 $6 89¢ $6 +$0 07-21 18:41
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-16 10:44
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? Yes +2 $1 54¢ $1 +$0 07-05 19:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +6 $2 19¢ $1 $-1 06-11 02:35
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1 $-2 66¢ $1 +$3 07-13 20:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $-1 36¢ $0 +$1 07-21 15:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 $-15 62¢ $0 +$15 07-10 13:08