Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,619
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$206
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 22:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% +$2
Politics
28% 50% $-13
Crypto
15% 50% +$2
Sports
11% 33% $-3
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -50 $-42 90¢ $-45 $-3 06-01 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -31 $-28 84¢ $-26 +$2 06-06 17:19
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -40 $-25 53¢ $-21 +$3 06-02 17:46
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -23 $-16 68¢ $-16 +$0 05-29 16:06
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -25 $-15 60¢ $-15 $-0 06-02 21:39
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -25 $-14 52¢ $-13 +$1 06-02 08:28
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -41 $-12 27¢ $-11 +$1 05-27 20:21
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-5 16¢ $-11 $-6 06-06 21:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No -26 $-10 40¢ $-10 +$0 06-04 18:23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 62¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 16:53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -60 $-7 15¢ $-9 $-1 06-08 18:17
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -8 $-4 65¢ $-5 $-1 05-28 20:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No -5 $-4 80¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 17:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -33 $-1 $-3 $-2 06-04 13:23
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -4 $-3 79¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 21:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -5 $-3 48¢ $-2 +$1 06-03 16:52
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? No -19 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-09 09:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 19¢ $1 $-0 05-29 13:39
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-06 00:04
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-05 15:15