Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
3,801
lifetime
Volume
$11.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$135
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-27 19:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% +$2
Politics
28% 50% $-13
Crypto
14% 50% +$2
Sports
11% 33% $-3
Tech
7%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -43 $-36 100¢ $-43 $-6 06-14 21:55
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -23 $-16 84¢ $-19 $-4 05-29 16:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -40 $-25 40¢ $-16 +$8 06-02 17:46
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -25 $-15 54¢ $-13 +$1 06-02 21:39
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -25 $-14 41¢ $-10 +$4 06-02 08:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-9 62¢ $-9 $-0 06-03 16:53
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -66 $-5 11¢ $-7 $-2 06-06 21:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -8 $-4 84¢ $-6 $-2 05-28 20:26
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -41 $-12 14¢ $-6 +$6 05-27 20:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -4 $-3 88¢ $-3 +$0 06-01 21:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -5 $-3 20¢ $-1 +$2 06-03 16:52
Ben Pasternak jailed? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-06 00:04
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? No -19 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-09 09:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-29 13:39