Realized P&L
-$432
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
2,085
Trades
9,492
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$72
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 226 days
Categories
Other
48% 37% -$109
Politics
26% 47% -$7
Crypto
12% 32% -$145
Sports
8% 47% -$24
Tech
5% 57% -$151
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $11 82¢ $16 +$5 10-26 05:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 09-30 22:04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +20 $9 40¢ $8 -$1 09-30 20:12
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 25¢ $7 -$1 10-29 12:17
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +50 $11 14¢ $7 -$4 10-29 12:19
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +31 $5 20¢ $6 +$1 10-02 18:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-06 07:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 10-06 05:07
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $4 31¢ $3 -$1 10-26 05:11
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +45 $3 3¢ $1 -$1 10-29 14:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +35 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-26 20:38
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? No +20 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-29 12:16