Few-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,570

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-03 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

38% 100% +$39

Politics

37% 100% +$73

Sports

14% 0% $-27

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+0	$-32	100¢	$0	+$32	06-27 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	11	$1.6K	1,678	0	+1,678	open	—	05-23 07:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$1.2K	600	700	-100	open	—	06-16 12:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	12	$974	700	300	+400	open	—	06-23 14:22
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	13	$938	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-28 14:54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	13	$859	474	474	+0	open	—	04-20 12:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$757	400	400	+0	open	—	04-06 10:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$699	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-28 19:11
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	14	$635	553	353	+200	open	—	07-01 08:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$634	720	420	+300	open	—	05-28 06:43
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	5	$567	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 00:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$559	400	200	+200	open	—	05-21 15:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$556	300	300	+0	open	—	05-17 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$542	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 05:26
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	5	$469	505	0	+505	open	—	07-02 12:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$457	506	0	+506	open	—	04-21 09:44
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	2	$456	500	0	+500	open	—	07-02 10:59
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	13	$448	250	250	+0	open	—	05-01 11:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$445	500	0	+500	open	—	05-11 14:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$431	400	100	+300	No	+$65	05-08 16:32
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	5	$414	219	219	+0	open	—	04-30 06:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	19	$407	302	302	+0	open	—	04-17 12:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$391	200	200	+0	No	+$7	05-11 04:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	05-08 14:18
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 06:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$383	200	200	+0	open	—	05-12 14:51
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	06-12 18:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	03-31 07:17
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$378	200	200	+0	open	—	06-21 01:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	11	$374	200	200	+0	open	—	05-27 06:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$371	200	200	+0	open	—	04-22 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:36:31	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xd0e840…
07-03 08:51:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf2d06a…
07-02 18:44:38	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x0a6009…
07-02 15:28:41	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	176	73¢	$129	0xcee4fa…
07-02 14:28:47	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x957773…
07-02 13:11:53	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	163	16¢	$26	0x4c7e4a…
07-02 12:14:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xdaf674…
07-02 12:00:49	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	BUY	74	73¢	$54	0x30d6dd…
07-02 11:04:25	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x2e2e12…
07-02 10:59:40	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0xcc5db1…
07-02 10:47:37	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	103	21¢	$22	0x616f1b…
07-02 07:33:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x5b5c95…
07-02 07:30:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xec6a49…
07-02 07:30:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x570035…
07-02 07:16:05	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x08dc6e…
07-02 00:35:29	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x55fc07…
07-01 16:11:04	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb15125…
07-01 13:43:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	122	95¢	$116	0x1735d1…
07-01 09:07:20	will austria reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149746	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xf43efb…
07-01 08:24:01	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe7cf05…
07-01 08:23:53	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xd36cd3…
07-01 08:20:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x18a110…
07-01 08:17:34	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x453d05…
07-01 04:48:10	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xc7e693…
06-30 19:18:29	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x355fbd…
06-30 17:24:53	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0xc72d2f…
06-30 16:48:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x8a44db…
06-30 16:07:13	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xc5b1f6…
06-30 07:41:38	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	83	97¢	$80	0xc744a3…
06-30 07:40:19	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	124	97¢	$120	0xf4c036…
06-30 06:46:50	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	52	73¢	$38	0x9722d1…
06-30 06:41:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	148	73¢	$108	0x7e932e…
06-29 19:06:41	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x430f17…
06-29 17:13:34	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x4da51e…
06-29 17:13:26	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x680ffd…
06-29 17:13:22	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0x6e5db8…
06-29 17:13:17	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	94	86¢	$81	0x397069…
06-29 09:02:01	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xad7cd2…
06-28 14:54:47	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	181	95¢	$173	0x063e67…
06-28 10:31:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x4bcfcd…
06-28 10:31:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x14f8c8…
06-28 10:31:26	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0xac2969…
06-28 10:31:25	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x18564d…
06-28 06:21:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x6abe67…
06-28 05:39:37	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0xb8dad8…
06-28 04:06:41	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5ede0b…
06-28 02:03:41	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x5fe7bd…
06-28 00:48:35	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x8926ae…
06-27 23:41:17	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x34a82a…
06-27 18:53:44	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x1b2611…
06-27 18:09:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	182	98¢	$178	0x644e3c…
06-27 18:08:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5292c1…
06-27 18:08:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x111b24…
06-27 18:08:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8b8cc8…
06-27 15:12:58	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xf42683…
06-27 13:20:47	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x4a5c89…
06-27 12:44:02	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	48	24¢	$12	0x726bdc…
06-27 11:31:31	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xcdc3cb…
06-27 11:25:25	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xedbe4f…
06-27 11:15:40	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x306370…
06-27 10:52:02	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xbc51aa…
06-27 10:32:22	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xbb4127…
06-27 10:15:35	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	242	20¢	$48	0xca7c91…
06-26 15:42:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xe56b2b…
06-26 15:10:35	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	188	91¢	$172	0xcb87c4…
06-26 12:51:53	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x149097…
06-26 05:06:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x2127f1…
06-26 04:51:14	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	185	84¢	$155	0x158313…
06-24 03:36:47	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x497ca9…
06-23 16:34:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x906ee8…
06-23 14:22:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdcfdf4…
06-23 11:53:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x90bb11…
06-23 09:13:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x577105…
06-22 00:11:25	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xcffb37…
06-21 11:25:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xaebdd7…
06-21 10:33:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x2d6589…
06-21 10:33:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$1	0xd138d5…
06-21 09:47:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xc80e0f…
06-21 09:47:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xfa9bd3…
06-21 09:47:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0x40b6fe…
06-21 09:47:35	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x217340…
06-21 09:04:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x55533b…
06-21 07:25:40	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x7e6ea8…
06-21 01:42:52	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x3d4110…
06-21 01:01:11	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x722ebb…
06-21 00:19:10	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xb17310…
06-21 00:11:32	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xe69f78…
06-21 00:11:32	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0x0cd00e…
06-20 21:59:53	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x6cb331…
06-20 20:25:32	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	101	73¢	$74	0xc696af…
06-20 19:18:44	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x932a73…
06-20 19:17:38	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x711a89…
06-20 19:16:37	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0x407316…
06-20 18:52:35	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0x365a71…
06-20 18:41:58	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x1c9a76…
06-20 15:40:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x4271e5…
06-20 15:31:38	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xa84f26…
06-20 07:49:31	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xe7657e…
06-19 17:08:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xe54195…
06-19 17:08:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	63¢	$39	0xda6dc2…