Few-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,823

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-13 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$39

Politics

35% 100% +$73

Sports

13% 0% $-27

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	13	$2.9K	1,502	1,502	+0	open	—	07-31 09:04
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	28	$2.9K	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	07-14 16:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	8	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-30 11:40
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	76	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	08-13 15:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	11	$1.6K	1,678	0	+1,678	open	—	05-23 07:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-17 08:06
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	10	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-14 18:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$1.2K	600	700	-100	open	—	06-16 12:01
israel closes its airspace by august 15	9	$991	600	600	+0	open	—	08-03 10:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	12	$974	700	300	+400	open	—	06-23 14:22
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	13	$938	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-28 14:54
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	16	$860	842	842	+0	open	—	07-17 07:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	13	$859	474	474	+0	open	—	04-20 12:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$757	400	400	+0	open	—	04-06 10:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$699	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-28 19:11
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	12	$687	453	350	+103	open	—	07-05 08:44
will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	4	$665	750	0	+750	open	—	07-05 21:58
will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	20	$641	738	38	+700	open	—	08-12 05:17
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	14	$635	553	353	+200	open	—	07-01 08:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$634	720	420	+300	open	—	05-28 06:43
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	14	$606	600	300	+300	open	—	08-12 19:25
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	5	$567	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 00:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$559	400	200	+200	open	—	05-21 15:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$556	300	300	+0	open	—	05-17 16:43
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	4	$555	500	100	+400	open	—	07-14 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$542	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 05:26
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	3	$468	250	250	+0	open	—	07-21 20:00
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$462	600	0	+600	open	—	07-22 17:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$457	506	0	+506	open	—	04-21 09:44
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	13	$448	250	250	+0	open	—	05-01 11:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3dd34…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf38e52…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf30a6c…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf26467…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeed96e…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xec326b…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xec1a6a…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdb2f31…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc2d704…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc252b7…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa92b6b…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa4b41a…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9f673f…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9e82ef…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x98238e…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9030bd…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8872a7…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x884af1…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x78af3f…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x76e614…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x731ebc…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x72e5a5…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b566b…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ed3f2…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5bd67f…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x551eb5…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x536d51…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x489eb4…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x472e67…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x21e825…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1efdd1…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1eab64…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x179fb0…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x131f2b…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e8b53…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0d1fcd…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c7ade…
08-13 15:11:46	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x070403…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9c75f…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf46a7b…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeca4de…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6ac4a…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa7fd5f…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa53ca3…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x981186…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x86dc63…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7bf885…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x67a1ee…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x58d606…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5164a3…
08-13 15:11:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0eb3e5…
08-12 21:18:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x600ffc…
08-12 19:30:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x249457…
08-12 19:25:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x197a3f…
08-12 14:22:00	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xae9eb0…
08-12 05:17:15	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x48b856…
08-12 05:03:09	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3b2beb…
08-12 03:49:22	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x380b23…
08-11 23:06:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	352	94¢	$331	0xc5b9f5…
08-11 22:17:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x0437e8…
08-11 19:51:06	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x930b8b…
08-11 19:46:45	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xc61183…
08-11 19:42:21	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xa70d3d…
08-11 19:41:13	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xb66f4f…
08-11 19:36:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0x24c950…
08-11 19:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x62f483…
08-11 19:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0x5ce6d3…
08-11 19:36:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x103d7b…
08-11 19:36:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x9b2b5c…
08-11 19:33:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	32	78¢	$25	0x7820a0…
08-11 19:30:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	192	78¢	$150	0x836b63…
08-11 19:30:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xffbd76…
08-11 19:26:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x7d59a6…
08-11 19:26:03	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xeab3a8…
08-11 19:25:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x10f6b4…
08-11 14:35:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xd47f5c…
08-10 18:13:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x36027a…
08-09 08:49:10	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	69	86¢	$59	0xae9236…
08-08 22:25:39	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x06b730…
08-08 18:14:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	62	78¢	$48	0x053a84…
08-08 16:54:36	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x45e83a…
08-07 12:38:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	400	17¢	$68	0xe1cf3c…
08-06 12:25:57	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x3d70d3…
08-06 12:02:45	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd83ab4…
08-06 11:40:00	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xdb9d66…
08-06 11:30:39	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x3388d3…
08-06 10:39:57	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	31	86¢	$26	0x34e754…
08-06 09:35:12	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x9fc5df…
08-06 09:33:03	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	118	92¢	$109	0x9b1d80…
08-06 09:08:05	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x1e34b9…
08-06 09:04:33	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xab3b21…
08-06 00:45:02	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xbbc2bd…
08-06 00:27:15	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xdcbb24…
08-06 00:11:57	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xad31a1…
08-06 00:02:51	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd5f443…
08-06 00:01:51	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x65153a…
08-05 23:40:54	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	106	87¢	$92	0xb7c389…
08-05 23:34:35	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0xb6d0e3…
08-05 23:33:20	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x003449…
08-05 23:26:02	will luka modric attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630269	No	BUY	89	86¢	$76	0x0f7fe9…