Few-Persimmon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,670

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-23 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$39

Politics

34% 100% +$73

Sports

15% 0% $-27

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	28	$2.9K	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	07-14 16:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	7	$1.7K	1,850	0	+1,850	open	—	07-21 21:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	11	$1.6K	1,678	0	+1,678	open	—	05-23 07:35
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-17 08:06
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	7	$1.4K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	07-23 13:11
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	10	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	07-14 18:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	11	$1.2K	600	700	-100	open	—	06-16 12:01
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	12	$974	700	300	+400	open	—	06-23 14:22
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	13	$938	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-28 14:54
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	16	$860	842	842	+0	open	—	07-17 07:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	13	$859	474	474	+0	open	—	04-20 12:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$757	400	400	+0	open	—	04-06 10:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$699	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-28 19:11
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	12	$687	453	350	+103	open	—	07-05 08:44
will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	4	$665	750	0	+750	open	—	07-05 21:58
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	14	$635	553	353	+200	open	—	07-01 08:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	15	$634	720	420	+300	open	—	05-28 06:43
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	5	$567	300	300	+0	open	—	06-28 00:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$559	400	200	+200	open	—	05-21 15:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$556	300	300	+0	open	—	05-17 16:43
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	4	$555	500	100	+400	open	—	07-14 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$542	500	500	+0	open	—	04-27 05:26
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	3	$468	250	250	+0	open	—	07-21 20:00
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$462	600	0	+600	open	—	07-22 17:46
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$457	506	0	+506	open	—	04-21 09:44
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	13	$448	250	250	+0	open	—	05-01 11:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$445	500	0	+500	open	—	05-11 14:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$431	400	100	+300	No	+$65	05-08 16:32
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	5	$414	219	219	+0	open	—	04-30 06:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	19	$407	302	302	+0	open	—	04-17 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 13:11:01	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	150	94¢	$142	0xd22bd3…
07-22 17:46:12	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x3b1742…
07-22 17:40:04	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	102	95¢	$96	0xe5f923…
07-22 16:07:01	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	250	95¢	$237	0xe12b21…
07-21 21:25:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	93¢	$185	0x83c06f…
07-21 20:43:07	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x3717e4…
07-21 20:07:51	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	250	94¢	$234	0xc950ea…
07-21 20:00:51	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	159	96¢	$152	0x53627c…
07-21 19:58:39	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0x975b59…
07-21 19:19:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9b244e…
07-21 19:06:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0x7f51a8…
07-21 19:06:06	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	No	BUY	250	91¢	$228	0x8dc1b5…
07-18 17:33:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xc97c6a…
07-18 17:33:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	170	90¢	$154	0xb289b4…
07-17 08:06:31	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	750	100¢	$748	0x63fd8c…
07-17 07:49:16	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	400	81¢	$324	0x79d2da…
07-16 15:58:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x5de1f2…
07-16 15:26:55	will 5 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228790	Yes	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0x0bc64c…
07-16 14:25:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0xa0feec…
07-16 04:12:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	600	92¢	$550	0xc6ea80…
07-15 13:42:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	400	94¢	$377	0xc3fc20…
07-14 18:38:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	326	99¢	$323	0xa919e3…
07-14 18:05:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x32c12d…
07-14 17:51:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x48f82d…
07-14 17:47:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x35a267…
07-14 16:52:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0xf55889…
07-14 15:38:56	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x9e18c8…
07-14 14:03:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xda1ed0…
07-14 13:40:46	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x37d328…
07-14 07:42:34	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0x7f892d…
07-14 06:19:31	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xf94ab3…
07-13 16:18:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xad3e68…
07-13 08:18:13	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0xefe5f5…
07-13 08:14:08	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x8276e5…
07-13 08:12:37	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	144	75¢	$108	0x756237…
07-13 03:20:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	238	99¢	$235	0xf0d3d2…
07-12 23:42:41	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x67234c…
07-12 02:52:04	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x3d07ed…
07-10 14:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	163	98¢	$160	0x16f05e…
07-10 14:04:40	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x685eb1…
07-09 10:33:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x5240c6…
07-08 21:16:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x97e2d8…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xf66d4b…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdbd2a7…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa8da9c…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa37b21…
07-08 21:16:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x411ae2…
07-08 21:16:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x4717de…
07-08 20:16:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb27fa6…
07-08 20:15:56	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9f1fdf…
07-08 20:15:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x6cb89c…
07-08 14:02:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x7585d1…
07-08 09:29:47	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x69398a…
07-08 08:50:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x949bde…
07-08 08:50:53	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x8efd70…
07-08 08:50:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe496ba…
07-08 08:50:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	56	30¢	$17	0xc8ad1c…
07-08 08:50:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xbb33a4…
07-08 08:50:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x88eed0…
07-08 08:44:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x56389d…
07-08 08:43:29	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x3fe81b…
07-08 08:21:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe4743b…
07-08 07:49:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x53f903…
07-08 07:15:08	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb7f8b…
07-08 06:59:04	will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	No	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x77cbeb…
07-07 15:52:40	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	250	95¢	$238	0x26c10e…
07-07 14:45:52	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x66405f…
07-07 13:25:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x7d14c8…
07-07 10:54:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa9887e…
07-07 02:42:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	250	92¢	$230	0x8e41e9…
07-06 15:24:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x4c9c41…
07-06 15:19:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0xf7ff5f…
07-06 14:31:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xd47406…
07-06 12:39:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x6a6f40…
07-06 04:50:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	250	90¢	$226	0xe16279…
07-06 04:36:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	250	94¢	$234	0x1b3da3…
07-06 03:44:16	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	46	61¢	$28	0x90ca1a…
07-05 21:58:14	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	199	91¢	$180	0x980d2a…
07-05 19:05:40	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	51	91¢	$46	0xc80db5…
07-05 12:20:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa51eef…
07-05 08:44:08	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x791825…
07-05 08:19:38	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3c2a9e…
07-05 08:19:01	will there be 5 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750573	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xffbe9a…
07-05 08:04:53	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x0d9403…
07-05 07:56:47	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x55857e…
07-05 07:56:11	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x991d61…
07-05 07:47:41	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x3c5fab…
07-04 10:23:52	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0xaa57cf…
07-04 10:23:01	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	250	97¢	$243	0x71cc30…
07-04 09:59:16	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5f1d9e…
07-04 06:14:58	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x44fcfd…
07-04 05:38:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x885bb0…
07-04 04:42:11	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	210	93¢	$195	0x2a4d60…
07-04 04:33:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xa2d43d…
07-04 04:15:02	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$260	0x3a6eaf…
07-04 04:12:28	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x9603ff…
07-04 04:08:41	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x7267ca…
07-03 09:36:31	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xd0e840…
07-03 08:51:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf2d06a…
07-02 18:44:38	will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x0a6009…