Realized P&L
+$3.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$175
Hit rate
85.0%
Resolved
651
Trades
3,127
lifetime
Volume
$121.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$6.80K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 10-31 13:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% +$638
Other
40% 33% +$2,215
Sports
7% 56% +$818
Crypto
3% 81% -$74
Tech
1% 0% -$98
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,800 $1,529 82¢ $1.5K -$44 09-24 16:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $923 94¢ $945 +$22 10-01 19:15
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +750 $582 72¢ $536 -$46 09-25 07:01
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,143 $493 42¢ $481 -$12 10-15 00:20
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +504 $439 93¢ $469 +$30 10-08 04:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +750 $552 57¢ $431 -$121 10-30 12:30
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +500 $391 70¢ $347 -$43 10-03 11:02
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 100¢ $299 +$34 10-29 16:41
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +600 $360 44¢ $261 -$99 10-15 16:08
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +300 $179 74¢ $220 +$41 10-10 17:51
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +300 $245 74¢ $220 -$25 10-29 00:27
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +220 $189 92¢ $204 +$14 10-26 13:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +200 $148 99¢ $199 +$51 10-18 21:44
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +250 $160 79¢ $197 +$37 10-21 12:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +250 $162 72¢ $179 +$16 10-20 04:01
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +200 $122 64¢ $128 +$6 10-23 09:08
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +200 $64 52¢ $103 +$39 09-22 14:05
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $27 52¢ $52 +$24 10-12 17:36
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +360 $7 3¢ $10 +$3 10-29 22:54
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +10 -$10 99¢ $10 +$20 10-31 13:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $14 2¢ $9 -$5 10-29 22:56
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $7 1¢ $7 $0 10-29 11:34
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +200 $52 1¢ $3 -$49 10-29 12:45
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 10-29 22:57
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $66 0¢ $1 -$65 10-23 17:15