Realized P&L (7d)
-$10.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.43K
Hit rate
19.5%
Resolved (7d)
3,011
Trades (7d)
24,267
278,470 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$421.2K
$2.92M lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$45.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 11-10 10:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
52% 22% -$33,632
Politics
38% 13% -$11,862
Sports
5% 14% -$1,673
Crypto
3% 59% -$1,104
Tech
2% 13% -$415
Pop-Culture
1% 7% -$712
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 13667 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5,123 $3,050 66¢ $3.4K +$357 11-05 01:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3,191 $3,102 98¢ $3.1K +$36 11-04 18:36
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +2,334 $2,015 98¢ $2.3K +$262 11-06 10:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,605 $2,184 84¢ $2.2K +$4 11-04 19:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,200 $2,161 99¢ $2.2K +$8 11-04 10:57
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,872 $2,265 72¢ $2.1K -$187 11-05 04:42
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,000 $1,854 94¢ $1.9K +$29 11-04 18:53
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +1,800 $584 98¢ $1.8K +$1,185 11-03 23:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5,123 $2,190 34¢ $1.7K -$474 11-05 01:49
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +1,718 $1,041 89¢ $1.5K +$489 11-05 01:34
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,706 $1,386 81¢ $1.4K -$10 11-05 02:07
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +1,600 $1,360 84¢ $1.3K -$24 10-24 15:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,556 $1,325 86¢ $1.3K +$8 11-05 17:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +1,632 $1,250 82¢ $1.3K +$80 11-05 01:30
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,400 $1,298 92¢ $1.3K -$17 10-24 15:29
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1,311 $1,248 97¢ $1.3K +$22 11-04 03:23
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +1,295 $1,225 97¢ $1.3K +$30 11-04 14:10
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +1,325 $834 92¢ $1.2K +$379 11-04 20:13
Trump goes to space in 2026? No +1,200 $1,183 99¢ $1.2K +$8 11-08 18:13
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +1,200 $1,140 97¢ $1.2K +$26 11-04 03:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,282 $1,120 89¢ $1.1K +$19 11-04 22:08
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,200 $1,131 94¢ $1.1K -$5 11-05 01:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,373 $1,135 81¢ $1.1K -$18 11-05 09:05
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,654 $1,132 66¢ $1.1K -$34 11-05 01:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,109 $905 96¢ $1.1K +$163 11-05 00:16
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1,000 $980 99¢ $986 +$7 11-03 22:54
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $972 98¢ $980 +$9 11-04 09:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,737 $1,046 55¢ $951 -$95 11-04 22:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $917 91¢ $908 -$9 11-04 23:02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +898 $711 99¢ $891 +$180 11-04 05:01