Belated-Clothes 0x7bb244…7d682c
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$33.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$27.9K
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
96
Trades
1,848
lifetime
Volume
$818.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$443
Open exposure
$158.2K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-22 23:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
64% 72% +$59,780
Politics
35% 56% -$22,557
Sports
1% 0% -$4,091
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +30,042 $18,749 92¢ $27.5K +$8,740 08-04 04:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +16,398 $14,269 100¢ $16.3K +$2,072 09-22 09:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20,000 $15,400 82¢ $16.3K +$900 07-29 21:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,569 -$8,717 88¢ $15.5K +$24,266 08-17 18:44
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,244 $8,464 96¢ $10.8K +$2,324 07-13 17:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10,710 $6,897 96¢ $10.3K +$3,417 07-29 04:36
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +12,321 $7,793 66¢ $8.2K +$401 10-21 18:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $7,100 72¢ $7.2K +$150 09-12 01:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +22,477 $4,111 32¢ $7.1K +$2,969 09-27 22:17
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,000 $5,000 66¢ $6.7K +$1,650 09-06 21:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $6,000 66¢ $6.7K +$650 09-27 15:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $5,040 54¢ $5.4K +$350 09-19 23:14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,150 98¢ $4.9K +$750 10-22 23:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +65,000 $25,600 6¢ $4.2K -$21,375 10-21 11:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,000 $3,650 70¢ $3.5K -$125 10-21 11:54
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,248 $1,733 97¢ $2.2K +$447 06-02 07:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,000 $408 32¢ $945 +$537 09-27 22:35
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $532 82¢ $816 +$284 09-21 13:02
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1,000 $720 81¢ $810 +$90 07-30 01:34
No one announced as next James Bond? No +1,000 $741 75¢ $750 +$8 09-27 15:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,760 $752 15¢ $545 -$207 10-12 07:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +138,036 $1,126 0¢ $483 -$643 09-24 04:20
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +500 $424 88¢ $439 +$15 07-29 23:40
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $250 4¢ $355 +$105 06-16 08:45
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,120 $605 11¢ $123 -$482 07-29 21:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +10,000 $800 0¢ $35 -$765 09-24 00:59
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,292 $28 3¢ $33 +$5 09-06 07:26
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -7,000 -$1,400 0¢ $-10 +$1,390 06-02 07:43