Belated-Clothes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.11K

Hit rate

13.1%

Resolved

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$430.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$449

Open exposure

$20.7K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 50% $-766

Politics

36% 0% $-6,300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+8,200	$6,983	100¢	$8.2K	+$1,197	06-24 22:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+37,569	$8,355	18¢	$6.6K	$-1,781	06-22 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+7,865	$3,249	76¢	$5.9K	+$2,689	07-02 07:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	106	$33.4K	31,766	31,806	-41	open	—	01-30 01:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$26.3K	28,000	18,000	+10,000	open	—	05-26 18:29
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$22.7K	32,000	0	+32,000	open	—	01-19 02:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$22.2K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	03-27 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$20.8K	20,219	9,000	+11,219	open	—	04-15 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	41	$17.8K	17,865	10,000	+7,865	open	—	07-02 07:27
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	53	$16.7K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	04-03 01:11
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	13	$16.5K	13,792	3,000	+10,792	open	—	01-23 09:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$16.0K	19,000	0	+19,000	open	—	05-06 09:21
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	56	$15.0K	19,987	0	+19,987	open	—	03-13 05:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	158	$13.4K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	03-31 01:20
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$13.3K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-02 03:31
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	31	$11.7K	6,838	6,828	+10	open	—	01-28 04:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$11.3K	25,217	0	+25,217	open	—	04-03 01:08
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	52	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-30 09:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-13 04:17
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$8.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-23 23:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	18	$8.4K	37,569	0	+37,569	open	—	06-22 14:21
ice shooter fired by march 31	5	$8.2K	10,359	0	+10,359	open	—	01-13 17:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$7.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-11 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$7.0K	8,200	0	+8,200	open	—	06-24 22:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$6.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	$-6,300	03-23 12:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	26	$6.2K	9,826	0	+9,826	open	—	02-08 23:03
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$6.0K	6,135	0	+6,135	open	—	03-24 13:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$6.0K	6,123	0	+6,123	open	—	03-20 14:24
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	5	$5.3K	6,120	0	+6,120	open	—	04-21 20:12
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	68	$5.2K	5,762	0	+5,762	open	—	03-16 12:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	10	$4.8K	8,448	0	+8,448	open	—	01-14 16:38
us government funding lapse on january 31	10	$4.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-30 00:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-02 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 07:27:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6,857	73¢	$5,006	0x94135c…
07-02 07:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xd19e86…
07-02 07:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	366	73¢	$267	0x6c9350…
07-02 07:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xb838d6…
07-02 07:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb7fad2…
07-02 07:00:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x47ef0f…
07-02 06:51:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,822	73¢	$1,330	0x0fa6c8…
07-02 06:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	684	73¢	$499	0x1c8a9e…
07-02 06:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0x53cf8a…
07-02 06:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x6ee55a…
07-02 06:28:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	32	73¢	$23	0x7835aa…
06-24 22:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,200	95¢	$3,033	0x2ff5b9…
06-22 14:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	12¢	$600	0x282e28…
06-22 12:32:25	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	BUY	1,514	95¢	$1,441	0x11ebad…
06-16 17:56:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x3f5a7b…
06-14 20:37:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	197	61¢	$120	0xca0975…
06-14 20:36:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	730	61¢	$445	0x7eb1a3…
06-14 20:36:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x28fe62…
06-14 20:36:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x0a5fc4…
06-14 15:15:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,620	18¢	$652	0x66b956…
06-13 16:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	44¢	$880	0xed7899…
06-11 19:42:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10,000	24¢	$2,400	0xc20c8f…
06-11 19:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0x46ac0a…
06-05 15:16:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	673	26¢	$175	0x907230…
06-05 12:06:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xafab9d…
06-05 09:58:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x54e120…
06-05 08:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf57834…
06-05 06:26:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,500	65¢	$975	0x1ee540…
06-05 06:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x792919…
06-05 06:03:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x15ec77…
06-05 04:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x095f92…
06-05 04:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	176	65¢	$114	0xcf3f0b…
06-05 04:14:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x13d726…
06-05 03:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbef482…
06-05 03:30:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1d3cb0…
06-05 03:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x37e90c…
06-05 03:22:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xee1f91…
06-05 03:04:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x38f086…
06-05 03:00:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x83101f…
06-05 02:40:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x5ccc47…
06-04 23:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x031dd5…
06-04 21:31:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x6993ef…
06-04 19:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	600	26¢	$156	0x73d02c…
06-04 19:24:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	700	26¢	$182	0xc82fc1…
06-04 19:20:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe09799…
06-04 19:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x878559…
06-04 18:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,351	26¢	$351	0x50f2d8…
06-04 17:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x0eead6…
06-04 14:13:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbc9e3f…
06-04 14:13:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xff54f0…
06-04 14:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x195754…
06-04 13:43:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x0872fa…
06-04 13:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xaef6d9…
06-04 13:36:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xd79c25…
06-04 13:35:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xd63a14…
06-04 13:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xade8f4…
06-04 13:34:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	295	65¢	$192	0xb866bd…
06-04 13:32:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x88a118…
06-04 13:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0xc06b78…
06-04 13:12:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x1fc484…
06-04 13:00:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x808ff4…
06-04 12:18:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	94	65¢	$61	0x431be6…
06-04 11:08:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x860aaa…
06-04 11:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	103	65¢	$67	0x226f81…
06-02 10:19:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,750	83¢	$3,942	0xed379d…
06-02 07:44:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0x34aba6…
06-02 07:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	13,949	24¢	$3,404	0x298f50…
06-02 07:41:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7,865	60¢	$4,719	0x27be96…
06-02 07:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5,000	79¢	$3,950	0x1c225a…
05-26 18:29:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8,000	98¢	$7,856	0x5935e0…
05-10 21:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,413	86¢	$1,215	0x7a9408…
05-10 21:31:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x04e80f…
05-10 21:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xda2f5b…
05-10 21:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x4fc577…
05-10 21:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,500	86¢	$1,290	0x443936…
05-10 21:30:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xaf0cf9…
05-10 21:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0x9b2c87…
05-10 21:23:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	47	86¢	$40	0x5a596c…
05-10 21:22:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,372	86¢	$2,040	0xf86ad7…
05-10 21:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x42241d…
05-10 21:18:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x3e4c65…
05-10 21:18:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x6634fd…
05-10 21:18:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xe8a24b…
05-10 21:18:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x5bff9a…
05-10 21:18:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x126315…
05-10 21:18:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xfbdb21…
05-10 21:18:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4,498	86¢	$3,868	0xf67626…
05-10 21:17:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x16ffef…
05-06 09:21:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0xea0ee6…
04-30 09:53:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x3b02a1…
04-30 09:05:20	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xc1a5e2…
04-30 08:50:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x092aba…
04-30 08:36:30	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x3dac6b…
04-30 08:08:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb99e5c…
04-30 08:03:50	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xa9c7dd…
04-30 08:00:12	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x7c5dce…
04-30 07:53:18	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	123	94¢	$115	0xaafe37…
04-30 06:48:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x4d4c85…
04-30 06:32:08	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xf8cf18…
04-30 06:19:30	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x42422e…