Belated-Clothes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$12.6K

Hit rate

13.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,006

lifetime

Volume

$474.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$471

Open exposure

$36.9K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-23 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 50% $-766

Politics

37% 0% $-6,300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+25,042	$15,273	55¢	$13.6K	$-1,625	07-23 23:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+17,569	$-1,245	48¢	$8.5K	+$9,766	07-17 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+7,865	$3,249	99¢	$7.8K	+$4,573	07-02 07:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+5,000	$4,150	70¢	$3.5K	$-625	07-11 23:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+5,000	$2,900	68¢	$3.4K	+$525	07-16 18:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	106	$33.4K	31,766	31,806	-41	open	—	01-30 01:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$26.3K	28,000	18,000	+10,000	open	—	05-26 18:29
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	6	$22.7K	32,000	0	+32,000	open	—	01-19 02:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$22.2K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	03-27 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$20.8K	20,219	9,000	+11,219	open	—	04-15 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	39	$18.0K	37,569	20,000	+17,569	open	—	07-17 13:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	41	$17.8K	17,865	10,000	+7,865	open	—	07-02 07:27
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	53	$16.7K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	04-03 01:11
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	13	$16.5K	13,792	3,000	+10,792	open	—	01-23 09:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$16.0K	19,000	0	+19,000	open	—	05-06 09:21
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	5	$15.3K	25,042	0	+25,042	open	—	07-23 23:53
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	56	$15.0K	19,987	0	+19,987	open	—	03-13 05:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	158	$13.4K	38,000	0	+38,000	open	—	03-31 01:20
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$13.3K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-02 03:31
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	31	$11.7K	6,838	6,828	+10	open	—	01-28 04:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	20	$11.3K	25,217	0	+25,217	open	—	04-03 01:08
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	1	$9.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-10 14:55
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	52	$9.4K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-30 09:53
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-13 04:17
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$8.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-23 23:45
ice shooter fired by march 31	5	$8.2K	10,359	0	+10,359	open	—	01-13 17:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$7.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-11 22:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$7.0K	8,200	0	+8,200	open	—	06-24 22:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$6.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	$-6,300	03-23 12:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	26	$6.2K	9,826	0	+9,826	open	—	02-08 23:03
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	1	$6.0K	6,135	0	+6,135	open	—	03-24 13:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$6.0K	6,123	0	+6,123	open	—	03-20 14:24
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	5	$5.3K	6,120	0	+6,120	open	—	04-21 20:12
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	68	$5.2K	5,762	0	+5,762	open	—	03-16 12:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	10	$4.8K	8,448	0	+8,448	open	—	01-14 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 23:53:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	4,643	61¢	$2,832	0x0cd881…
07-23 23:52:00	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	7,827	59¢	$4,611	0x167b1b…
07-20 19:15:33	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x71cc4e…
07-20 19:15:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2,757	87¢	$2,399	0x43d58c…
07-17 14:46:01	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xaf0356…
07-17 13:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	239	49¢	$117	0x832c4b…
07-17 13:36:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xbf7c82…
07-17 13:12:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2,500	49¢	$1,225	0x15a953…
07-17 13:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,592	49¢	$780	0xf6e8dd…
07-17 13:09:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,197	49¢	$587	0xa64dea…
07-17 12:57:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0xd8efe3…
07-17 12:43:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2,045	49¢	$1,002	0x9c3ea1…
07-17 12:18:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xfc924f…
07-17 12:13:25	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xff3432…
07-17 11:25:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x12687a…
07-17 11:13:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0x9b51ac…
07-17 11:04:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x053f05…
07-17 10:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xbf9544…
07-17 10:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x5ab1ed…
07-17 10:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	408	49¢	$200	0x68fcb6…
07-17 10:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xa82b49…
07-17 10:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	78	49¢	$38	0x43d8ad…
07-17 09:43:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	930	49¢	$456	0x1127fb…
07-17 09:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	67	49¢	$33	0x5d7985…
07-17 08:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x9d57e9…
07-17 08:26:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	248	49¢	$121	0xdb59ef…
07-17 00:51:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10,000	47¢	$4,700	0xca840d…
07-16 18:33:34	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	192	58¢	$111	0x6823e7…
07-16 11:53:19	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x0858b2…
07-16 11:53:14	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x913855…
07-16 11:53:10	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0x1badd0…
07-16 11:53:04	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x706bf8…
07-15 21:48:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xc997b0…
07-15 21:28:43	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x67c53d…
07-15 21:15:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x5acdfd…
07-15 20:54:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	994	58¢	$577	0xf2c7c2…
07-15 20:49:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2,701	58¢	$1,567	0x3760b8…
07-15 18:05:59	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	526	58¢	$305	0xdf2e5b…
07-15 16:57:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x97adbc…
07-15 16:11:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4aae1f…
07-15 15:49:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	559	58¢	$324	0x432939…
07-15 14:18:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	120	63¢	$76	0xc488d0…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	12,422	62¢	$7,735	0x2c1650…
07-15 14:18:17	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x50f4eb…
07-15 02:48:25	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x841f27…
07-11 23:25:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,000	83¢	$4,150	0x526522…
07-10 14:55:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,580	0x4ca169…
07-02 07:27:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6,857	73¢	$5,006	0x94135c…
07-02 07:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xd19e86…
07-02 07:12:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	366	73¢	$267	0x6c9350…
07-02 07:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xb838d6…
07-02 07:08:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xb7fad2…
07-02 07:00:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x47ef0f…
07-02 06:51:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,822	73¢	$1,330	0x0fa6c8…
07-02 06:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	684	73¢	$499	0x1c8a9e…
07-02 06:31:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	28	73¢	$20	0x53cf8a…
07-02 06:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x6ee55a…
07-02 06:28:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	32	73¢	$23	0x7835aa…
06-24 22:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,200	95¢	$3,033	0x2ff5b9…
06-22 14:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	12¢	$600	0x282e28…
06-22 12:32:25	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	BUY	1,514	95¢	$1,441	0x11ebad…
06-16 17:56:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0x3f5a7b…
06-14 20:37:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	197	61¢	$120	0xca0975…
06-14 20:36:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	730	61¢	$445	0x7eb1a3…
06-14 20:36:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x28fe62…
06-14 20:36:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x0a5fc4…
06-14 15:15:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,620	18¢	$652	0x66b956…
06-13 16:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	44¢	$880	0xed7899…
06-11 19:42:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10,000	24¢	$2,400	0xc20c8f…
06-11 19:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0x46ac0a…
06-05 15:16:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	673	26¢	$175	0x907230…
06-05 12:06:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xafab9d…
06-05 09:58:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x54e120…
06-05 08:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf57834…
06-05 06:26:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,500	65¢	$975	0x1ee540…
06-05 06:16:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x792919…
06-05 06:03:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x15ec77…
06-05 04:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x095f92…
06-05 04:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	176	65¢	$114	0xcf3f0b…
06-05 04:14:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x13d726…
06-05 03:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbef482…
06-05 03:30:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1d3cb0…
06-05 03:29:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x37e90c…
06-05 03:22:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xee1f91…
06-05 03:04:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x38f086…
06-05 03:00:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0x83101f…
06-05 02:40:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x5ccc47…
06-04 23:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x031dd5…
06-04 21:31:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x6993ef…
06-04 19:28:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	600	26¢	$156	0x73d02c…
06-04 19:24:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	700	26¢	$182	0xc82fc1…
06-04 19:20:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xe09799…
06-04 19:08:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x878559…
06-04 18:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,351	26¢	$351	0x50f2d8…
06-04 17:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x0eead6…
06-04 14:13:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbc9e3f…
06-04 14:13:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xff54f0…
06-04 14:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x195754…
06-04 13:43:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x0872fa…
06-04 13:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xaef6d9…