Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
144
Trades
1,081
lifetime
Volume
$4.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$119
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 05-22 05:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 41 days
Categories
Politics
48%
55%
+$87
Sports
30%
78%
-$27
Other
22%
55%
-$94
Crypto
0%
0%
-$24
Tech
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -79 | -$57 | 82¢ | $-64 | -$8 | 05-09 21:47 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | -20 | -$17 | 94¢ | $-18 | -$2 | 05-01 16:17 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | -13 | -$10 | 90¢ | $-12 | -$2 | 05-01 16:17 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -12 | -$9 | 94¢ | $-11 | -$2 | 04-30 20:51 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -32 | -$10 | 18¢ | $-6 | +$4 | 05-01 16:17 | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | -4 | -$3 | 94¢ | $-4 | -$1 | 05-01 16:17 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | -2 | -$1 | 94¢ | $-2 | $0 | 05-01 16:17 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | -1 | -$1 | 95¢ | $-1 | $0 | 05-01 14:34 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | -10 | -$2 | 6¢ | $-1 | +$2 | 05-01 16:17 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 140 | $810 | 1,481 | 1,385 | +96 | No | +$108 | 04-16 01:03 |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | 26 | $247 | 171 | 144 | +27 | Yes | +$25 | 04-16 16:26 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | 14 | $190 | 191 | 191 | +0 | Yes | -$28 | 05-18 22:11 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 35 | $172 | 73 | 184 | -111 | open | — | 05-09 21:47 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 33 | $153 | 830 | 830 | +0 | No | -$47 | 05-22 05:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 89 | $134 | 133 | 127 | +6 | No | +$1 | 04-29 17:12 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 69 | $116 | 141 | 107 | +33 | No | -$11 | 04-21 20:06 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 29 | $106 | 59 | 59 | +0 | Yes | +$8 | 04-22 17:35 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies | 5 | $85 | 45 | 45 | +0 | Atlanta Braves | +$5 | 05-03 02:59 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 16 | $85 | 409 | 409 | +0 | No | -$20 | 05-22 05:20 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 5 | $84 | 44 | 44 | +0 | Atlanta Braves | +$4 | 05-10 03:43 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins | 5 | $82 | 42 | 42 | +0 | Miami Marlins | +$2 | 05-10 00:10 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox | 5 | $82 | 42 | 42 | +0 | Chicago White Sox | +$2 | 05-10 02:03 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | $82 | 42 | 42 | +0 | Philadelphia Phillies | +$2 | 05-10 01:05 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 11 | $78 | 40 | 39 | +1 | No | $0 | 04-29 16:49 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 4 | $77 | 39 | 39 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 05-01 16:17 |
| Magic vs. Pistons | 7 | $72 | 70 | 32 | +38 | Pistons | -$8 | 05-03 22:16 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02? | 7 | $70 | 77 | 0 | +77 | Yes | +$7 | 05-02 17:49 |
| will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365 | 37 | $69 | 80 | 68 | +12 | No | -$25 | 04-22 01:54 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals | 4 | $63 | 33 | 33 | +0 | Washington Nationals | +$3 | 05-03 19:58 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03? | 4 | $62 | 32 | 32 | +0 | Yes | +$2 | 05-03 19:51 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres | 6 | $62 | 54 | 12 | +42 | Chicago White Sox | +$4 | 05-03 03:24 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals | 4 | $61 | 32 | 32 | +0 | Milwaukee Brewers | +$2 | 05-03 00:39 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers | 10 | $61 | 32 | 32 | +0 | Detroit Tigers | +$2 | 05-03 02:40 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | 11 | $61 | 31 | 31 | +0 | Los Angeles Dodgers | +$1 | 05-03 21:06 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 18 | $59 | 34 | 33 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 04-30 14:31 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 31 | $52 | 27 | 27 | +0 | No | $0 | 04-26 17:03 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | 8 | $46 | 57 | 43 | +14 | Cavaliers | $0 | 05-04 03:17 |
| Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds | 3 | $43 | 23 | 23 | +0 | Cincinnati Reds | +$3 | 05-09 22:37 |
| Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? | 3 | $41 | 21 | 21 | +0 | No | +$1 | 05-09 23:02 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||