Calm-Plover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$77

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$284

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$132

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 19:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

55% 44% $-4

Other

34% — —

Politics

11% 100% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	+110	$50	44¢	$49	$-1	05-12 04:39
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	+44	$30	70¢	$31	+$1	05-13 19:17
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	Yes	+357	$40	8¢	$27	$-13	05-12 04:38
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	+24	$10	44¢	$11	+$1	05-10 23:22
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	+33	$10	29¢	$9	$-0	05-13 19:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	+100	$7	4¢	$4	$-3	05-10 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	1	$50	110	+110	open	—	05-12 04:39
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	1	$40	357	+357	open	—	05-12 04:38
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	1	$30	44	+44	open	—	05-13 19:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	111	+111	Yes	+$81	05-08 19:20
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$20	31	+31	Yaroslav Amosov	+$11	05-09 18:57
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$20	33	+33	Joshua Van	$-20	05-09 18:56
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$10	24	+24	open	—	05-10 23:22
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	1	$10	48	+48	King Green	$-10	05-09 18:56
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	18	+18	Alexander Volkov	+$8	05-09 18:56
UFC Fight Night: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jeremiah Wells (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$10	20	+20	cancelled	$-0	05-10 23:23
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	1	$10	28	+28	Roman Kopylov	+$18	05-09 18:57
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$10	33	+33	open	—	05-13 19:17
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	1	$10	16	+16	Jose Ochoa	+$6	05-09 18:57
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	1	$10	23	+23	Grant Dawson	$-10	05-09 18:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$7	100	+100	open	—	05-10 23:22
UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	1	$5	12	+12	Pat Sabatini	$-5	05-09 18:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	200	+200	No	$-2	05-08 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:17:55	UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x09a103…
05-13 19:17:45	UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Juan Diaz	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x588ed1…
05-12 04:39:12	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x3773fd…
05-12 04:38:53	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	Yes	BUY	357	11¢	$40	0xad00a4…
05-10 23:23:03	UFC Fight Night: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jeremiah Wells (Welterweight, Prelims)	Nicolas Dalby	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0d365b…
05-10 23:22:49	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x602c53…
05-10 23:22:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x0ca92d…
05-09 18:57:44	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7ee5c9…
05-09 18:57:37	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	William Gomis	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xab49a2…
05-09 18:57:21	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf2b8cc…
05-09 18:57:14	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6d3d84…
05-09 18:56:55	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa39594…
05-09 18:56:42	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x905e33…
05-09 18:56:18	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jeremy Stephens	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf082bc…
05-09 18:56:11	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb65715…
05-08 19:24:52	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x37433f…
05-08 19:20:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x0792e2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	9	$6.14K	149	05-14 17:46
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	8	$4.71K	47	05-12 02:34
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$841	29	05-14 12:15
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	7	$2.23K	17	05-10 03:40
csgod 0x8056…b64d	6	$3.63K	10	05-10 03:01
Elderly-Crossstitch 0xecfa…4d70	6	$2.84K	11	05-10 03:43
Elated-Puma 0x88c8…d45d	6	$2.62K	8	05-10 03:06
Plastic-Deployment 0x59e2…1c55	6	$699	9	05-10 03:40