Turbulent-Matchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-22 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-2

Sports

29% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+65	$63	98¢	$64	+$1	06-22 00:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	12	$1.2K	605	605	+0	open	—	03-17 03:27
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	9	$819	439	439	+0	open	—	03-04 21:15
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$796	414	414	+0	open	—	03-16 22:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$763	401	401	+0	open	—	03-22 16:27
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$739	383	383	+0	open	—	04-25 03:53
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	6	$612	314	314	+0	open	—	04-27 09:16
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	4	$514	269	269	+0	open	—	03-26 00:46
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$512	264	264	+0	No	$-1	04-07 11:37
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$504	259	259	+0	open	—	04-10 11:53
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$428	238	238	-0	open	—	03-08 14:00
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	5	$424	233	233	+0	open	—	03-07 16:36
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$415	220	220	+0	Yes	$-0	03-09 17:34
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	4	$414	214	214	+0	open	—	03-09 13:30
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	6	$413	219	219	+0	open	—	03-03 17:25
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$412	211	211	+0	open	—	03-06 16:13
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$411	210	210	+0	open	—	03-13 01:31
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$410	214	214	+0	open	—	03-13 06:43
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$407	211	211	+0	open	—	03-07 20:43
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$405	212	212	+0	open	—	03-11 04:40
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$403	206	206	+0	open	—	03-12 08:39
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$399	216	216	+0	open	—	03-15 23:18
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$394	204	204	+0	No	$-2	03-17 18:23
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	3	$389	199	199	+0	open	—	03-16 15:18
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$385	210	210	+0	open	—	03-20 03:47
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$380	195	195	+0	open	—	03-25 07:08
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$378	194	194	+0	open	—	03-26 13:41
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	5	$377	202	202	+0	open	—	04-24 19:06
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$369	191	191	+0	open	—	03-25 01:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$254	140	140	+0	open	—	06-20 00:57
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	06-05 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 00:17:49	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x7adec6…
06-21 23:43:05	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xf1af3c…
06-21 18:46:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x198c90…
06-21 18:41:02	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x993899…
06-21 18:37:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x980b5d…
06-20 00:57:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0x7629bc…
06-19 16:55:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	73	91¢	$66	0x51e166…
06-19 16:22:13	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x7ea1df…
06-19 11:25:56	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x4c731c…
06-19 11:21:02	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x415deb…
06-19 11:16:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x36f455…
06-18 21:17:07	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0x1bf273…
06-18 17:11:28	will south korea reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149710	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x6998d7…
06-17 23:39:04	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x9a174c…
06-17 16:31:25	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x5064c3…
06-16 20:10:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	67	90¢	$61	0xe7c81b…
06-16 15:05:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0xd2020d…
06-16 14:32:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x828b05…
06-16 10:23:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x2eaf3c…
06-16 03:10:06	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xd63c23…
06-15 23:03:57	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xfd02cd…
06-14 07:18:00	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x557468…
06-14 01:09:09	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x2b9f93…
06-12 16:24:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xd7e559…
06-12 08:15:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xedbfe4…
06-10 18:52:31	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xfebb88…
06-10 14:48:46	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x9e9a6a…
06-06 17:09:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xde2a5d…
06-06 09:05:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xc6822f…
06-06 00:55:07	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x61552c…
06-05 16:56:31	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf88ece…
06-05 16:54:24	will ivory coast reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149727	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x7ceb75…
06-05 16:20:27	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x70c08d…
06-05 08:15:09	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$65	0x1a2ced…
06-05 08:08:22	will south africa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149711	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa3798e…
06-05 03:06:51	will south africa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149711	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe3cd46…
05-20 07:12:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	54	89¢	$48	0xcdc2bb…
05-19 23:08:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$49	0x252483…
04-28 02:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x8fa9c3…
04-27 21:17:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf2cd98…
04-27 21:07:46	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xd62532…
04-27 17:03:14	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xff6c2e…
04-27 09:16:58	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	189	97¢	$184	0x47b637…
04-27 04:05:42	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	189	97¢	$184	0x937bb8…
04-25 03:53:50	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	97¢	$185	0xd7415f…
04-24 19:45:58	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	97¢	$186	0xe38553…
04-24 19:06:22	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	94¢	$189	0xb02fda…
04-24 16:08:38	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x675c3b…
04-24 15:58:38	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$61	0x286d77…
04-24 15:12:26	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xc38e30…
04-24 15:05:54	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xdae59a…
04-21 20:47:48	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xebb38d…
04-21 14:33:56	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x17b91f…
04-20 13:49:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x1fb703…
04-20 09:14:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	61	95¢	$58	0x82176a…
04-12 14:31:59	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	97¢	$61	0x7b4085…
04-12 07:15:09	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x22c78c…
04-12 00:52:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x286e98…
04-11 18:48:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xe52724…
04-11 06:59:27	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$64	0x93753a…
04-11 00:02:29	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x29aaa9…
04-10 23:45:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x38fa54…
04-10 23:25:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x439526…
04-10 11:53:37	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xd98b3a…
04-10 04:18:09	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x6e7dcf…
04-07 11:37:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$46	0x0bb915…
04-01 01:01:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x785136…
03-31 12:07:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x671953…
03-31 06:01:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xffbba7…
03-31 05:53:03	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x704d7d…
03-31 05:52:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x0d84d9…
03-27 05:57:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	191	96¢	$184	0xd1d1d9…
03-26 22:27:21	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	191	96¢	$184	0xbe116f…
03-26 13:41:49	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	194	97¢	$188	0xc41c2b…
03-26 08:30:15	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	194	98¢	$189	0x57d2f3…
03-26 00:46:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	67	94¢	$64	0x4560f8…
03-25 16:24:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x8853fa…
03-25 07:08:15	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	195	98¢	$190	0x635e47…
03-25 02:14:21	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	195	98¢	$190	0xcb6db7…
03-25 01:31:21	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	191	97¢	$185	0xd43d3e…
03-24 18:06:35	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	191	96¢	$184	0x31da45…
03-22 16:27:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	201	95¢	$191	0x4dbd7f…
03-22 08:40:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	95¢	$190	0x69ca3e…
03-21 12:49:15	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	202	96¢	$193	0x1a6ac0…
03-21 05:51:49	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	202	96¢	$193	0xf41a4e…
03-20 10:33:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	199	96¢	$190	0x56fd0c…
03-20 06:01:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x588a0d…
03-20 06:01:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xce989e…
03-20 03:47:11	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	210	91¢	$192	0x4fe6a1…
03-19 22:32:43	will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	210	92¢	$193	0xfaa3ab…
03-17 18:23:33	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	204	96¢	$196	0xe57ce6…
03-17 10:02:53	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	204	97¢	$198	0x8a6973…
03-17 03:27:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	193	98¢	$189	0x1aafdd…
03-16 23:15:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	193	98¢	$188	0x2d17af…
03-16 22:45:27	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	SELL	210	95¢	$200	0x62bc7b…
03-16 15:39:35	will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	210	96¢	$203	0x32fdee…
03-16 15:18:33	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	199	98¢	$194	0xb5b59d…
03-16 08:27:03	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x72da5a…
03-16 07:10:21	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0xcf82c0…
03-15 23:18:27	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	216	92¢	$199	0x681def…