Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
44.9%
Resolved
113
Trades
180
lifetime
Volume
$426
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$45
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 08-11 02:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
50% 48% -$58
Crypto
37% 36% +$64
Tech
5% 29% -$2
Politics
5% 0% -$7
Sports
2% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-06 03:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-06 03:33
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +11 $5 93¢ $10 +$5 06-03 14:12
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-23 10:42
Discord IPO before 2027? No +5 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 06-20 10:09
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 04-30 13:53
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-03 14:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +14 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 04-30 13:53
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 13:53