Realized P&L
+$3.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$450
Hit rate
46.2%
Resolved
477
Trades
5,195
lifetime
Volume
$52.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$78
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-05 15:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
95% 39% +$3,767
Politics
5% 14% -$336
Crypto
0% 50% +$22
Tech
0% 100% +$54
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -740 -$220 4¢ $-30 +$190 05-15 09:02
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$80 2¢ $-22 +$58 05-15 09:04
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -529 -$58 1¢ $-7 +$51 05-16 15:18
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3,100 -$59 0¢ $-5 +$55 05-17 18:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -188 -$15 2¢ $-4 +$11 05-15 09:05
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -100 -$23 3¢ $-3 +$20 05-16 10:27
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -1,032 -$4 0¢ $-3 +$1 08-05 15:00
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,000 -$22 0¢ $-2 +$19 05-15 09:03
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -1,500 -$21 0¢ $-1 +$19 05-05 12:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -580 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$1 08-05 14:28
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -400 -$24 0¢ $-1 +$23 05-15 09:03