Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$822

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$119.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 08-06 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

63% 76% -$1,287

Sports

26% 83% +$232

Other

11% 70% +$287

Crypto

0% 0% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No		+0	$2	97¢	$0	-$2	08-06 20:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	92	$31.0K	18,154	18,154	+0	open	—	08-06 21:22
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	87	$15.2K	7,794	7,794	+0	No	+$6	07-05 21:50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	47	$9.2K	6,121	4,921	+1,200	No	+$234	07-12 05:20
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	42	$8.8K	4,550	4,550	+0	No	+$9	08-06 21:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	38	$8.0K	4,100	4,100	+0	No	+$101	08-06 21:02
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	60	$6.3K	5,411	5,411	+0	open	—	07-07 12:50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$19	07-05 10:20
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	61	$4.7K	4,395	390	+4,005	No	+$83	07-24 20:50
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	15	$3.1K	1,707	1,707	+0	open	—	08-06 21:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	27	$2.9K	2,710	187	+2,523	No	+$4	07-01 01:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	35	$2.8K	2,372	550	+1,822	No	+$49	07-02 23:50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	23	$2.4K	3,330	3,330	+0	open	—	08-06 21:33
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	16	$2.4K	2,264	2,264	+0	Yes	-$1,418	08-06 21:29
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	17	$1.8K	935	935	+0	Yes	+$10	07-12 05:20
israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	12	$1.4K	747	747	+0	No	+$40	08-06 21:24
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	12	$1.4K	745	745	-0	open	—	08-06 21:15
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	15	$1.3K	733	733	+0	open	—	08-06 21:21
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	7	$1.1K	1,243	0	+1,243	Yes	+$107	07-24 21:50
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	16	$990	1,037	0	+1,037	Yes	+$47	08-01 21:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$940	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-06 21:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$933	475	475	+0	No	+$1	07-05 04:20
will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	8	$720	752	0	+752	Yes	+$31	07-24 20:20
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	6	$681	723	20	+702	No	+$52	07-01 07:20
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	8	$673	642	35	+607	No	+$3	07-01 01:20
Kash Patel out by December 31?	17	$545	829	829	+0	open	—	08-06 21:28
Iran leadership change by June 30?	6	$485	420	65	+355	No	+$0	06-30 23:50
Netanyahu out by June 30?	5	$425	300	126	+175	No	$0	06-28 22:20
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	8	$406	344	344	+0	open	—	07-08 02:20
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	6	$356	338	18	+320	No	+$0	07-01 00:20
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$342	407	0	+407	Yes	+$65	07-01 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 21:34:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2,479	97¢	$2,398	0x0db057…
08-06 21:34:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	580	97¢	$564	0x927418…
08-06 21:34:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	195	97¢	$190	0x65ba56…
08-06 21:33:47	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,317	31¢	$404	0x9b9c01…
08-06 21:32:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,338	93¢	$1,244	0x6912e4…
08-06 21:30:29	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,066	2¢	$32	0x658fed…
08-06 21:30:12	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	416	2¢	$8	0x63cd1f…
08-06 21:29:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,552	33¢	$509	0xc26da3…
08-06 21:29:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1,905	21¢	$391	0xe179d6…
08-06 21:28:03	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	406	18¢	$72	0xf13102…
08-06 21:27:44	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	416	2¢	$8	0x7937ab…
08-06 21:27:44	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$4	0x6ad317…
08-06 21:27:18	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	938	3¢	$28	0xe56f4e…
08-06 21:25:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb16c08…
08-06 21:25:35	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,483	2¢	$33	0xdc8099…
08-06 21:24:36	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	176	97¢	$172	0xb4283b…
08-06 21:24:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	235	17¢	$40	0x1fd5c4…
08-06 21:23:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x561ee8…
08-06 21:23:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1,024	98¢	$999	0x3b817b…
08-06 21:22:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	17,809	87¢	$15,494	0x700b82…
08-06 21:22:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x972012…
08-06 21:21:14	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xedfc16…
08-06 21:20:53	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4a3c85…
08-06 21:20:39	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	178	98¢	$175	0xd4f989…
08-06 21:20:39	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	204	87¢	$178	0x38e0ee…
08-06 21:20:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0xcf2052…
08-06 21:20:38	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	340	19¢	$65	0x9e1a85…
08-06 21:20:38	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x140116…
08-06 21:20:36	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	157	34¢	$53	0xabf68c…
08-06 21:20:36	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,425	3¢	$44	0x860c59…
08-06 21:20:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,176	17¢	$200	0x4a32b7…
08-06 21:20:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	205	98¢	$200	0xee4ca2…
08-06 21:20:35	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,342	2¢	$32	0x5c4871…
08-06 21:20:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	230	87¢	$200	0x97c046…
08-06 21:15:45	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x37d7b3…
08-06 21:15:00	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	413	94¢	$391	0xba0b16…
08-06 21:14:36	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	95¢	$214	0x82da7a…
08-06 21:13:54	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	271	99¢	$267	0xa8bf1a…
08-06 21:02:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3,590	99¢	$3,554	0xb24c12…
08-06 20:57:23	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	405	88¢	$356	0xaedfc4…
08-06 20:56:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	409	99¢	$405	0xf6ad34…
08-06 20:56:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x6c3660…
08-06 20:54:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xd0ebc2…
08-06 20:54:36	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	417	11¢	$44	0x28a84a…
08-06 20:53:26	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x3f431a…
08-06 20:53:15	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xa0964c…
08-06 20:52:54	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x12ce7a…
08-06 20:52:51	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x802354…
08-06 20:52:32	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0x96d4c6…
08-06 20:52:17	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x513b5a…
08-06 20:52:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xb8db00…
08-06 20:51:45	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x098ad3…
08-06 20:50:47	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x99d251…
08-06 20:50:45	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x20c0ca…
08-06 20:50:44	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	4¢	$3	0xa3d045…
08-06 20:50:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	83	22¢	$18	0x9e0a51…
08-06 20:50:44	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0x881b19…
08-06 20:50:44	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0x5f8790…
08-06 20:50:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x64757a…
08-06 20:50:42	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x548cb0…
08-06 20:50:41	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	20¢	$11	0x4b297e…
08-06 20:50:41	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	472	11¢	$50	0x026e56…
08-06 20:50:39	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x4c74ac…
08-06 20:50:39	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,038	2¢	$26	0x4033fa…
08-06 20:50:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	294	17¢	$50	0x1838e6…
08-06 20:50:38	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,194	3¢	$35	0xd3f1c4…
08-06 20:50:38	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	686	3¢	$23	0x9949a6…
08-06 20:50:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	158	26¢	$41	0x88282d…
08-06 20:50:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x8f027c…
08-06 20:50:36	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	147	34¢	$50	0x0a682b…
08-06 20:50:35	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,608	0¢	$11	0xb42d20…
08-06 20:50:35	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	541	2¢	$14	0xae867f…
08-06 20:50:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8319f4…
08-06 20:50:33	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	57	87¢	$50	0x693a67…
08-06 20:49:38	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xd657bf…
08-06 20:48:38	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x421500…
08-06 20:47:41	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x70cb9c…
08-06 20:47:03	Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xc3f0f2…
08-06 20:46:45	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x29fc8b…
08-06 20:46:21	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xa2339d…
08-06 20:22:23	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x38e8dd…
08-06 20:22:02	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x2e34c0…
08-06 20:20:51	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x4ebbd8…
08-06 20:20:50	Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x9cc013…
08-06 20:20:48	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	91¢	$39	0x8ba6e0…
08-06 20:20:48	Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x8afd89…
08-06 20:20:48	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x42af23…
08-06 20:20:47	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xf3a807…
08-06 20:20:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	83	21¢	$18	0x384719…
08-06 20:20:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xf1cc1d…
08-06 20:20:45	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0xeb4118…
08-06 20:20:45	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	4¢	$3	0xe58857…
08-06 20:20:45	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x7aab69…
08-06 20:20:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xea5420…
08-06 20:20:44	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	347	11¢	$37	0xcf48e0…
08-06 20:20:44	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x028419…
08-06 20:20:42	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x442528…
08-06 20:20:41	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,040	2¢	$26	0xb3ecfc…
08-06 20:20:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	294	17¢	$50	0x70a2ed…
08-06 20:20:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	192	26¢	$50	0x180c0e…