Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$28

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-14

last 10-28 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Pop-Culture

54% — —

Other

27% 67% +$36

Politics

19% 67% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+29	$20	68¢	$20	+$0	10-28 05:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+26	$5	20¢	$5	+$0	10-27 01:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+48	$1	3¢	$1	+$0	10-27 01:02
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+23	$0	4¢	$1	+$1	10-28 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	4	$2.8K	1,393	1,392	+0	open	—	10-15 00:54
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	3	$411	213	213	+0	No	+$11	10-23 17:46
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	5	$239	163	163	+0	Yes	+$19	10-24 03:09
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$210	143	143	+0	Yes	+$10	10-25 08:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$204	106	106	+0	open	—	10-28 14:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	3	$203	106	106	+0	Yes	+$3	10-24 00:57
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	2	$124	112	112	+0	open	—	10-28 20:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	2	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$1	09-29 03:06
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$88	63	63	+0	Yes	+$2	09-24 02:35
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	2	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$0	09-23 00:00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	3	$86	56	56	+0	Yes	+$26	10-18 21:19
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	8	$82	11,094	1,093	+10,000	Yes	+$3	10-24 03:18
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$67	37	37	+0	No	+$7	10-09 09:50
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$66	72	72	+0	No	+$11	09-20 22:26
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$31	31	31	+0	open	—	10-21 16:43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	10-24 01:57
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	10-09 00:58
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	10-27 00:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-09 03:52
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$20	233	209	+23	open	—	10-28 04:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	10-28 05:11
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	2	$19	299	299	+0	open	—	10-18 09:56
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	09-21 03:35
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	2	$17	62	62	+0	Yes	-$3	10-27 00:21
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	1	$17	23	0	+23	Yes	-$17	10-09 10:04
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$16	263	263	+0	No	-$4	09-20 22:27
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	2	$15	75	0	+75	open	—	10-28 14:17
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	3	$15	14	3	+11	No	+$2	10-09 09:58
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-09 03:52
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	10-28 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 20:47:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	22¢	$24	0x5fb4f1…
10-28 14:17:41	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8209c8…
10-28 14:16:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x12ed08…
10-28 12:34:59	Will Melania Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6f9b4d…
10-28 10:37:19	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xaaf6fb…
10-28 05:54:11	Will Melania Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x663670…
10-28 05:53:49	Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd87112…
10-28 05:45:29	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x53a1f5…
10-28 05:11:23	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa41020…
10-28 04:36:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	209	5¢	$10	0x480da3…
10-27 06:12:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x7963cc…
10-27 01:04:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5d1fae…
10-27 01:02:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x8b6134…
10-27 00:21:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	62	12¢	$7	0xecf26d…
10-27 00:21:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8fbad2…
10-26 03:55:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x184638…
10-26 03:50:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3d6261…
10-25 08:14:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$10	0xe59d11…
10-25 08:03:08	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	143	77¢	$110	0xe6d164…
10-24 19:17:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x42f4f6…
10-24 03:18:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0x4da7cb…
10-24 03:16:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,120	0¢	$1	0xe9dd82…
10-24 03:09:47	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xd087db…
10-24 02:21:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x5a8bf1…
10-24 01:57:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x8ab614…
10-24 01:50:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x35b209…
10-24 00:57:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	98	97¢	$95	0x4acaa1…
10-24 00:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x62587e…
10-23 17:56:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	724	1¢	$10	0x9fdde6…
10-23 17:46:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0xc7f4c3…
10-23 16:09:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,076	3¢	$30	0xdda1a4…
10-23 11:26:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,438	1¢	$10	0x26ad43…
10-23 11:21:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	518	2¢	$10	0x254dfd…
10-23 11:03:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4c2b3b…
10-23 06:07:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x31fbf1…
10-23 06:04:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4b0ccf…
10-23 04:38:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x89cbc2…
10-23 04:30:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	48	32¢	$15	0x4210d8…
10-23 02:55:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xe95022…
10-23 01:52:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8429d4…
10-21 16:43:32	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	31	68¢	$21	0xde7319…
10-18 21:19:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xe908ea…
10-18 17:34:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8ed7ed…
10-18 15:18:18	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x6716a9…
10-18 09:56:17	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	299	3¢	$9	0xd63ac4…
10-18 09:13:54	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	299	3¢	$10	0x44db96…
10-18 09:13:44	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x57e8f2…
10-18 09:09:20	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf7cd76…
10-18 06:05:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x2d8898…
10-15 00:54:10	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	1,392	100¢	$1,390	0x81a7cd…
10-12 08:37:52	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xc0a5c2…
10-12 07:02:50	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0x3263c0…
10-09 10:04:09	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0x20a65f…
10-09 09:59:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5d982b…
10-09 09:58:46	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xac6835…
10-09 09:50:40	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x056e43…
10-09 03:53:20	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xdb569b…
10-09 03:52:21	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xcaec33…
10-09 03:52:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xdfa66e…
10-09 01:02:36	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xe04a20…
10-09 00:58:23	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x89c324…
10-09 00:58:11	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x5fc33f…
09-29 15:58:41	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by october 15 2026	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb41755…
09-29 13:54:02	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	348	98¢	$340	0xbc9c7d…
09-29 13:53:18	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x46e6f1…
09-29 13:22:09	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2f8688…
09-29 13:21:48	russia ukraine peace talks by october 31 2026	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x51b7c2…
09-29 13:21:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2e651b…
09-29 13:21:02	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf5f4b7…
09-29 03:06:24	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x9ff18f…
09-24 02:42:55	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x600b67…
09-24 02:35:50	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	63	72¢	$45	0x492657…
09-23 00:01:20	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x8bd8c2…
09-23 00:00:43	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x5f1ceb…
09-22 02:10:38	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xb57a5d…
09-21 03:35:43	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xab6919…
09-20 22:27:02	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	192	0¢	$1	0xe28a12…
09-20 22:26:46	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x14129f…
09-20 22:26:25	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xc8a5dc…
09-19 09:10:39	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x0646da…
09-19 07:22:16	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xca581f…
09-19 06:46:09	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x5adc98…
09-19 06:41:48	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6cf125…
09-19 06:40:25	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdad4ef…
09-19 06:40:25	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	73	6¢	$4	0x877c0a…
09-19 06:14:15	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xcfc064…
09-19 06:13:54	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	66	58¢	$38	0x3ded77…
09-14 22:05:19	Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	72	38¢	$27	0xcf9025…
09-14 21:59:48	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	263	4¢	$10	0x309993…