Realized P&L
-$322
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
72
Trades
181
lifetime
Volume
$3.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$101
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 08-18 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
71% 47% -$82
Other
27% 17% -$209
Crypto
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$30
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +85 $56 94¢ $80 +$23 05-24 17:47
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +83 $5 8¢ $6 +$1 08-01 22:24
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +87 $3 5¢ $4 +$1 08-11 19:45
iran coup attempt by december 31 Yes +56 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 08-18 23:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $20 1¢ $2 -$18 06-30 21:52
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +77 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 07-26 19:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +122 $5 1¢ $2 -$3 08-01 22:20
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +56 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 07-26 19:35
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +54 -$3 1¢ $0 +$4 08-11 19:45
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +158 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 05-26 23:02