Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$646

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-03 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

41% 100% +$0

Politics

13% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+373	$347	90¢	$334	$-13	07-03 13:19
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+330	$309	94¢	$312	+$2	07-03 13:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	01-27 05:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$911	306	622	-316	open	—	06-09 06:56
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$851	550	550	+0	open	—	01-30 01:56
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	6	$739	383	383	+0	open	—	01-23 05:36
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$726	376	376	+0	open	—	06-28 09:47
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$651	330	330	+0	open	—	03-09 13:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$648	660	0	+660	open	—	06-16 03:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	4	$643	327	327	+0	open	—	06-10 13:29
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$620	313	313	+0	open	—	05-22 22:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$597	300	300	+0	open	—	06-24 23:56
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	6	$593	310	310	+0	open	—	03-12 20:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$591	300	300	+0	open	—	05-27 16:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$583	307	307	+0	open	—	05-30 12:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$582	304	304	+0	open	—	05-20 14:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$572	300	300	+0	open	—	03-27 13:48
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$494	495	0	+495	open	—	01-14 13:46
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$487	256	256	+0	open	—	04-01 12:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	1	$473	500	0	+500	open	—	06-10 01:56
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$472	240	240	+0	open	—	01-13 20:12
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$421	220	220	+0	open	—	01-13 13:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	7	$420	220	220	+0	open	—	01-16 07:58
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$412	415	0	+415	open	—	01-07 12:45
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	1	$400	402	0	+402	open	—	01-26 03:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$397	397	0	+397	open	—	02-02 07:23
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$395	397	0	+397	open	—	02-04 07:50
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$376	193	193	+0	open	—	03-14 01:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	7	$369	370	0	+370	open	—	06-18 11:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$347	373	0	+373	open	—	07-03 13:19
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	5	$337	180	180	+0	open	—	01-16 05:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$325	165	165	+0	open	—	05-15 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 13:19:59	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	373	93¢	$347	0xe054ab…
07-03 13:19:26	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	330	94¢	$309	0xaa12ae…
06-29 05:56:35	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xdbfab3…
06-28 09:47:40	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	376	97¢	$365	0xdc02e0…
06-28 01:37:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	315	99¢	$313	0x43b35b…
06-24 23:56:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xa6cb28…
06-24 01:54:44	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	376	96¢	$361	0xb64358…
06-18 11:18:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0x2bdefe…
06-18 11:18:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xe59d17…
06-18 11:18:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x203f03…
06-18 11:18:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd90130…
06-18 11:18:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xffaf2c…
06-18 11:18:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf3b87b…
06-18 11:18:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x89c0f5…
06-18 03:37:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x114020…
06-16 03:08:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	660	98¢	$648	0x46f1bd…
06-14 05:23:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xbadf23…
06-10 13:29:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x6471af…
06-10 11:40:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x872a4b…
06-10 11:18:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x4e5618…
06-10 01:56:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	500	95¢	$473	0xf28de2…
06-10 00:59:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$296	0x9bcf80…
06-09 06:56:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	306	99¢	$302	0x828f0a…
06-02 13:21:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	327	98¢	$320	0x818033…
06-02 05:22:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x703dd4…
06-01 12:59:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	316	98¢	$310	0x059ead…
05-31 10:02:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	312	98¢	$307	0x1ae21d…
05-30 12:44:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	307	96¢	$295	0x5b2bf8…
05-28 18:26:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	307	94¢	$289	0x964ad1…
05-27 16:22:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xa05d17…
05-22 22:14:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	313	99¢	$311	0x3509ce…
05-22 04:03:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$309	0x9042bf…
05-20 14:30:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	304	96¢	$292	0xda59f2…
05-20 07:43:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xd9beea…
05-20 02:24:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	304	95¢	$290	0x2b17bb…
05-15 07:20:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0xed30c6…
05-09 13:17:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0xeec402…
05-05 13:14:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0xe8ab34…
05-04 02:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xa2a8cb…
04-30 03:33:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	200	56¢	$113	0x9c43a7…
04-24 21:00:02	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0xbac7b0…
04-22 14:26:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x4a5a21…
04-22 06:48:20	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xb29b8f…
04-22 06:48:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0x24062f…
04-21 07:37:22	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x3ed5a0…
04-17 14:19:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x4d00aa…
04-16 08:40:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x8d1e2c…
04-06 01:22:07	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xf44a2b…
04-03 12:04:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	128	98¢	$126	0xbaae12…
04-01 12:56:47	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x0d9c8f…
04-01 06:57:35	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xed867c…
04-01 06:56:09	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x18f2db…
03-29 11:59:08	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x6d3261…
03-27 15:38:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	51	97¢	$50	0xb81092…
03-27 15:38:57	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xb5cb80…
03-27 15:37:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x9f2a25…
03-27 13:48:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x120e3a…
03-27 13:48:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	72	95¢	$69	0xff63a2…
03-27 13:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xac600b…
03-27 13:47:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	76	95¢	$72	0x408976…
03-27 13:47:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x2e7ba6…
03-27 13:43:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x0ff7e0…
03-27 13:40:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xfd8ef4…
03-27 13:40:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xde2d3b…
03-27 11:08:47	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0xec2a2e…
03-20 05:45:43	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x221f7e…
03-20 05:45:41	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x266ac6…
03-20 05:37:01	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33710d…
03-20 05:11:13	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa874c9…
03-18 19:26:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	115	96¢	$111	0x3f2f68…
03-18 09:01:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0x066319…
03-18 09:00:53	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x21a0fe…
03-14 01:35:29	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xba4295…
03-13 00:46:47	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9b87e0…
03-12 20:58:23	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xca4a2a…
03-11 07:43:11	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0x236f36…
03-09 13:21:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x74c4aa…
03-09 12:36:07	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xc0d095…
03-08 12:07:17	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xc688b2…
03-08 11:57:21	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd88e46…
03-08 11:56:03	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x077b9a…
03-08 10:30:23	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x5525f9…
03-08 10:26:29	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	93¢	$23	0xfa2395…
03-08 10:24:43	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x8858de…
03-08 05:17:49	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xc85d89…
03-07 00:59:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x94d8f7…
03-06 07:39:23	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x49cd62…
03-05 08:33:33	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x539b4a…
03-04 07:14:51	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$108	0x2623a0…
03-04 06:54:01	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x96b204…
03-04 06:53:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xbd575c…
03-04 06:53:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0xd28f2d…
03-04 06:52:53	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5cb86a…
03-04 01:32:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0xfcda72…
03-03 14:09:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe69ef0…
03-02 07:47:19	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x9bbb07…
03-02 07:44:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x0a37e1…
03-02 07:44:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x052130…
03-02 07:43:37	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xd0bf79…
03-02 07:31:17	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0xdfd00f…