Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$122
Hit rate
90.0%
Resolved
31
Trades
676
lifetime
Volume
$9.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$260
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 07-02 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Tech
41% 100% +$1
Other
27% 29% $-2
Politics
24% 80% +$6
Sports
7% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +104 $59 82¢ $85 +$27 06-26 01:16
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $22 80¢ $80 +$58 06-09 02:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +40 $33 90¢ $36 +$3 06-18 03:00
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +53 $46 66¢ $35 $-10 06-02 04:47
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +14 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 06-10 02:04
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +20 $-41 34¢ $7 +$47 07-01 10:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes +14 $7 38¢ $5 $-1 06-28 09:50
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $5 $2 $-2 06-19 18:47