Realized P&L
-$368
Unrealized P&L
-$604
Hit rate
25.8%
Resolved
54
Trades
153
lifetime
Volume
$6.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$1.78K
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-27 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
56% 29% -$117
Other
39% 45% -$256
Sports
5% 50% +$7
Crypto
0% 67% -$3
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,991 $1,863 50¢ $1.5K -$383 10-26 15:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +495 $150 26¢ $127 -$23 06-16 21:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +321 $60 18¢ $58 -$2 05-13 17:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +282 $75 17¢ $47 -$28 05-03 19:17
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +946 $165 4¢ $38 -$127 10-27 17:50
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +815 $19 2¢ $17 -$2 10-24 18:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 $0 10-26 23:02
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +125 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 06-17 17:01
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +37 $20 1¢ $0 -$20 10-26 15:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +31 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 08-28 08:58
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +18 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 10-26 23:06