Mindless-Tube — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

346

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$9.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-14 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 95% -$206

Politics

26% 27% -$25

Other

13% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	8	$588	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$488	249	249	+0	Up	+$5	05-16 10:33
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$436	224	224	+0	Yes	+$5	04-11 09:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$346	400	400	+0	No	-$34	05-16 12:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$284	268	268	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 23:57
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$284	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 14:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$260	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-21 18:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 19:26
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$212	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 15:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$200	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-21 20:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	7	$200	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	42	$187	934	0	+934	Up	-$187	05-30 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	open	—	05-20 18:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$148	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-22 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$126	204	204	+0	No	+$0	05-24 08:59
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$111	92	92	+0	Yes	-$5	05-23 21:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$100	100	100	+0	No	-$10	05-23 18:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$96	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 17:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$92	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-24 02:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$64	200	200	+0	No	-$20	05-23 21:04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$64	200	200	+0	open	—	05-23 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:35 UTC	2	$57	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	04-20 00:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	2	$57	100	100	+0	No	-$3	05-23 21:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC	2	$55	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	04-22 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$55	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	04-25 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	Up	+$1	05-03 13:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	2	$54	56	56	+0	open	—	05-23 18:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 09:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0xbde0e9…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xe55419…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd5b1e0…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd34662…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb62093…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa4d8c4…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8ed9f8…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7bb1cd…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x743efb…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6ce698…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0x6a9526…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x688738…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4c641d…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x4a401a…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x316004…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x310f9a…
05-30 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0x008a55…
05-30 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb6def9…
05-30 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x0cdd47…
05-30 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf1e86e…
05-30 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdaf98d…
05-30 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd1f2fa…
05-30 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x68dcb2…
05-30 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0f8b24…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd3eb23…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x849304…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x7033df…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x397a8f…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0x27d402…
05-30 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x06c20d…
05-30 09:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x8958f7…
05-30 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xd2fe28…
05-30 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc25227…
05-30 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x8610c4…
05-30 09:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7470b0…
05-30 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x80724f…
05-30 09:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x7a3bef…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xdc95c5…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd31d6e…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x95f785…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x76bd3f…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x6b1dee…
05-30 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x401ad6…
05-24 08:59:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	204	31¢	$63	0x566bf6…
05-24 08:57:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	204	31¢	$63	0x4358e3…
05-24 02:44:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x8297fd…
05-24 01:25:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xeda982…
05-23 21:04:45	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	SELL	92	58¢	$53	0xc1a824…
05-23 21:04:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xd63240…
05-23 21:04:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xcff0fb…
05-23 21:02:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xdb3d5e…
05-23 20:10:32	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	63¢	$58	0x5bfc00…
05-23 18:02:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xec90ae…
05-23 18:00:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0xd71e28…
05-23 18:00:39	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xbb2af5…
05-23 15:07:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xae64bb…
05-23 15:00:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe2310c…
05-23 14:36:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	78	72¢	$56	0xe26b14…
05-23 14:35:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	47	72¢	$34	0xe5234a…
05-23 14:35:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x034295…
05-23 14:34:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0xc081fc…
05-23 14:34:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x7ef2a5…
05-23 14:28:35	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xa9dc8c…
05-23 14:13:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xb7885c…
05-23 08:32:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0xffda78…
05-23 08:31:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	164	50¢	$82	0x50415a…
05-23 04:42:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x67f6fe…
05-23 01:35:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xed0b37…
05-23 01:35:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x4fc67e…
05-23 01:32:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x7200a6…
05-23 01:32:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8cffd6…
05-22 23:57:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	268	53¢	$142	0xa711af…
05-22 20:24:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	268	53¢	$142	0x8c649f…
05-22 09:37:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xa3c3b6…
05-22 08:00:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x688cb7…
05-22 05:20:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	35	76¢	$27	0x7fcacb…
05-22 05:20:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	165	75¢	$124	0x79d827…
05-22 05:19:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xa8a27d…
05-21 20:16:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xacc96e…
05-21 19:26:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf1446a…
05-21 19:26:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xfdafce…
05-21 19:08:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x919722…
05-21 18:56:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xbb94f0…
05-21 17:22:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x61c333…
05-21 17:22:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xa44aed…
05-21 16:10:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x234085…
05-21 15:14:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x8af693…
05-21 15:14:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xb319a9…
05-21 04:22:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x80d16e…
05-21 04:16:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x202b24…
05-20 18:48:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x2842c5…
05-20 18:48:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x7b936f…
05-20 18:48:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	19¢	$21	0x8d0ef7…
05-20 18:48:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	19¢	$8	0x55f09e…
05-20 18:47:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xcfbb96…
05-20 18:43:51	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x94be36…
05-20 15:26:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x1bc78e…
05-20 14:04:17	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xfea2e8…
05-20 14:04:10	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x326eaa…
05-16 12:46:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x55efef…