(anonymous) 0x851300…db6a53
bot 18W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$949
Unrealized P&L
+$464
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
8,113
Trades
27,158
lifetime
Volume
$95.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-23 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
87% 37% +$778
Politics
6% 42% +$109
Crypto
3% 42% +$163
Sports
3% 38% -$119
Tech
1% 23% +$12
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 1166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +165 $115 100¢ $165 +$50 09-24 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +150 $93 98¢ $146 +$54 10-20 14:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +152 $108 74¢ $112 +$4 09-28 14:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +118 $70 86¢ $101 +$31 10-11 15:17
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $77 97¢ $97 +$20 09-15 18:39
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +111 $67 86¢ $96 +$29 09-21 16:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +110 $68 83¢ $91 +$23 10-08 14:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +70 $49 99¢ $70 +$20 10-06 03:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +70 $53 99¢ $69 +$16 10-11 14:54
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +70 $30 99¢ $69 +$40 10-11 13:54
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +70 $27 96¢ $67 +$41 10-12 17:37
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +64 $48 99¢ $63 +$15 10-05 19:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +80 $65 79¢ $63 -$2 09-28 11:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80 $42 76¢ $61 +$19 09-21 18:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +50 $36 97¢ $49 +$12 09-29 20:42
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +45 $29 98¢ $45 +$16 09-06 22:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +157 $37 26¢ $41 +$4 10-13 10:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +40 $26 100¢ $40 +$14 10-21 20:11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +40 $27 99¢ $40 +$12 10-22 00:04
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 96¢ $38 +$4 10-19 20:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +40 $30 94¢ $38 +$8 10-21 21:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 94¢ $37 +$7 09-20 22:44
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +40 $21 92¢ $37 +$15 10-21 20:07
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +30 $18 98¢ $30 +$11 10-07 23:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +40 $14 61¢ $24 +$10 10-20 15:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +90 $40 24¢ $22 -$18 09-21 18:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $29 39¢ $20 -$10 10-20 15:15
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +20 $8 98¢ $20 +$11 09-28 14:44
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$2 10-05 06:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $14 97¢ $19 +$5 10-21 08:47