Thankful-Friendship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,005

lifetime

Volume

$160.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

$2.04K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$0

Sports

32% 75% +$34

Politics

10% — —

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	+2,026	$1,957	94¢	$1.9K	$-44	06-09 14:28
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	-100	$-99	99¢	$-99	+$0	06-04 09:11
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	-39	$-27	71¢	$-28	$-1	05-30 19:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$11.0K	5,586	5,586	+0	open	—	05-27 05:31
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	67	$8.1K	4,092	4,092	+0	open	—	03-29 08:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	20	$7.8K	4,915	4,715	+200	open	—	04-22 13:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	26	$7.7K	3,851	3,851	+0	open	—	04-27 16:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	36	$7.3K	3,678	3,678	+0	open	—	05-16 08:06
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	74	$6.8K	5,142	5,072	+70	Cavaliers	+$60	05-14 03:03
nba mia cha 2026 04 14	5	$4.1K	2,572	2,572	+0	open	—	04-15 02:27
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$4.0K	1,995	1,995	+0	open	—	06-05 06:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	26	$3.9K	1,968	1,968	+0	open	—	04-22 12:08
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	35	$3.6K	1,798	1,798	+0	open	—	02-14 06:00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	25	$3.5K	1,763	1,763	+0	open	—	04-24 16:29
Magic vs. Pistons	14	$3.5K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	04-29 23:45
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	11	$3.5K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	04-18 19:15
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$3.1K	1,546	1,546	+0	open	—	04-13 09:23
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	9	$3.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	04-30 00:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	40	$2.9K	1,530	1,427	+103	open	—	03-31 10:52
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	39	$2.9K	1,463	1,463	+0	open	—	03-18 19:07
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	9	$2.4K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	03-18 01:24
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	19	$2.4K	1,199	1,199	+0	open	—	01-10 19:32
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	open	—	01-08 18:08
nba lac phx 2026 02 01	4	$2.3K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	02-02 03:24
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	7	$2.3K	1,134	1,134	+0	open	—	03-26 02:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	8	$2.2K	1,114	1,114	+0	open	—	04-24 01:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	10	$2.2K	1,092	1,092	+0	open	—	03-03 01:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$2.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	open	—	06-07 09:17
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 9	9	$2.0K	999	999	+0	open	—	01-09 06:20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	2	$2.0K	2,026	0	+2,026	open	—	06-09 14:28
nba bos bkn 2026 01 23	2	$1.8K	929	929	+0	open	—	01-24 03:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$1.8K	914	914	+0	open	—	04-14 06:24
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$1.8K	1,010	1,010	+0	Spurs	+$231	05-13 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:28:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	1,726	97¢	$1,667	0x5b3bd1…
06-09 14:27:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x627b6c…
06-07 09:17:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	1,344	99¢	$1,334	0x5ff456…
06-07 09:16:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	707	99¢	$702	0xf4ef34…
06-05 06:22:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	1,995	100¢	$1,991	0x38dcad…
06-04 09:11:13	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbd6084…
06-04 06:53:34	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f395c…
06-03 04:28:05	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbc6d71…
06-02 17:54:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	No	BUY	1,995	99¢	$1,983	0xbb024d…
06-02 14:31:51	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbd71a8…
06-01 14:26:37	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x399ad1…
06-01 14:26:16	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf8f298…
06-01 09:32:05	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x810a2a…
06-01 06:56:46	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x551a05…
06-01 00:43:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0xfd34ae…
06-01 00:41:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3183ab…
06-01 00:37:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x5de156…
06-01 00:32:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x198cad…
05-31 03:07:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x108d60…
05-31 02:46:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x99eb9a…
05-31 02:44:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x557fa2…
05-31 02:42:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5682fd…
05-31 02:42:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8d267b…
05-30 19:11:58	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	37	69¢	$25	0xda4a0b…
05-30 09:17:33	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xffcd11…
05-30 09:15:06	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x0af9dc…
05-30 01:44:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x3e6535…
05-30 01:42:02	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbcd9b6…
05-29 03:27:25	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x4c9399…
05-28 21:46:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe801f5…
05-28 14:13:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,014	92¢	$933	0x418436…
05-27 05:31:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1,875	100¢	$1,871	0xd5da4b…
05-23 07:35:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd57404…
05-21 16:00:53	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xfd3ab3…
05-21 02:43:40	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x7e2b8d…
05-20 11:19:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x681e68…
05-20 10:15:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x086fd0…
05-17 08:53:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,875	99¢	$1,860	0x72f197…
05-16 16:09:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1,614	99¢	$1,597	0x6d8547…
05-16 15:44:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x2c3d2a…
05-16 15:22:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5be332…
05-16 15:19:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	251	99¢	$248	0x4789c6…
05-16 09:35:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,880	99¢	$1,859	0x50ce3f…
05-16 08:06:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0xdd1b5d…
05-16 08:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1bf741…
05-16 07:50:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4e5825…
05-16 07:42:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x601ebc…
05-16 07:39:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x11cd1c…
05-16 05:36:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0xb566d5…
05-16 05:35:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x839ec9…
05-16 05:33:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x463d68…
05-16 05:26:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xc48f3f…
05-16 05:09:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd1551b…
05-16 04:55:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe99368…
05-16 04:55:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe698ef…
05-16 04:47:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x465c16…
05-15 23:25:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x4f33bb…
05-15 23:16:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x910fda…
05-15 18:15:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x728ed2…
05-15 17:37:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x23f324…
05-15 16:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x1bcd5c…
05-15 16:06:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59a935…
05-15 15:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76697c…
05-15 15:29:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	800	100¢	$796	0x5340bc…
05-15 15:28:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa4fc30…
05-15 15:14:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xdf7a9e…
05-15 15:01:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0abc6d…
05-14 03:21:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0x857b9c…
05-14 03:03:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x368491…
05-14 03:03:20	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x03e136…
05-14 03:00:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x29aa5e…
05-14 02:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0x1f6711…
05-14 02:58:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2e8157…
05-14 02:58:50	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x64393b…
05-14 02:58:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x707308…
05-14 02:57:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x844c24…
05-14 02:36:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0xd84ca1…
05-14 02:17:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x168501…
05-14 02:00:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0xa35abe…
05-14 01:12:11	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x834ad2…
05-14 01:12:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x0d3a45…
05-14 01:11:55	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	244	82¢	$200	0x9dffcd…
05-14 01:11:51	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0x5a8a75…
05-14 01:11:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	4	82¢	$4	0x3c8277…
05-14 01:11:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0xfe4d2a…
05-14 01:11:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	242	82¢	$198	0xea81e0…
05-14 01:11:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xaa6efb…
05-14 01:11:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	129	82¢	$106	0x624415…
05-14 01:11:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0xed0d57…
05-14 01:11:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	242	82¢	$198	0xab6827…
05-14 01:00:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa7ea9b…
05-14 01:00:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	214	81¢	$174	0x9b90a4…
05-14 01:00:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x4faa95…
05-14 01:00:45	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa20592…
05-14 01:00:45	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9d22cb…
05-14 01:00:43	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x80065f…
05-14 01:00:38	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x6344d0…
05-14 01:00:38	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x016cb0…
05-14 01:00:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	40	81¢	$33	0xfd9dc3…
05-14 01:00:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	488	81¢	$395	0xcf362f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	94	$654.4K	4,395	06-09 05:05
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	83	$959.1K	4,352	05-29 02:13
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	75	$561.4K	9,439	06-09 14:38
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	75	$142.2K	1,024	06-07 21:34
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	72	$10.6K	2,807	06-09 21:04
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	69	$1.42M	25,369	05-05 00:30
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	68	$193.9K	1,811	06-08 02:16
Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc	68	$66.4K	2,884	06-02 07:52