Wordy-Scrim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$339

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

130

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$6.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$167

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 09-12 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

90% 35% +$339

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+558	$95	22¢	$120	+$25	09-12 12:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+330	$34	11¢	$38	+$4	08-24 16:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+72	$20	12¢	$9	-$11	08-21 04:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	27	$415	230	229	+1	No	-$2	04-27 17:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$414	900	900	+0	open	—	09-12 12:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	14	$393	244	244	+0	Yes	+$90	05-23 07:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	3	$355	187	187	+0	No	+$19	04-19 16:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	35	$310	255	255	+0	No	+$4	04-22 17:39
will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	13	$260	139	170	-31	Yes	+$18	04-11 13:37
100m views on a mrbeast video in the first week by march 31	28	$251	129	129	+0	No	+$3	03-25 22:27
will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	26	$247	125	125	+0	No	+$2	03-26 18:40
will mrbeasts next video get 84 million or more views on week 1	29	$247	125	125	+0	No	+$2	03-28 09:25
will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 2	8	$213	53	162	-109	No	+$1	04-20 08:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	71	$204	887	446	+441	No	-$6	03-22 12:55
will mrbeasts next video get 71 million or more views on day 3	25	$200	102	102	+0	No	+$1	03-23 21:50
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	22	$179	185	0	+185	No	+$6	05-18 18:33
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2	20	$172	100	100	+0	No	+$28	03-23 15:53
will mrbeasts video get less than 81 million views on day 6	16	$143	145	0	+145	No	+$2	04-23 19:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	3	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	+$51	06-02 05:55
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	7	$127	110	20	+90	No	+$2	04-05 22:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	5	$125	120	120	+0	Yes	+$79	05-09 08:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	24	$119	122	0	+122	No	+$3	03-26 20:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	6	$117	110	50	+60	Yes	+$34	06-18 04:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?	10	$105	85	85	+0	Yes	+$33	06-15 04:26
Will MrBeast's video get less than 70 million views on day 4?	22	$99	105	0	+105	No	+$6	05-06 03:44
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	8	$98	64	64	+0	Yes	+$17	07-29 20:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	1	$95	558	0	+558	open	—	09-12 12:52
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?	7	$78	50	50	+0	No	+$4	05-10 20:29
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	7	$76	135	135	+0	No	+$6	05-09 08:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?	3	$66	100	100	+0	Yes	+$50	06-15 17:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?	3	$66	50	50	+0	Yes	+$34	07-29 18:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	26	$63	372	371	+1	No	+$38	08-12 15:21
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	17	$49	122	119	+3	Yes	+$24	04-23 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 12:52:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	17¢	$95	0x4f0836…
09-12 12:09:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	12¢	$108	0x321999…
08-24 16:22:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	10¢	$16	0x0cbcf6…
08-24 16:21:40	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x287e78…
08-24 16:21:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	10¢	$18	0x8eae3d…
08-24 16:20:42	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x2637b8…
08-24 16:20:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xacac12…
08-24 16:20:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x3fc319…
08-21 04:46:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x130fbe…
08-17 15:53:51	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe63dba…
08-15 12:15:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0xd67ceb…
08-15 12:09:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x1166dd…
08-15 12:09:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe01f71…
08-15 12:09:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x1a349f…
08-15 11:23:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfd813a…
08-15 11:23:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbd54e2…
08-15 11:23:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa56d50…
08-15 11:23:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 75.5 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5708c2…
08-14 04:24:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x2a7604…
08-12 15:21:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	185	12¢	$23	0xb49845…
08-12 08:17:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	120	15¢	$18	0x5965e9…
08-12 03:54:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0xd2030f…
08-10 19:05:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x18e9d6…
08-10 19:02:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc4a538…
08-10 19:02:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd77002…
08-10 19:02:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x96d8d4…
08-10 19:02:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x651876…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xef341d…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x850e5f…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x7b7f44…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x746c2a…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3ecd54…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x284335…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x242335…
08-10 18:42:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x038e4c…
08-10 18:40:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa7bcbb…
08-10 18:37:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xc72d22…
08-10 18:36:46	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x2b872e…
08-10 18:36:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x667144…
08-03 20:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x8dba50…
08-03 20:12:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3295ec…
08-03 20:11:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xed0487…
08-03 19:37:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xf52a18…
08-03 19:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x68f46c…
08-03 19:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe93f20…
08-03 19:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b034a…
08-03 19:34:27	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x640a0d…
08-03 19:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xadcc3c…
08-03 19:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xfe3bdc…
08-03 19:33:59	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$0	0x087491…
08-03 19:33:44	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb5a64f…
08-03 19:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x829b7b…
08-03 19:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2e4927…
08-03 19:33:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdcec4c…
08-03 19:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x565693…
08-03 19:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xef44f0…
08-03 19:32:38	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x793458…
08-03 19:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	1¢	$2	0xbea532…
08-03 19:32:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x686ff7…
08-03 19:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x973a52…
08-03 19:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x457115…
08-03 19:31:35	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x737b55…
08-03 19:31:23	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd10a5…
08-03 19:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x71afd5…
08-03 19:30:39	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xffe23e…
08-03 19:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xcf2079…
08-03 19:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x55730c…
08-03 19:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d5e93…
08-03 19:09:23	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb89402…
08-03 19:04:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc5ec0d…
08-03 19:04:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x324998…
08-03 18:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8f891e…
08-03 18:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	815	0¢	$4	0x766eb3…
08-03 18:14:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3acbb9…
08-03 18:01:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xd940ef…
08-03 17:48:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x02132a…
08-03 17:34:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x66eaee…
08-01 05:12:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x95d4bb…
07-31 21:49:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbd8ce2…
07-31 18:44:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5eafab…
07-31 18:20:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x42c9ea…
07-31 18:19:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x587b4c…
07-31 11:56:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa2227b…
07-31 11:55:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdd73ad…
07-31 11:54:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x06a2d5…
07-31 04:30:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x39f5b9…
07-30 03:23:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc6818a…
07-30 02:37:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x478b17…
07-30 00:54:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc1cac4…
07-29 22:36:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf48e7d…
07-29 20:49:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xa3f600…
07-29 20:48:15	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x79b3ab…
07-29 19:09:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x300b01…
07-29 18:57:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf31087…
07-29 18:53:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 35 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb228e5…
07-29 18:52:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x485164…
07-29 14:25:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x9882d5…
07-29 14:24:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x2eeead…
07-29 04:44:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xc727d0…
07-28 23:22:29	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xee2a9e…