Valid-Acorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

322

Trades

628

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

79% 85% +$3

Crypto

11% 89% +$0

Politics

6% 53% $0

Sports

4% 57% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+14	$14	100¢	$14	$0	10-31 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 5?	10	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-05 06:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on May 4?	6	$75	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-03 23:50
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 53°F or below on May 10?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:56
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	4	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	05-09 18:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	4	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 21:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 7?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-06 23:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on May 7?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-06 13:33
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 7?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 11?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-10 10:28
highest temperature in singapore on april 1 2026 34c	1	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-11 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 10?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-10 10:30
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 38c	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-11 04:09
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 80 81f	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-02 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on May 7?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 21c	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-23 23:13
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 30 2026 23corhigher	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	03-30 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 10?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:56
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	02-06 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 4?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-04 05:48
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 88forhigher	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-23 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 2?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on May 8?	2	$47	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-08 14:54
bitcoin above 72k on march 29	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	03-29 06:18
highest temperature in chongqing on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	04-05 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 3?	3	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-03 11:57
Will Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	$0	04-29 06:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on May 6?	5	$46	23	23	+0	No	$0	05-05 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 9?	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	05-09 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:26:06	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9cc709…
10-20 06:18:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x4d4c39…
10-19 01:00:02	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x96974e…
10-19 00:59:06	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa48d28…
10-19 00:58:15	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xdd497c…
10-06 12:45:04	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x6cdcfb…
10-04 06:01:50	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2bf3bc…
10-04 06:00:58	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xae4cc5…
10-04 06:00:08	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x95c06e…
09-21 18:52:24	Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0a5ce2…
09-17 12:03:27	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4e2aef…
09-07 16:44:24	Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1947cc…
08-28 13:52:57	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2fcfc…
08-13 18:55:46	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5fd598…
08-12 13:12:28	Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa4dec0…
08-12 13:11:21	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb7c92b…
08-08 22:58:00	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xd19e20…
08-01 16:02:54	Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77e03a…
07-30 05:35:23	Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f6ee2…
07-28 17:22:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7d98ce…
07-28 17:21:13	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5dab6f…
07-28 17:20:17	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xde8be7…
07-28 17:19:23	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf35b67…
07-28 17:18:29	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x40b838…
07-24 01:49:33	Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x894c82…
07-21 15:56:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb56282…
07-12 07:44:11	Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3e634a…
07-05 02:45:41	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c8265…
07-02 05:41:59	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x478070…
07-02 03:43:11	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd12244…
07-02 03:42:16	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x43710b…
06-24 04:56:34	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ce468…
06-20 14:12:34	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeec64…
06-19 23:55:56	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aa853…
05-13 20:52:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6c0651…
05-13 15:59:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xae8a32…
05-13 13:36:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcbde6a…
05-13 13:30:31	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbdae25…
05-13 13:28:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 13?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x92b15a…
05-13 13:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x638f73…
05-13 13:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe8dba0…
05-13 09:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb36063…
05-13 08:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea8995…
05-13 01:14:12	Will Asha Coates-Hamlet win the Newark mayoral election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x62edbb…
05-12 14:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9d4da8…
05-12 14:29:09	Will John Walz win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb20cfe…
05-12 14:24:31	Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfc9a04…
05-12 13:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8559b3…
05-12 10:36:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc26534…
05-12 08:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1668e2…
05-12 08:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x12cdf7…
05-12 06:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x28122d…
05-12 05:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3229a9…
05-11 23:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x41228d…
05-11 22:44:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5cf8b…
05-11 21:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc431c5…
05-11 20:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd6d67d…
05-11 20:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x741bb5…
05-11 19:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd43e16…
05-11 18:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x868545…
05-11 17:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2599ed…
05-11 15:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef819a…
05-11 15:12:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x03654d…
05-11 13:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x758301…
05-11 13:14:25	Will Alexander Gaasserud be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x56b161…
05-11 08:34:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0701e8…
05-11 06:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xab5d29…
05-11 04:00:22	Will Asha Coates-Hamlet win the Newark mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bfb7e…
05-11 03:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb57005…
05-11 02:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x92b145…
05-11 02:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x53310b…
05-11 01:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb7049c…
05-11 01:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb60f7a…
05-11 00:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa70b49…
05-11 00:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x91c311…
05-10 23:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc68eaa…
05-10 21:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xb0878d…
05-10 19:59:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe0b159…
05-10 19:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x38d539…
05-10 19:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x542654…
05-10 19:30:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3ea832…
05-10 19:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 11?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x02688a…
05-10 16:34:13	Will John Walz win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4abff7…
05-10 15:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fc223…
05-10 14:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x12e962…
05-10 13:27:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9c5d2b…
05-10 12:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7e26f…
05-10 10:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7fcaf1…
05-10 10:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 10?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc22070…
05-10 10:34:16	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8307db…
05-10 10:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 10?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc18ed5…
05-10 10:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 10?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2989e4…
05-10 10:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 11?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xac72b2…
05-10 08:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x62f7d0…
05-10 00:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a6df1…
05-09 23:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x774e97…
05-09 22:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x55c954…
05-09 21:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x66e430…
05-09 21:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on May 10?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd281e8…
05-09 19:57:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d0262…