Coordinated-Steamroller — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.17K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$64.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-03 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

48% 41% -$3,195

Politics

28% 71% -$748

Crypto

24% 10% -$1,228

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-5	-$4	96¢	$-5	-$1	04-30 05:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	26	$5.0K	5,177	0	+5,177	No	+$208	02-26 07:39
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	25	$5.0K	0	4,974	-4,974	No	-$5	02-21 06:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$4.9K	10,939	10,939	+0	Yes	-$766	03-19 03:14
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	20	$4.1K	4,311	4,015	+295	No	+$1,217	03-14 08:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.9K	2,025	2,025	+0	Yes	+$51	03-09 08:03
bitcoin above 64k on february 11	1	$3.1K	0	3,082	-3,082	Yes	-$3	02-11 16:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	41	$3.1K	0	3,079	-3,079	No	-$3	02-19 08:43
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	1	$2.8K	0	2,794	-2,794	No	-$3	02-06 16:35
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	6	$2.4K	3,867	0	+3,867	Yes	-$2,396	03-10 02:08
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$2.1K	11,546	0	+11,546	No	-$2,078	03-20 09:54
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	1	$1.9K	0	1,900	-1,900	No	-$2	02-13 15:37
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	1	$1.8K	0	1,800	-1,800	Yes	-$2	02-09 17:00
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	1	$1.6K	0	1,600	-1,600	No	-$2	01-31 13:02
highest temperature in nyc on january 29 26 27f	1	$1.6K	0	1,599	-1,599	No	-$2	01-29 23:23
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	1	$1.6K	0	1,598	-1,598	No	-$2	02-03 07:12
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1	$1.5K	0	1,500	-1,500	No	-$2	02-06 16:44
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$1.5K	0	1,500	-1,500	No	-$2	02-10 04:27
ethereum above 2000 on march 1	6	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$82	02-28 12:14
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	5	$1.3K	1,571	0	+1,571	Yes	-$1,297	02-28 13:47
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	1	$1.3K	0	1,299	-1,299	Yes	-$1	01-23 16:55
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	1	$1.2K	0	1,200	-1,200	No	-$1	01-30 16:28
bitcoin above 82k on february 3	3	$1.2K	0	1,199	-1,199	No	-$1	02-03 15:03
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$1.0K	1,063	0	+1,063	No	+$33	03-06 08:57
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	1	$999	0	1,000	-1,000	No	-$1	01-21 17:00
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 260 279	1	$989	0	990	-990	No	-$1	02-10 04:07
will there be 5 7 inches of snow in dc this weekend	5	$852	0	853	-853	Yes	-$1	01-27 13:15
highest temperature in nyc on january 21 30 31f	1	$799	0	800	-800	No	-$1	01-21 19:25
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	1	$770	0	771	-771	Yes	-$1	03-06 16:38
bitcoin above 88k on january 23	1	$748	0	749	-749	Yes	-$1	01-23 16:36
bitcoin above 96k on january 21	1	$699	0	700	-700	No	-$1	01-20 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 08:05:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	235	92¢	$216	0x8a50cb…
06-21 13:24:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x367514…
05-27 10:47:19	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x4e00a6…
05-14 06:59:56	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x6f379b…
05-14 06:58:39	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x5a6605…
05-13 20:51:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xb8c47b…
05-13 05:10:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb26b23…
05-12 19:23:35	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x79f418…
05-12 18:50:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xf37089…
05-12 09:57:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x6e4c38…
05-12 07:44:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xfefbac…
05-12 07:43:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7db77b…
05-12 07:42:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x54f2c2…
05-12 07:41:29	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x6a64cc…
05-12 07:40:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xab1da7…
05-12 07:40:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb73654…
05-12 07:39:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3ce170…
05-12 07:38:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf185f7…
05-12 07:32:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x3b1e6a…
05-12 07:30:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x6bbc99…
05-12 07:28:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7be634…
05-12 07:19:47	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x03d8c6…
05-12 07:18:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x83c844…
05-12 07:18:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbc8b50…
05-12 07:18:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x63cdb8…
05-12 07:17:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x37ecba…
05-12 07:17:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c9305…
05-12 07:16:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdef44f…
05-12 07:15:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xa561ae…
05-12 07:15:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x75c0f1…
04-30 05:34:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xec5758…
04-17 01:55:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x301d68…
04-17 01:55:36	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa7d0b9…
04-17 01:53:44	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x647a9b…
04-17 01:53:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8184cf…
04-17 01:52:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5fc016…
04-17 01:50:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf22ec4…
03-20 09:54:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	8,998	18¢	$1,620	0xf2812c…
03-20 09:48:19	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3515ab…
03-20 09:42:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8af8f7…
03-20 09:40:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$11	0xde74ee…
03-20 09:40:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,473	18¢	$445	0xa0c668…
03-19 03:14:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	10,939	19¢	$2,078	0x77c66e…
03-14 10:52:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	10,939	26¢	$2,844	0x1c318c…
03-14 08:14:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x6007cf…
03-14 08:12:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	737	66¢	$487	0x87da35…
03-14 08:08:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdc3ae1…
03-14 08:08:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xac7df7…
03-14 08:08:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x59450e…
03-14 07:56:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	122	66¢	$81	0xd88785…
03-14 07:48:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xd8efd8…
03-14 07:48:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xebef74…
03-14 07:48:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0xdded0f…
03-14 07:46:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd22032…
03-14 07:45:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$17	0x52afee…
03-14 07:44:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xfd8cc6…
03-14 07:44:23	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x7daa8c…
03-14 07:41:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x6faeea…
03-14 07:38:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	1,638	66¢	$1,079	0xab55b7…
03-14 07:37:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x8e882b…
03-14 07:37:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	998	66¢	$659	0xbcc7c6…
03-14 07:37:01	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x82ac5e…
03-10 02:24:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	4,111	33¢	$1,365	0xe9afc6…
03-10 02:22:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$67	0x61cbe7…
03-10 02:08:49	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	867	62¢	$538	0x499d39…
03-10 02:06:03	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	800	61¢	$488	0xe66b89…
03-10 02:02:51	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	1,200	62¢	$744	0xdd1230…
03-10 02:01:45	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0xcf74a5…
03-10 01:59:35	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	494	63¢	$311	0x6f1fb2…
03-10 01:59:17	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	106	63¢	$67	0xcf143f…
03-09 08:03:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,025	98¢	$1,993	0x66a0da…
03-06 16:38:35	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	Yes	SELL	771	100¢	$770	0xb2b88c…
03-06 13:51:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xf7bcb2…
03-06 13:48:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	1,655	13¢	$215	0xabc4f1…
03-06 08:57:37	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	1,063	97¢	$1,030	0x87363f…
03-01 09:19:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	96¢	$1,942	0x8d99a1…
02-28 13:47:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	No	BUY	185	82¢	$152	0x0874f6…
02-28 12:14:43	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	224	94¢	$212	0x32a64a…
02-28 12:09:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x64ac7c…
02-28 12:07:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x49598c…
02-28 12:07:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	250	94¢	$236	0x1c711a…
02-28 12:07:29	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	800	94¢	$756	0x45567d…
02-28 12:06:59	ethereum above 2000 on march 1	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x539864…
02-28 11:27:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	No	BUY	650	83¢	$537	0x488d50…
02-28 11:25:39	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	No	BUY	700	83¢	$581	0x812c19…
02-28 11:24:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xda9760…
02-28 11:22:43	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	No	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x5ec344…
02-26 07:39:58	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	190	96¢	$183	0x053a22…
02-26 07:38:54	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x09871f…
02-26 07:38:52	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0x47ddfa…
02-26 07:38:36	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x836c12…
02-26 07:37:10	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x9e439e…
02-26 07:36:52	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0xcbc30a…
02-26 07:36:28	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xf357ca…
02-26 07:36:28	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x7def6f…
02-26 07:36:26	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x174644…
02-26 07:33:48	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xf3d37e…
02-26 07:33:40	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	59	96¢	$56	0x8bf2bf…
02-26 07:32:30	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0x7b24bf…
02-26 07:32:10	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0xd7a196…