Pale-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$301

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-10 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

57% 33% $-0

Crypto

38% 0% $-2

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	5	$26	222	10	+212	open	—	04-27 18:06
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	8	$22	579	0	+579	open	—	04-27 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	5	$17	57	16	+41	open	—	04-29 15:55
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	5	$15	313	0	+313	open	—	04-27 17:37
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	2	$13	57	57	+0	Yes	+$3	04-27 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 07:32
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	5	$12	201	201	+0	open	—	04-28 04:52
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	4	$10	108	8	+100	open	—	04-28 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	2	$8	7	6	+0	open	—	04-28 06:09
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	1	$6	67	0	+67	open	—	04-26 18:32
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	4	$5	976	0	+976	open	—	04-26 15:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	05-13 22:15
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	4	$5	745	0	+745	open	—	04-26 15:32
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	3	$5	553	0	+553	open	—	04-27 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 08:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	3	$5	141	61	+80	open	—	05-14 04:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$4	50	50	+0	open	—	05-17 09:34
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	3	$4	231	111	+120	open	—	05-14 04:40
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$4	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 04:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	3	$4	71	21	+50	open	—	05-14 04:39
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?	4	$4	1,325	0	+1,325	open	—	04-26 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 07:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$4	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 05:19
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	3	$4	479	268	+212	Yes	$-1	05-12 05:37
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$3	563	0	+563	open	—	05-12 06:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	1,565	0	+1,565	open	—	04-28 09:16
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 17:44:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x203e97…
05-17 09:34:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xd78e97…
05-16 17:05:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x3550b8…
05-14 05:19:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x7bcff0…
05-14 04:40:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x5e1269…
05-14 04:39:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x1a284e…
05-14 04:39:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x1c051e…
05-14 04:38:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x983bff…
05-14 04:18:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xa0da49…
05-14 04:06:30	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xe00abf…
05-13 22:15:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x861bf4…
05-13 11:32:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xaabb26…
05-12 06:12:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xfacf9c…
05-12 06:02:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	563	1¢	$3	0xb1e2e8…
05-12 05:37:48	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	212	1¢	$1	0x296d11…
05-12 05:37:09	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x59470e…
05-12 04:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x874070…
05-12 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf8ecc3…
05-12 04:18:47	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x52c83d…
05-11 21:17:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$2	0xc7303c…
05-11 21:07:03	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7bb175…
05-07 08:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xb5a27e…
05-07 08:15:26	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x1107a2…
05-07 08:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xd279e1…
05-07 08:14:31	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xa3ca13…
05-07 08:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	258	1¢	$2	0x1cfe42…
05-07 08:13:28	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x371fdf…
05-02 04:48:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	SELL	268	0¢	$1	0xa6de13…
04-29 16:12:34	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	No	BUY	268	0¢	$1	0x512daa…
04-29 16:07:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8145b2…
04-29 15:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2bf42f…
04-29 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xade7ce…
04-29 15:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xc9dbf3…
04-29 07:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x157918…
04-29 07:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x17ff03…
04-28 09:16:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,565	0¢	$3	0x3bfd0a…
04-28 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xad6183…
04-28 08:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb0317f…
04-28 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x702523…
04-28 06:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x3461a2…
04-28 06:11:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5a612f…
04-28 06:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa84a3f…
04-28 06:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xc8bd22…
04-28 05:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x7daf72…
04-28 05:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x7185ac…
04-28 04:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfc7b6a…
04-28 04:52:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x2514e2…
04-28 04:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb815d2…
04-28 04:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x35b584…
04-28 04:32:34	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0xd41988…
04-27 18:08:42	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xea9a5e…
04-27 18:06:30	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x0040e5…
04-27 18:05:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xafe132…
04-27 17:42:42	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x402e2c…
04-27 17:38:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x3003ca…
04-27 17:37:12	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$2	0x58f227…
04-27 17:33:44	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	57	14¢	$8	0xca3335…
04-27 08:46:40	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xdf439b…
04-27 08:33:08	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	No	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x196566…
04-27 08:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf6a6fb…
04-27 08:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x88356e…
04-27 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe08077…
04-27 08:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1bdb50…
04-27 08:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb4024b…
04-27 08:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdce708…
04-27 08:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x76940d…
04-27 08:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf85df2…
04-27 08:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf9213b…
04-27 07:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0da52d…
04-27 07:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6613b3…
04-27 07:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0f668b…
04-27 07:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xac9835…
04-27 07:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9d27bf…
04-27 07:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5c7c12…
04-27 07:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf40981…
04-27 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xce7867…
04-27 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6d5478…
04-27 07:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xa08c53…
04-27 07:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3487e4…
04-27 07:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x7676b6…
04-27 07:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x10ca86…
04-27 07:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16a47f…
04-27 07:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb93c88…
04-27 07:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa5f0f6…
04-27 07:21:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x847a9f…
04-27 07:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x1753b8…
04-27 07:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xed44ca…
04-27 07:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x69dbcf…
04-27 07:01:44	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	No	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x530482…
04-27 07:00:50	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xca73cd…
04-27 07:00:18	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x72e2c8…
04-27 06:59:30	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x012a14…
04-27 06:59:12	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0xc6e4f5…
04-27 06:56:48	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xad764b…
04-27 06:42:16	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xac97a4…
04-27 06:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5965e1…
04-26 18:34:24	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0xdca146…
04-26 18:32:54	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	No	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x78675d…
04-26 18:10:26	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5adb3c…
04-26 18:09:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$6	0x2dd1de…