Pale-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$39

$39 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-16 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-17

Politics

23% 0% $-2

Crypto

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	-100	$-5	4¢	$-4	+$0	05-16 17:25
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	+200	$5	1¢	$2	$-3	05-16 17:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	+133	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	05-14 04:16
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	+120	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	05-14 04:40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	-61	$-2	1¢	$-0	+$1	05-11 21:17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	05-07 08:13
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	-21	$-1	1¢	$-0	+$1	05-12 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:31:46	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x839b06…
05-16 17:25:00	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x896ccd…
05-14 04:40:31	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x5e1269…
05-14 04:16:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x91f86f…
05-14 03:54:17	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x13252d…
05-12 17:06:18	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x1184e8…
05-12 15:38:13	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaecc9d…
05-12 05:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x6fdced…
05-12 04:18:47	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x52c83d…
05-11 21:17:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$2	0xc7303c…
05-11 21:07:59	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3ca3a4…
05-11 21:07:03	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0x7bb175…
05-10 14:36:30	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x79c356…
05-10 14:35:51	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4fdeeb…
05-10 14:32:34	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0xc2a3f8…
05-10 14:30:57	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x7e34ff…
05-10 14:27:29	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	Yes	BUY	574	0¢	$1	0xa81793…
05-10 14:16:57	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x965aad…
05-07 12:10:59	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x5a4ba5…
05-07 12:01:54	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x924274…
05-07 08:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xd279e1…
05-07 08:13:28	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x371fdf…
05-07 07:58:03	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x88ae63…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	12	$22.6K	249	05-17 04:42
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e	12	$699	37	05-16 04:15
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	11	$8.13K	179	05-16 23:56
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad	11	$1.44K	44	05-16 18:17
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905	10	$1.77K	60	05-16 17:26
Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe	10	$879	17	05-12 02:32
Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8	9	$2.61K	55	05-11 21:31
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	9	$1.79K	52	05-12 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	2	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 17:31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$5	0	100	-100	open	—	05-16 17:25
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	3	$4	231	111	+120	open	—	05-14 04:40
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	1	$3	28	0	+28	No	$-3	05-10 14:16
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	1	$3	231	0	+231	No	$-3	05-10 14:32
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	2	$3	44	0	+44	No	$-3	05-07 12:10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	1	$2	133	0	+133	open	—	05-14 04:16
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?	1	$2	59	0	+59	No	$-2	05-10 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	1	$2	0	61	-61	open	—	05-11 21:17
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$1	20	0	+20	Yes	$-1	05-11 21:07
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 13?	1	$1	113	0	+113	No	$-1	05-12 17:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$1	0	21	-21	open	—	05-12 04:18
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	$-1	05-12 15:38
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?	1	$1	85	0	+85	No	$-1	05-10 14:36
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	1	$1	574	0	+574	No	$-1	05-10 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-07 08:13
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?	1	$1	31	0	+31	No	$-1	05-10 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$1	19	0	+19	No	$-1	05-12 05:00
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	$-1	05-07 07:58