Triangular-Signup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-16 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 33% +$0

Other

19% 100% +$77

Politics

17% — —

Tech

8% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	3	$8	19	13	+6	open	—	05-16 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$6	10	3	+7	open	—	05-01 22:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 17:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$3	500	0	+500	open	—	04-26 15:38
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-26 21:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-26 15:45
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 15:55
Will Trump dance today?	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 18:54
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	1	$1	123	0	+123	open	—	04-26 21:27
Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1	78	0	+78	Yes	+$77	04-26 16:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	04-26 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	1	$1	52	0	+52	open	—	04-26 15:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	04-26 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-05 00:25
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$1	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 16:41
Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	04-26 19:00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	74	0	+74	open	—	04-26 15:58
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	$-1	05-05 00:37
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 16:52
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$1	18	0	+18	open	—	04-26 15:52
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	1	$1	19	0	+19	Yes	$-1	05-05 00:13
US bank failure by May 31?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 00:11
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	1	$1	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-26 18:49
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 21:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 17:03
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	35	0	+35	open	—	04-26 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 14:25:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x16b111…
05-16 14:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x1bb361…
05-15 20:31:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf2eedf…
05-05 23:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad63c7…
05-05 00:37:50	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc3aa18…
05-05 00:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4368f6…
05-05 00:13:38	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x26638c…
05-05 00:11:00	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc06caf…
05-01 22:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xc42989…
05-01 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8d89c3…
05-01 22:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x13d1bb…
05-01 17:03:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe27ef5…
05-01 17:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa9fd55…
05-01 08:42:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1acb2a…
04-27 01:00:16	Huzhou: Wushuang Zheng vs Yexin Ma	Wushuang Zheng	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9abc1a…
04-26 21:27:32	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x0b3e45…
04-26 21:26:50	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe87bce…
04-26 21:26:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x7a2d66…
04-26 19:00:26	Will "Stranger Things: Tales From '85" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xcc4084…
04-26 18:58:58	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xfe514b…
04-26 18:54:26	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2144d5…
04-26 18:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x34666f…
04-26 17:53:52	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb9f7a6…
04-26 16:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3140fd…
04-26 16:46:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x8861c9…
04-26 16:41:40	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0e8d81…
04-26 15:58:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0xcda284…
04-26 15:55:28	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3ba9c7…
04-26 15:52:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2f5616…
04-26 15:52:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xcf31e8…
04-26 15:50:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x5f62d0…
04-26 15:49:20	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5c6074…
04-26 15:45:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x185937…
04-26 15:44:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x4f2e80…
04-26 15:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xdb6dcb…
04-26 15:39:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf74a2e…
04-26 15:38:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x675f4e…