Sophisticated-Tugboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$9.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-26 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$9

Politics

19% 100% +$31

Crypto

9% 100% +$5

Sports

5% 50% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$1.1K	427	857	-430	open	—	06-28 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	27	$979	588	625	-36	open	—	07-26 21:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$867	494	494	+0	open	—	05-27 20:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$586	350	350	+0	open	—	02-01 18:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$485	247	297	-50	open	—	07-11 16:53
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$392	200	200	+0	Yes	+$7	05-14 04:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	3	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$349	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 23:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$289	700	0	+700	open	—	02-28 06:59
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	7	$270	146	146	+0	open	—	04-28 09:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$220	122	122	+0	open	—	05-10 13:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$130	90	90	+0	open	—	02-18 16:03
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	6	$99	52	62	-10	open	—	03-18 22:20
will china join the board of peace	6	$94	800	800	+0	open	—	01-26 00:02
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	3	$88	45	45	+0	Yes	+$2	05-14 04:48
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$85	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 13:28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$83	90	90	-0	open	—	06-01 16:01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$78	100	100	+0	open	—	02-04 05:47
will united states win the mens ice hockey silver medal at the 2026 winter olympics	4	$70	199	0	+199	open	—	02-14 05:34
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$69	52	52	+0	open	—	02-13 02:40
will avi lewis win the canadian ndp leadership election	1	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	02-06 02:20
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	4	$64	36	36	+0	open	—	06-22 18:34
will elon musk attend the 2026 state of the union address	5	$63	200	0	+200	open	—	02-24 06:01
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	02-16 04:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 19:14
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$61	40	70	-30	open	—	06-15 02:32
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$54	30	30	+0	open	—	07-01 15:05
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$54	60	40	+20	open	—	05-13 17:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	04-01 15:08
Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	2	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 21:29:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	625	99¢	$621	0x1ef7ea…
07-20 13:43:36	will marco rubio be time person of the year 2026	Yes	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xcdce52…
07-20 13:43:36	will marco rubio be time person of the year 2026	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x76e88e…
07-18 12:36:40	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x3a940d…
07-16 02:24:37	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x5d739f…
07-13 17:24:44	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5dfe50…
07-11 16:53:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	297	99¢	$295	0xc3ba5c…
07-02 00:57:20	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb7d47f…
07-01 15:27:25	will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x554776…
07-01 15:05:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xcb7d4b…
07-01 15:01:28	will zohran mamdani be time person of the year 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x89a36c…
07-01 14:57:10	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xee5d49…
07-01 11:56:47	will marco rubio be time person of the year 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x3f0814…
07-01 06:03:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb2a6d6…
07-01 01:43:22	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x222558…
07-01 01:34:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x26816d…
07-01 01:19:49	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7faa0f…
07-01 01:11:31	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe914a0…
06-30 21:46:04	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by july 31 2026 20260626210612720	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2119ed…
06-30 21:39:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x8f0323…
06-30 20:39:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbf11c1…
06-30 17:04:44	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa21abb…
06-30 10:27:40	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x98718b…
06-30 01:30:20	Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xcb67b4…
06-29 06:19:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x6700b4…
06-28 06:19:11	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x436331…
06-28 05:25:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	642	99¢	$633	0x379a57…
06-28 05:22:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb54190…
06-28 05:07:59	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeefaef…
06-28 05:05:11	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x49d348…
06-28 05:04:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xb827c1…
06-28 05:04:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x14c423…
06-26 17:13:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x5fe8a8…
06-24 09:55:08	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb207ee…
06-24 05:58:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xcf586b…
06-24 05:01:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x0a95fb…
06-24 04:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x008248…
06-23 23:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	214	97¢	$209	0x0c9dc6…
06-23 23:10:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x96f62d…
06-23 23:10:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa4c6fa…
06-22 18:34:05	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xd31855…
06-22 17:51:22	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xabd8ba…
06-22 17:40:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb0e866…
06-22 17:40:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8f7131…
06-22 05:48:52	starmer out by june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x9c5363…
06-22 05:37:25	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x36aab0…
06-22 05:33:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6c7cbc…
06-20 19:40:56	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf3abe2…
06-19 22:56:52	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x7dc554…
06-18 01:37:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8347…
06-17 22:25:53	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xc03098…
06-17 16:55:59	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x5b4cb3…
06-17 16:54:59	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x0ae0c5…
06-17 16:00:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfe0955…
06-17 15:52:04	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6a2a7d…
06-17 15:45:59	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xa68b47…
06-17 15:27:40	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x683eb9…
06-17 15:23:56	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xda9bee…
06-17 15:22:10	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0bc62a…
06-17 01:29:37	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0xeed5e7…
06-17 01:27:53	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xe8b1d2…
06-17 01:26:32	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x6a3131…
06-17 01:16:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x62db81…
06-16 19:58:22	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xdea6b4…
06-16 19:49:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x713793…
06-15 16:39:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5fa1b4…
06-15 16:14:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x6da37b…
06-15 16:13:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2ebe9f…
06-15 05:58:04	will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xd17f6e…
06-15 03:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x73439f…
06-15 02:50:22	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb37c4f…
06-15 02:37:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5fdfe9…
06-15 02:32:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0x6564d5…
06-15 02:08:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x358190…
06-15 01:35:39	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x25f251…
06-15 01:13:57	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Bo Nickal	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6a9e69…
06-15 01:12:34	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xbe1766…
06-15 00:43:07	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xd39659…
06-12 18:06:57	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xa3829c…
06-12 18:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6cebe6…
06-12 15:57:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x500ef1…
06-12 15:53:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x58cd61…
06-12 15:46:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x5bc656…
06-12 02:25:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x8a7ba9…
06-12 02:15:30	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0x879a1b…
06-11 20:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xdd33cc…
06-10 07:01:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0c2898…
06-10 07:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x6dff1d…
06-10 06:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x50397f…
06-10 06:57:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe2033f…
06-10 06:57:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x844e47…
06-10 06:57:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x96a961…
06-10 06:57:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe5c580…
06-10 06:19:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa2b69e…
06-10 05:55:37	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd7782b…
06-10 05:51:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3802cc…
06-10 05:46:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x599a85…
06-10 05:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x0ad3f8…
06-10 05:17:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xbea24f…
06-10 05:16:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xafca97…