Realized P&L
+$46
Unrealized P&L
+$175
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
6
Trades
457
lifetime
Volume
$8.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$940
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-30 21:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
63% 100% +$9
Politics
22% 100% +$31
Crypto
10% 100% +$5
Sports
5% 50% +$1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -430 $-549 99¢ $-427 +$122 06-28 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +588 $358 70¢ $409 +$51 06-28 05:04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -60 $-33 70¢ $-42 $-9 06-12 02:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -30 $-24 86¢ $-26 $-1 06-12 15:46
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +20 $15 90¢ $18 +$3 06-08 22:05
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -50 $-21 22¢ $-11 +$10 06-08 20:30
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +10 $8 76¢ $8 $-0 06-30 01:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +10 $6 $0 $-6 06-28 05:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -80 $-8 $-0 +$8 06-07 17:24
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +0 $2 76¢ $0 $-2 06-28 05:05