Realized P&L
-$52
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
1,001
Trades
1,539
lifetime
Volume
$2.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$56
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 10-29 10:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 142 days
Categories
Other
62% 53% +$17
Crypto
30% 48% -$67
Politics
4% 43% +$10
Sports
3% 48% -$10
Tech
1% 40% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +133 $20 16¢ $22 +$2 10-09 20:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +472 $20 4¢ $19 -$1 10-09 20:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +62 $5 8¢ $5 $0 10-09 20:09
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +13 $3 26¢ $3 +$0 10-20 21:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-09 20:12
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +4 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 10-15 20:48
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 08-26 21:34
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +36 $1 2¢ $1 $0 06-21 09:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-09 20:13