Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
440
Trades
1,339
lifetime
Volume
$2.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$10
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 01:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 93% -$62
Politics
14% 53% +$0
Other
8% 47% -$13
Sports
2% 80% +$2
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 10-11 23:20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +26 $4 12¢ $3 -$1 10-20 19:25
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-13 00:42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-19 02:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 -$1 09-05 14:03
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 07-06 00:42
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 10-27 01:57
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Yes +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-12 21:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 08-27 07:46