Male-Middleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

318

Trades

591

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 06-11 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 95% +$23

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+23	$11	46¢	$11	$-0	06-07 17:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	29¢	$1	$-0	06-02 11:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+13	$2	6¢	$1	$-2	06-01 16:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1	$0	74¢	$0	$-0	05-31 16:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	+0	$0	0¢	$0	$-0	06-07 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771289100	10	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	02-17 00:59
btc updown 5m 1771288200	10	$98	105	0	+105	open	—	02-17 00:35
iran closes its airspace by june 8	41	$32	54	27	+28	open	—	06-08 04:18
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$26	70	0	+70	open	—	02-07 18:15
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	15	$21	92	5	+88	open	—	05-15 18:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$16	21	19	+2	open	—	06-01 16:28
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	21	$14	15	14	+1	open	—	06-08 11:20
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	10	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-15 16:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	23	$12	22	15	+7	open	—	05-15 23:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	9	$11	23	0	+23	open	—	06-07 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-13 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$7	89	0	+89	Down	$-7	05-13 01:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	5	$7	16	5	+11	open	—	05-29 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-13 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-09 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-08 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 01:00:46	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc13d2e…
06-08 20:49:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5006b…
06-08 20:42:09	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9605f4…
06-08 19:34:21	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x066409…
06-08 11:20:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xdd3e28…
06-08 11:19:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4a2b78…
06-08 04:26:37	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x193752…
06-08 04:19:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x0320da…
06-08 04:18:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x846886…
06-08 04:02:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x267bae…
06-08 03:03:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x47addc…
06-08 03:00:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x79f541…
06-08 02:59:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xc7f252…
06-08 02:51:49	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xd0800d…
06-08 02:46:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x1b0234…
06-08 01:13:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x535308…
06-08 01:06:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb8c1b0…
06-07 23:03:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x741c2c…
06-07 22:57:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x988389…
06-07 22:55:55	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc1806b…
06-07 21:19:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd95380…
06-07 21:14:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xea4915…
06-07 21:14:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x789472…
06-07 21:14:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xa2dd90…
06-07 21:14:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x9d6d55…
06-07 20:54:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x6ac0e4…
06-07 20:50:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xef8cd1…
06-07 20:50:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x8f7485…
06-07 20:47:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe6e624…
06-07 20:47:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x3cd315…
06-07 20:47:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd5e641…
06-07 20:44:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x10d7c1…
06-07 20:44:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xac0a16…
06-07 20:44:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xe88a6f…
06-07 20:44:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xc654fd…
06-07 20:44:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x099a43…
06-07 20:43:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9d4746…
06-07 20:43:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x809e75…
06-07 20:34:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x00fb62…
06-07 20:33:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x1c002d…
06-07 20:33:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x03c9ee…
06-07 20:32:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xf2b006…
06-07 20:32:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x26b1a8…
06-07 20:29:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x58d12a…
06-07 20:29:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc07d9a…
06-07 20:24:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x3797a6…
06-07 20:20:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x11b665…
06-07 20:20:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x2870e1…
06-07 20:14:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x008a21…
06-07 20:12:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x589756…
06-07 20:11:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x723467…
06-07 20:09:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb99229…
06-07 20:07:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xa262bb…
06-07 20:07:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x525e6d…
06-07 20:03:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xb2d0a7…
06-07 20:03:07	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x91a393…
06-07 20:01:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x833f8b…
06-07 19:58:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xd47379…
06-07 19:58:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x9c07b5…
06-07 19:55:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x7fd00f…
06-07 19:55:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x172881…
06-07 19:51:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xb5eb73…
06-07 19:51:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x6e3dea…
06-07 19:47:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8d7349…
06-07 18:49:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb7d379…
06-07 18:49:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x317868…
06-07 18:49:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b3dc3…
06-07 18:49:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x15992c…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xff606c…
06-07 18:45:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x21413a…
06-07 18:45:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x67c6f0…
06-07 18:44:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1b5c5e…
06-07 18:44:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcaacd3…
06-07 18:37:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xc92ba9…
06-07 18:32:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x849a72…
06-07 17:32:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x34f2e1…
06-07 15:19:28	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeb1255…
06-07 15:13:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x21aa06…
06-07 15:05:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe13003…
06-07 15:05:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x348111…
06-07 14:18:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x06d32b…
06-07 12:06:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf8792c…
06-07 11:49:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x0d7851…
06-07 11:48:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x462bd5…
06-07 11:48:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xaffa7f…
06-07 04:17:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2dd9ba…
06-07 03:55:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x11edfb…
06-07 03:50:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x349894…
06-07 03:38:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa32bdc…
06-05 14:51:22	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x139a00…
06-05 14:51:16	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x040142…
06-04 00:09:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x1f66b7…
06-03 23:31:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x5ec3c6…
06-03 23:30:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x888c2d…
06-03 14:17:08	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x4cee4f…
06-02 11:58:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x234841…
06-02 11:38:38	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x77b209…
06-02 07:51:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xd16836…
06-02 07:30:20	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x03312a…
06-02 03:45:19	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xee380d…