Inferior-Sanctuary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$344

Unrealized P&L

-$198

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

108

Trades

1,278

lifetime

Volume

$5.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$57

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-28 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

72% 29% -$230

Crypto

23% 18% -$112

Politics

6% 45% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+422	$121	4¢	$17	-$104	06-13 20:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-86	-$7	16¢	$-14	-$7	06-15 18:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+267	$107	4¢	$11	-$96	06-18 14:16
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	+124	$6	4¢	$5	-$1	06-18 20:31
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	-104	-$10	4¢	$-4	+$6	06-13 17:48
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$22	4¢	$2	-$20	06-13 15:12
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	-37	-$18	6¢	$-2	+$16	05-03 22:26
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-500	-$2	0¢	$-1	+$2	06-13 17:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-33	-$5	2¢	$-1	+$4	05-09 11:18
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	-5	-$2	12¢	$-1	+$2	06-04 21:31
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-200	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-14 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	37	$538	310	310	+0	No	+$4	02-28 18:27
lol fox1 dk 2026 02 28	11	$508	400	400	+0	BNK FEARX	+$3	02-28 09:30
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in february 694 291 362 384	79	$467	14,564	12,555	+2,009	No	-$22	03-11 12:18
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 65 89	19	$349	247	288	-41	No	-$7	02-28 15:18
will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	16	$192	1,012	671	+341	No	-$21	03-11 08:08
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in february 898 464 326 877	109	$179	5,101	4,012	+1,089	No	+$33	03-11 12:21
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	14	$157	781	780	+0	Yes	-$2	03-22 17:48
will wintermute be accused of insider trading	91	$153	4,208	3,708	+500	No	+$55	02-25 08:51
will annual inflation increase by 2pt0 in march	83	$134	3,966	2,840	+1,126	No	-$12	03-19 21:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$121	422	0	+422	open	—	06-13 20:52
will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	5	$114	620	620	+0	No	-$6	06-13 17:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$107	267	0	+267	open	—	06-18 14:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 28 and 32 million views on day 2	10	$105	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 21:59
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	9	$93	223	223	+0	No	+$1	02-28 14:45
will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in march	129	$86	6,130	644	+5,486	No	-$71	03-19 16:17
will the nyse trading floor be closed on monday	3	$85	200	200	+0	No	-$1	02-22 23:17
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in march	65	$82	4,139	1,138	+3,001	No	-$46	03-11 23:09
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	6	$80	99	99	+0	$80k	+$10	03-09 16:08
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	5	$79	670	670	+0	No	-$11	06-13 17:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$66	483	483	+0	No	-$28	03-18 19:01
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	5	$66	260	260	+0	No	-$12	02-28 18:18
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$61	100	75	+25	Yes	+$59	02-26 13:44
will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	5	$61	120	9	+111	Yes	+$58	03-11 08:20
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in march	66	$51	2,862	0	+2,862	No	-$51	03-12 01:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$50	66	65	+1	No	-$4	04-07 10:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$47	51	49	+2	Yes	+$23	04-08 00:31
will khamenei tweet again by march 1	8	$47	112	112	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 18:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$46	48	48	+0	Yes	+$6	04-02 01:26
will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	2	$38	51	51	+0	No	-$2	06-11 20:05
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in february 157	14	$37	390	280	+110	No	-$3	02-28 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 11:47:53	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x2d7e93…
06-28 11:28:52	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	1,453	0¢	$7	0x0670a4…
06-22 00:02:23	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x073129…
06-21 22:44:26	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9caeb2…
06-21 19:47:56	will hyperliquid dip to 52 in june	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x3bbc27…
06-19 10:14:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x140b1b…
06-18 21:09:02	will hyperliquid dip to 52 in june	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x2a95a9…
06-18 21:06:17	will hyperliquid dip to 52 in june	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x47b4d5…
06-18 20:31:44	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x5faff0…
06-18 16:15:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x377382…
06-18 14:16:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xaf79ae…
06-18 12:05:26	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0xc561b2…
06-18 12:05:14	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	213	3¢	$6	0xa8c870…
06-18 11:16:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 15 21 2026	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0f48ce…
06-17 22:04:02	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0801cb…
06-16 19:18:47	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xd7ee07…
06-16 19:16:20	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	1,715	1¢	$20	0x419447…
06-16 02:04:00	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xfd6315…
06-15 18:36:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	11¢	$12	0xc06312…
06-15 17:45:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xa7feaf…
06-14 16:58:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x2e0d90…
06-14 16:58:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x6328ef…
06-14 16:58:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x328bac…
06-14 16:58:18	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$1	0x2ae7c5…
06-14 16:58:07	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$2	0x93b09b…
06-14 16:57:57	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	0¢	$1	0x77c5a8…
06-13 20:56:19	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x0faf58…
06-13 20:52:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xf0cb70…
06-13 17:51:18	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x327474…
06-13 17:50:48	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x351fd3…
06-13 17:50:07	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xa2c1b3…
06-13 17:49:58	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x37c888…
06-13 17:49:49	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xddc4fe…
06-13 17:49:39	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xa1857b…
06-13 17:49:30	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x98eaf0…
06-13 17:48:42	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	SELL	104	9¢	$10	0xee8b04…
06-13 17:29:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$2	0x2753f1…
06-13 17:29:18	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0xd024cc…
06-13 17:29:06	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	184	4¢	$7	0xefbb4c…
06-13 17:28:57	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	30¢	$14	0xa93bc3…
06-13 15:12:21	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x17aa4d…
06-11 20:12:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x775633…
06-11 20:11:03	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	201	3¢	$6	0x82f8c6…
06-11 20:10:19	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	184	6¢	$12	0xc1220e…
06-11 20:05:07	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	51	35¢	$18	0x2cb162…
06-10 19:03:27	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x244c0c…
06-10 19:02:58	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x403168…
06-10 19:02:22	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x937b95…
06-10 08:05:37	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x250947…
06-09 17:50:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x29b736…
06-07 19:19:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	28¢	$26	0x1a9618…
06-07 19:19:33	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	122	13¢	$15	0xea189e…
06-07 19:19:21	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	134	8¢	$11	0x1e0c9c…
06-07 19:18:45	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xd564e6…
06-06 14:05:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0xaefa14…
06-05 17:54:01	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	134	10¢	$13	0xc8ae68…
06-05 17:53:37	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	130	15¢	$20	0xf31c44…
06-05 13:49:00	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xa1dac2…
06-05 13:48:33	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	670	7¢	$45	0x563ec4…
06-05 13:47:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	620	10¢	$60	0x77009b…
06-04 21:32:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x4c8171…
06-04 21:31:51	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x1db2a2…
06-04 21:31:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x1c225d…
06-01 09:20:06	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe7b22e…
05-17 11:02:30	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xbe7ca9…
05-13 21:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xb831fa…
05-09 11:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x03502e…
05-09 11:18:16	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x797e6f…
05-06 17:42:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x70d057…
05-03 22:26:10	Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	49¢	$18	0x9e307b…
04-28 13:08:34	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xc1ed0b…
04-28 13:08:24	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x6076fb…
04-28 13:08:14	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x4a1e84…
04-28 13:08:06	Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xf2eecc…
04-28 13:07:58	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xa56223…
04-20 17:54:24	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?	No	SELL	59	3¢	$2	0xa41031…
04-17 21:54:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x55b31a…
04-08 15:03:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x94ac3a…
04-08 11:50:57	Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?	No	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0x1fd919…
04-08 00:32:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xda6f1f…
04-08 00:31:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xe8c2a9…
04-08 00:24:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	258	2¢	$4	0x2c60eb…
04-07 23:07:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x4cffd3…
04-07 23:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x20899b…
04-07 22:55:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0xda906d…
04-07 11:13:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x725ad8…
04-07 10:08:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	28¢	$4	0x1f82c4…
04-07 10:08:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x9e92a4…
04-05 12:32:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0xc99c09…
04-05 12:32:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0xa27231…
04-05 12:32:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x249dcb…
04-03 00:31:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xcb609a…
04-03 00:31:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6846b6…
04-02 01:26:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x1cc519…
04-01 14:44:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2a9179…
04-01 14:32:29	will bitcoin reach 74k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xa04623…
03-31 07:16:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x80a083…
03-31 07:08:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe7b09d…
03-31 03:40:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x224185…
03-31 01:33:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x43a668…