Sturdy-Lighting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,303

lifetime

Volume

$505.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-03 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

63% 67% +$62

Other

19% — —

Sports

16% 100% +$42

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	49	$29.0K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	07-25 22:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	121	$27.3K	20,211	20,263	-52	open	—	06-19 21:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$19.4K	9,949	9,949	+0	open	—	03-01 05:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	73	$16.1K	31,839	8,280	+23,559	open	—	04-21 11:29
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	35	$14.7K	17,608	7,608	+10,000	open	—	08-01 17:56
will i like it be played at the super bowl halftime show	129	$13.6K	11,919	11,896	+23	open	—	02-09 01:33
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	14	$13.4K	25,000	5,000	+20,000	open	—	07-31 23:02
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	16	$11.4K	13,155	13,155	+0	open	—	08-02 04:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	61	$11.3K	10,893	12,137	-1,244	open	—	05-29 21:00
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	56	$10.5K	8,598	8,598	+0	open	—	02-09 02:21
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	11	$10.4K	5,385	5,385	+0	open	—	01-18 23:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	29	$10.2K	11,148	11,148	+0	open	—	04-22 02:26
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	28	$9.8K	6,107	6,107	+0	open	—	07-31 18:40
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	4	$9.3K	5,458	4,328	+1,130	open	—	01-19 04:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	27	$8.7K	10,552	9,552	+1,000	open	—	04-07 23:16
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	27	$8.4K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	07-31 20:32
Chirayu Rana sued?	5	$8.3K	4,809	4,809	+0	open	—	05-20 02:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	13	$8.2K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	07-25 21:51
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	18	$7.9K	4,994	4,994	+0	open	—	06-18 20:30
nba mil atl 2026 01 19	2	$7.8K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	01-19 20:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	15	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-28 19:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	24	$7.4K	14,532	14,532	+0	open	—	05-30 21:03
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$6.4K	4,930	4,930	+0	open	—	03-05 17:48
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	17	$6.2K	3,477	3,477	+0	open	—	01-30 05:03
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes 281	12	$6.2K	4,245	1,986	+2,259	open	—	01-25 02:22
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	5	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-22 20:04
will trump say smart or high iq during the black history month reception	5	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	02-18 21:52
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	10	$5.3K	2,826	2,826	+0	open	—	04-30 03:12
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	36	$5.1K	5,007	5,007	+0	open	—	04-21 21:16
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	5	$4.4K	2,298	2,298	+0	open	—	02-25 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 02:59:51	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	885	68¢	$600	0xe337af…
08-03 02:55:45	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by august 31 20260720181729409	Yes	BUY	579	52¢	$300	0xfcebda…
08-02 04:27:45	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf9ba0f…
08-02 04:27:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	SELL	6,415	0¢	$7	0xc89448…
08-02 03:05:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x5e4e3d…
08-02 03:05:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xfdaf46…
08-02 03:04:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	53¢	$530	0xcf741b…
08-02 01:54:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4b939b…
08-02 01:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	185	86¢	$159	0xbd85bf…
08-02 00:40:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xd35ce3…
08-02 00:40:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x014c5f…
08-02 00:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd72637…
08-02 00:40:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc9694e…
08-02 00:40:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8795c9…
08-02 00:40:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x162653…
08-02 00:40:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x4cb8dc…
08-02 00:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xbed37c…
08-02 00:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0x6c9240…
08-02 00:40:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x638b77…
08-02 00:40:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3b8eb3…
08-02 00:39:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x3f7344…
08-02 00:39:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa4a435…
08-02 00:38:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x17fee6…
08-02 00:36:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdedfa6…
08-02 00:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x6346c1…
08-02 00:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x3eabdd…
08-02 00:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2581b6…
08-02 00:36:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x4c80d6…
08-02 00:19:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	233	90¢	$210	0xdf55b9…
08-01 23:52:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xf55b1c…
08-01 23:34:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xcde61c…
08-01 23:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x5afcb1…
08-01 23:33:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x68c37b…
08-01 23:33:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xedcb87…
08-01 23:33:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf1436b…
08-01 23:33:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xd50da4…
08-01 23:33:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0x146aa5…
08-01 23:33:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xf4ba20…
08-01 23:32:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x52c1dc…
08-01 18:47:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	3,616	28¢	$1,000	0xea2c33…
08-01 18:46:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	2,800	25¢	$700	0x899a5c…
08-01 17:56:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	9,322	40¢	$3,729	0x682317…
08-01 17:21:57	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x418f8c…
08-01 17:18:32	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0x390ebd…
08-01 17:18:08	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x937be9…
08-01 17:16:05	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x26bd12…
08-01 17:16:03	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x48682e…
08-01 17:13:45	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x42c707…
08-01 17:13:44	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xffc174…
08-01 17:13:03	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8431d9…
08-01 17:13:03	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b6cb0…
08-01 17:06:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	4,804	57¢	$2,745	0x614366…
08-01 16:35:54	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	2,000	64¢	$1,280	0xfb1e30…
08-01 15:53:56	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	3,277	80¢	$2,622	0x2de99c…
08-01 15:27:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	835	80¢	$668	0x340e05…
08-01 15:26:57	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	1,042	80¢	$834	0xb5616f…
08-01 15:23:48	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x2ca337…
08-01 15:20:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	920	80¢	$736	0x301840…
08-01 14:55:00	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	3,277	70¢	$2,301	0xb426a0…
08-01 14:06:05	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	805	65¢	$523	0xb791ed…
08-01 14:06:03	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc31173…
08-01 14:05:44	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd50168…
08-01 14:05:41	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	990	65¢	$644	0x60f95c…
08-01 14:01:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0xe34c79…
08-01 13:53:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	326	75¢	$245	0xa42aa7…
08-01 13:52:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x1e0b01…
08-01 13:52:29	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0x6b0564…
08-01 13:52:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xd32f51…
08-01 13:51:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0xc4ce1e…
08-01 13:50:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd32192…
08-01 13:50:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9462c6…
08-01 13:49:48	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	259	75¢	$194	0x49f7c1…
08-01 13:46:02	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	136	80¢	$109	0xf812bc…
08-01 13:44:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	449	80¢	$359	0x252c50…
08-01 13:44:18	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	316	80¢	$253	0xb6d8d7…
08-01 13:44:02	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$8	0x2c0706…
08-01 13:43:41	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	978	85¢	$832	0xe3934f…
08-01 13:43:38	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0xea7cbc…
08-01 13:42:51	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	977	87¢	$850	0x966e08…
08-01 13:42:50	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x6b544c…
08-01 13:42:02	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1,000	70¢	$700	0x938a6d…
08-01 13:41:57	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0x402ce0…
08-01 13:41:05	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd6af33…
08-01 13:38:44	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0xd8a2b2…
08-01 13:37:14	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	608	82¢	$500	0xf3e0da…
08-01 13:30:03	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	185	68¢	$126	0xef21cd…
08-01 13:20:08	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	740	68¢	$500	0x4974cd…
07-31 23:02:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	9,616	35¢	$3,365	0xe5ac41…
07-31 20:32:56	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	SELL	6,000	1¢	$36	0x9571d2…
07-31 20:07:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	384	35¢	$135	0x1894a0…
07-31 20:00:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	8,670	40¢	$3,468	0x2365a6…
07-31 20:00:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	850	40¢	$340	0x0253ba…
07-31 20:00:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6fd13b…
07-31 20:00:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x619df0…
07-31 19:59:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	476	40¢	$190	0x9b720b…
07-31 19:57:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	4,000	58¢	$2,311	0x579479…
07-31 19:40:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	2,000	86¢	$1,720	0x3b3abc…
07-31 18:40:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	998	65¢	$649	0x3fbd19…
07-31 18:31:14	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x65a7e6…
07-31 17:49:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xa7fe4c…