Fatherly-Wolf — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

704 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$28.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$48

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-07 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

84% 81% +$222

Politics

12% 69% +$207

Sports

2% 100% +$23

Crypto

2% 57% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-27	-$18	68¢	$-18	-$1	07-02 20:22
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	-26	-$20	68¢	$-18	+$2	05-09 23:30
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-188	-$31	3¢	$-6	+$25	05-14 13:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-30	-$5	18¢	$-5	+$0	06-11 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$1.2K	832	832	+0	Yes	-$234	03-27 23:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$974	656	656	+0	Yes	+$238	04-08 19:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?	5	$852	890	0	+890	Yes	+$38	05-13 15:49
highest temperature in miami on april 15 2026 82 83f	3	$601	328	327	+1	No	+$2	04-15 17:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$600	638	0	+638	No	+$38	04-13 01:01
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$430	450	0	+450	No	+$20	07-02 20:25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?	2	$426	430	0	+430	No	+$4	05-12 19:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$385	458	0	+458	No	+$73	03-24 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 26?	7	$359	418	0	+418	Yes	+$59	05-26 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 12?	3	$357	365	0	+365	No	+$8	05-12 19:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?	2	$343	350	0	+350	No	+$7	05-12 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 14?	3	$342	350	0	+350	No	+$8	05-14 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 7?	5	$338	360	0	+360	No	+$22	05-07 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?	6	$323	200	200	+0	No	-$66	04-25 19:51
highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	7	$305	339	0	+339	Yes	+$34	04-23 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5?	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	08-05 17:19
highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 76 77f	7	$294	310	0	+310	No	+$16	04-22 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	9	$291	300	0	+300	No	+$9	07-02 20:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$291	300	0	+300	No	+$9	05-06 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?	12	$290	340	0	+340	Yes	+$50	05-13 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?	1	$288	297	0	+297	No	+$9	05-12 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	8	$262	290	0	+290	Yes	+$28	06-03 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 11?	1	$259	262	0	+262	No	+$3	05-11 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?	13	$256	280	0	+280	No	+$24	05-05 04:38
highest temperature in warsaw on april 20 2026 13c	1	$250	255	0	+255	Yes	+$5	04-20 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 7?	1	$248	250	0	+250	No	+$2	05-07 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 8?	2	$248	250	0	+250	No	+$2	05-08 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	1	$248	250	0	+250	No	+$2	06-03 04:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 14?	2	$248	250	0	+250	No	+$2	05-14 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 11?	3	$247	200	50	+150	No	+$1	05-10 19:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 16:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x9cd53b…
08-07 16:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf2cb14…
08-07 16:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x0286c3…
08-07 16:36:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 7?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5c69e0…
08-07 16:35:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d6ca5…
08-07 16:34:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on August 7?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0x62b8e7…
08-07 16:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0x634a19…
08-05 18:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x830479…
08-05 18:42:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x95f0aa…
08-05 18:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x113bfb…
08-05 18:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x292445…
08-05 17:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0x4c3b64…
08-05 17:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1928ab…
08-05 17:29:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x2b3eee…
08-05 17:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 5?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x060f72…
08-05 17:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x60efa6…
08-05 17:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x2a4c9c…
08-05 17:23:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x20028f…
08-05 17:23:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb36c81…
08-05 17:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x06d21c…
07-22 21:00:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x588c5d…
07-22 20:38:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 22?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x8c1643…
07-22 20:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x27abed…
07-22 20:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0x5b7dc2…
07-22 20:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xb1d6d6…
07-22 20:33:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x69cf38…
07-22 20:33:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x206235…
07-22 20:32:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xb35ec2…
07-16 18:39:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x543d94…
07-16 18:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc86ed2…
07-16 18:06:50	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xcd46f7…
07-16 18:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 16?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x9ad28c…
07-16 18:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 16?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2ed30e…
07-16 18:04:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xcff422…
07-16 18:03:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2209e1…
07-14 18:49:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe9ae56…
07-14 18:43:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf6459f…
07-14 18:39:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 14?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d8163…
07-14 18:39:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 14?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdbd839…
07-14 18:38:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xa64be1…
07-14 16:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x510927…
07-14 16:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ea9fe…
07-14 16:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28c502…
07-14 16:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa4c9e6…
07-14 16:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x7aaa4e…
07-14 16:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3d7e16…
07-14 13:56:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xff8af4…
07-02 20:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e6821…
07-02 20:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x79d03f…
07-02 20:25:43	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$336	0xc04bb4…
07-02 20:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x674e04…
07-02 20:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbb3d1e…
07-02 20:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0xf05325…
07-02 20:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xc4aa74…
07-02 20:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xbaaf3f…
07-02 20:22:26	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x4dd0a0…
07-02 20:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x9d7286…
07-02 20:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc09abf…
07-02 20:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 2?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0x52a378…
07-02 20:20:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc7f089…
07-02 20:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8fb4af…
07-02 20:19:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x782e7a…
07-02 20:19:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x0d3a3f…
07-02 20:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa20443…
07-02 20:19:23	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb1d754…
07-02 02:18:59	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xd60dce…
07-02 00:49:23	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xfc4612…
07-02 00:48:55	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x8ddfb1…
07-02 00:46:55	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2b7704…
07-02 00:43:02	Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1a30d…
07-02 00:41:07	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x97745b…
06-15 22:03:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xd37e7d…
06-15 17:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x59826c…
06-15 17:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x583c74…
06-15 17:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x45637f…
06-15 17:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xd7975e…
06-15 16:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x367101…
06-11 20:08:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xa543e1…
06-09 03:42:33	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xbbfd9d…
06-09 03:42:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 8?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x0e9f96…
06-09 03:41:54	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x2e2b91…
06-08 22:32:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xfa567f…
06-08 22:31:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x029de4…
06-03 18:50:19	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xcd0ebe…
06-03 06:07:48	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x3c184e…
06-03 04:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb9e42a…
06-03 04:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0c1827…
06-03 04:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5ed8b0…
06-03 04:30:53	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xffc979…
06-03 04:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$31	0x1dba22…
06-03 04:25:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0x3a1d34…
06-03 04:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xcec3d1…
06-03 04:24:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 3?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x74946b…
06-03 04:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9cdce2…
06-03 04:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1ea565…
06-03 04:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xd7843f…
06-03 04:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc1aeff…
06-03 04:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x441f67…
06-03 04:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x32c63e…
05-27 13:34:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$13	0x9cefa7…