Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,091
lifetime
Volume
$7.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$58
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-20 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% $-1
Other
29% 100% +$3
Sports
8% 50% $-4
Crypto
7%
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $-0 07-18 15:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 07-18 15:28
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -40 $-30 19¢ $-8 +$22 06-07 01:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -10 $-4 62¢ $-6 $-2 06-01 12:21
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-10 46¢ $-5 +$5 06-06 04:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $6 14¢ $4 $-2 06-29 14:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-4 30¢ $-3 +$1 07-02 12:43
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -87 $-6 $-3 +$3 06-03 10:22
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 15¢ $-1 +$0 07-04 00:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +10 $2 13¢ $1 $-1 05-31 11:40
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-0 05-31 15:19