Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,020
lifetime
Volume
$6.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$81
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-12 16:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
49% 50% $-1
Other
30% 100% +$3
Sports
9% 50% $-4
Crypto
6%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -40 $-30 49¢ $-20 +$10 06-07 01:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -20 $-13 76¢ $-15 $-2 05-28 11:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-10 84¢ $-8 +$1 06-06 04:34
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 06-02 14:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-9 74¢ $-7 +$2 05-29 16:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 06-02 15:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -87 $-6 $-5 +$1 06-03 10:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -10 $-4 46¢ $-5 $-1 06-01 12:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -10 $-7 34¢ $-3 +$3 06-02 20:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $-0 05-31 11:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +20 $3 $1 $-2 06-02 14:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -20 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-12 14:32
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-0 05-31 15:19