Judicious-Map — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,636

lifetime

Volume

$95.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-22 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-1

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+18	$10	56¢	$10	$-0	07-22 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	27	$4.1K	2,159	2,014	+146	open	—	03-10 20:27
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	24	$2.6K	1,300	1,350	-50	open	—	03-14 00:13
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	24	$2.6K	1,326	1,326	+0	open	—	03-15 17:33
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	27	$2.5K	1,258	1,258	+0	open	—	03-10 07:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	18	$2.5K	1,261	1,261	+0	open	—	02-25 16:31
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	24	$2.4K	1,174	1,251	-77	open	—	02-02 13:15
no change in bank of englands interest rates after february 2026 meeting	20	$1.7K	882	882	+0	open	—	02-04 18:03
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	24	$1.6K	820	820	+0	open	—	01-28 11:30
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?	12	$1.5K	761	761	+0	open	—	02-22 08:00
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	16	$1.5K	754	754	+0	open	—	02-26 14:58
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	14	$1.4K	707	707	+0	open	—	02-21 07:30
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	17	$1.3K	661	688	-27	open	—	02-11 07:07
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	12	$1.3K	654	654	+0	open	—	03-08 12:00
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	19	$1.2K	653	597	+57	open	—	01-27 14:16
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	14	$1.1K	563	589	-26	open	—	01-22 20:10
will the bank of canada announce no change at the january meeting	15	$1.1K	575	550	+25	open	—	01-26 12:35
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	14	$1.1K	558	558	+0	open	—	01-26 21:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	12	$1.1K	543	543	-0	open	—	02-26 15:03
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$780	393	393	+0	open	—	03-13 10:57
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	12	$759	390	390	+0	open	—	02-20 18:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$721	369	369	+0	open	—	02-27 07:08
will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	6	$688	345	345	+0	open	—	03-14 00:12
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	6	$676	339	339	+0	open	—	02-23 06:57
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	7	$631	293	349	-56	open	—	03-01 14:14
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	6	$602	302	302	+0	open	—	02-12 15:32
will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	6	$594	298	298	+0	open	—	02-21 07:31
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	8	$593	298	298	+0	open	—	02-13 16:38
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	8	$556	279	279	+0	open	—	02-20 18:59
Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	04-27 06:41
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	12	$530	277	277	+0	open	—	01-21 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:17:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa617f7…
07-21 07:59:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xc2975b…
07-20 09:02:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c4fe7…
07-19 09:26:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x24cec9…
07-18 13:50:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x033199…
07-13 10:47:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xf809c4…
07-12 08:43:25	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x12b51b…
07-11 08:46:04	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x63667a…
07-10 07:59:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x49d32f…
06-30 07:18:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x3bb20e…
06-30 07:18:32	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xde8a8f…
06-29 20:03:35	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x72f30e…
06-29 20:03:07	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xe3fe10…
06-29 20:02:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xc924d3…
06-29 20:02:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x71766e…
06-29 20:02:02	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$1	0x9c0107…
06-29 20:01:46	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x7abb4d…
06-29 16:36:40	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xfa4363…
06-25 20:43:47	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xfa7abc…
06-25 16:45:05	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0ec744…
06-25 16:42:29	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x316bcd…
06-25 16:41:07	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 25	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xabbcbd…
06-25 16:27:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xbbe3c1…
06-25 16:26:47	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xf426c2…
06-25 14:06:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xcfe17d…
06-25 14:01:44	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xa67c42…
06-17 08:37:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x958880…
06-15 21:14:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3fbfbe…
06-15 07:33:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x398ab4…
06-15 07:33:12	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x5f5fe4…
06-15 07:32:22	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xb5ca3f…
06-15 07:32:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x5341df…
06-15 07:31:51	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd215bd…
06-15 07:31:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc76eb6…
06-15 07:31:16	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x62a823…
06-14 21:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x83dd6c…
06-14 21:18:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x2e74dd…
06-14 17:32:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xa1641c…
06-13 17:32:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x405169…
06-11 19:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x1a7376…
06-08 21:50:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x40c905…
06-07 06:45:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa0da54…
06-07 06:45:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xfd851c…
06-07 06:44:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2dab0f…
06-07 06:44:07	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x848a9d…
06-07 06:43:03	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdcfb3b…
06-05 15:55:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xd1d42a…
06-05 15:41:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x7fbfc2…
06-05 06:03:30	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9ab53e…
06-04 21:27:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf1368b…
06-04 07:33:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x00ceb5…
06-04 07:32:16	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x08f89c…
06-04 07:31:24	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xddf32f…
06-04 01:34:40	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x42c8ee…
06-04 01:29:55	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x830abe…
06-04 01:28:54	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x508c93…
06-03 22:29:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x23b0fb…
06-03 22:08:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xdbf3f3…
06-03 22:07:45	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8afb63…
06-03 22:02:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x16edd5…
06-03 21:59:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x688098…
06-03 21:57:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x742d9e…
06-03 21:49:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x6d99b2…
06-03 21:47:24	will bitcoin dip to 64k on june 3	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x687989…
06-03 20:55:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k on june 3	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0ee49c…
06-03 17:13:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xf068c3…
06-03 17:10:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbccc95…
06-03 06:04:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x67dd5a…
06-01 17:12:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1036b5…
06-01 14:59:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2cbdeb…
06-01 10:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3d06c2…
06-01 10:49:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x78f22b…
05-31 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x528a3c…
05-29 08:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xeb947f…
05-29 08:03:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb91610…
05-28 07:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x07a372…
05-26 12:38:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x4e5f31…
05-23 18:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x4b5897…
05-23 15:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x00e150…
05-23 14:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0xe69b66…
05-22 06:31:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0xb1afdd…
05-21 17:21:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x633e48…
05-20 21:19:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0xc6fa7b…
05-15 07:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb0808f…
05-15 07:03:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xda9bc2…
04-29 18:37:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x4510cb…
04-29 18:34:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf90ca6…
04-29 06:16:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa0a1e0…
04-29 06:13:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x65e726…
04-28 20:51:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd22490…
04-28 06:16:50	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x07a260…
04-27 19:13:48	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xcef600…
04-27 06:42:12	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x94b02c…
04-27 06:42:04	Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xa54a2a…
04-27 06:41:22	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x6fa0f3…
04-26 20:05:06	Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x2e8e76…
04-26 20:02:36	Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x7c5d0b…
04-26 20:00:38	Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x9112a8…
04-26 19:28:34	Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0xd67656…
04-26 19:28:24	Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$168	0xba30f9…